BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 33 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Hmm...this really surprises me...especially with Madison and Cortland county included. They must not be buying the GFS. National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ009-015>018-022-023-025-036-037-044-161630- /O.CON.KBGM.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland- Including the cities of Boonville, Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, Utica, and Cortland 1121 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 12 inches. * WHERE...Northern Oneida, Cortland, Tompkins, Schuyler, Steuben, Onondaga, Madison, Southern Oneida, Yates, Seneca Except its not just the GFS, it's pretty much every model. They'll end up downgrading atleast Schuyler, Tompkins, and Cortland to WWA before this storm is over. Far northwestern corners of those counties might get 4-6", but I don't see any portions of them hitting the 7" criteria for WSW. And I don't think they get enough freezing rain to justify a "high impact" reasoning for a WSW either. Steuben County might get 7-8" in northwest corner of county but don't see the WSW verifying there either as majority of the county and it's population will get far less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 44 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: In Canada we trust Me more than anyone!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 We’ve gotten enough snow so far today to cover all of the yellow spots from my puppy. We take. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just watched local mets on Noon News...going with 6 to 9/10 inches for Onondaga county, but had that questionable tone about it. They're so unsure with all the different model runs! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 33 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I love that this is only 84 hours away but we have a snowstorm before it to get through! Yeah, this is a great time for us snow dorks. I think the mix line will end up something near what the Canadian and Euro have been showing. And if some sleet mixes in IMBY, so what? I get 8" vs 10. The BGM to ALB corridor looks to be the screw zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Yeah, this is a great time for us snow dorks. I think the mix line will end up something near what the Canadian and Euro have been showing. And if some sleet mixes in IMBY, so what? I get 8" vs 10. The BGM to ALB corridor looks to be the screw zone. The map he posted is for the Friday event. Unless you were just making a side note about today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Yeah, this is a great time for us snow dorks. I think the mix line will end up something near what the Canadian and Euro have been showing. And if some sleet mixes in IMBY, so what? I get 8" vs 10. The BGM to ALB corridor looks to be the screw zone. You make up for it after storm 2 with LES/ Almost everyone here is getting 20"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Amazing with all the cold days we have had, that the February sun is making it difficult for the snow to lay on anything that didn't already have snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: You make up for it after storm 2 with LES/ Almost everyone here is getting 20"+ Could be. I tend to discount LES, mostly bc it ends up just north of me, but these are the setups where my area can pile on with post storm lake snow. VD2 was a prime example. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Yeah, this is a great time for us snow dorks. I think the mix line will end up something near what the Canadian and Euro have been showing. And if some sleet mixes in IMBY, so what? I get 8" vs 10. The BGM to ALB corridor looks to be the screw zone. I love your attitude. Most days a 6 inch snowstorm would be great! I let myself get trapped by the idea that if imby isn’t the sweet spot I lose. I’m gonna try and just enjoy the roll out. It’s an enormous storm and we are lucky to be on the (mostly) cold side! Let’s go! Good luck everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Amazing with all the cold days we have had, that the February sun is making it difficult for the snow to lay on anything that didn't already have snow. I was going to mention that this seems like a spring snow even though the temperature is only 29. There’s no accumulation on my driveway and just a slushy accumulation on my deck. The midday mid-February sun is doing its job through the clouds. I’m kinda glad that this storm is happening overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: I love your attitude. Most days a 6 inch snowstorm would be great! I let myself get trapped by the idea that if imby isn’t the sweet spot I lose. I’m gonna try and just enjoy the roll out. It’s an enormous storm and we are lucky to be on the (mostly) cold side! Let’s go! Good luck everyone! Does this include Matt...asking for a friend... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Does this include Matt...asking for a friend... of course! I want everyone to win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 They've backed way off here as far as accumulations. guess we'll see how this pans out in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Amazing with all the cold days we have had, that the February sun is making it difficult for the snow to lay on anything that didn't already have snow. 2 minutes ago, CNYWeather said: They've backed way off here as far as accumulations. guess we'll see how this pans out in the morning. lol, whats the purple/burgundy color? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Does this include Matt...asking for a friend... 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: of course! I want everyone to win! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Wow, the EURO just took a shit all over the whole board. The EURO just bowed to the GFS, absolutely disgusting! I quit, I'm done. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Yeah definitely took a turn for the worse.. Guess we'll have to wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The saving grace is that shes moving super fast so step back, not yet, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Sorry, guys. As much as I wanted to NOT be right..this winter has just been a wreck. There's no point in looking at any of the models, other than to say a system will be hundreds of miles north and west than what you think this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Toronto's year and I bet the Friday system does the same thing, and I ain't tracking that one after this dud. There is still time for one more adjustment eithger NW again or back where it should be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: lol, whats the purple/burgundy color? Those areas arent part of their viewing area and are usually a different shade of whatever color. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Niagara County already getting LE so they will be the big winners on this forum for sure! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Wow, the EURO just took a shit all over the whole board. The EURO just bowed to the GFS, absolutely disgusting! I quit, I'm done. Never underestimate the infamous last minute NW jog lmfao.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Sorry, guys. As much as I wanted to NOT be right..this winter has just been a wreck. There's no point in looking at any of the models, other than to say a system will be hundreds of miles north and west than what you think this year. Don't start patting yourself on the back just yet my friend as lots can still and probably will happen, its the Weather! And its nowhere near100 or hundreds of miles, lol, but I understand ur frustration, trust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Seeing the current storm cruise NW gives me very little hope that Fridays storm won't be a washout. ****kkkkk., we were so close to getting two bangers back to back. This shit is stressful 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 Can really use that SE trend anytime now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now