wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 That doesn't include what ever we receive tomorrow during the day, which is like 1"-3" or so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: That doesn't include what ever we receive tomorrow during the day, which is like 1"-3" or so.. I thought that was the event total and part of it since the warning encompasses that timeframe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 STOP trending NW with every run. Gah. I can't believe a low that far south and east is creating this sort of questioning as to whether we mix or not in these parts. Should be a clean hit, but who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 As @rochesterdave said,, this winter is a'trollin. lol Heaviest banding does the splits over my area on several of the models, and now that ice line is working ever so closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I thought that was the event total and part of it since the warning encompasses that timeframe The warning starts at 7 pm(same with the snow map) but we see the light overrunning between 10am-3pm which doesn't seem to be included.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 If you look at rochester for example they have as much as 17" falling.. Washington's Birthday Occasional snow. High near 26. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Monday Night Snow. Areas of blowing snow after 3am. Low around 20. Blustery, with a light north wind becoming northeast 15 to 20 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. Areas of blowing snow before 7am. High near 21. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 8"-16" for buffalo.. Washington's Birthday Snow. High near 25. Light northwest wind becoming north 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Monday Night Snow. Areas of blowing snow after 4am. Low around 19. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Snow, mainly before 11am. High near 20. Northeast wind 8 to 16 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Check out this difference between the Rap 6 hours ago and a more recent run. Continuing to trend stronger and northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: If you look at rochester for example they have as much as 17" falling.. Washington's Birthday Occasional snow. High near 26. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Monday Night Snow. Areas of blowing snow after 3am. Low around 20. Blustery, with a light north wind becoming northeast 15 to 20 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. Tuesday Snow. Areas of blowing snow before 7am. High near 21. Northeast wind 10 to 17 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Tiny bit more here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 8"-15 for most of Oswego county.. Seems like they are on top of things lol Washington's Birthday Occasional snow, mainly after 11am. High near 25. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Monday Night Snow. Low around 18. Northeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tuesday Snow, mainly before noon. High near 20. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 17 hours ago, SnowLover22 said: Let's revisit this tomorrow. There is time yet for this to trend more NW..... God dammit. I wish I was wrong. Now mixing problems into the finger lakes. 24 hours to go.... how far NW can it go......... re: icon and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Well, in general,, this is a 1 foot storm for all...give or take a few inches, except south of Ontario a half foot more..(Dave will eat an extra edible or two!), and I'm on a razor's edge to a sleet fest in Caz. Hoping for a tick back SE for 00z guidance. But mark my words, the Lake effect behind the 2nd system could be epic for few of our members. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Well, in general,, this is a 1 foot storm for all...give or take a few inches, except south of Ontario a half foot more..(Dave will eat an extra edible or two!), and I'm on a razor's edge to a sleet fest in Caz. Hoping for a tick back SE for 00z guidance. But mark my words, the Lake effect behind the 2nd system could be epic for few of our members. Edibles are guaranteed. Takes the edge off this silly snow madness disease. Although I will always miss the days of slamming a twelve pack and jeb walking the neighborhood during a snow storm. Not sure my neighbors agree. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Edibles are guaranteed. Takes the edge off this silly snow madness disease. Although I will always miss the days of slamming a twelve pack and jeb walking the neighborhood during a snow storm. Not sure my neighbors agree. Lol. I had a neighbor stop me during one of my Jebwalks around midnight about a month ago. Told me their "doorbell cameras" picked up on somebody "walking the neighborhood." I assured him I was just going for a walk and that I had no malicious intent. Now I am nervous about enjoying my peaceful nighttime Jebwalks because some paranoid neighbor takes me out or the cops are called on me. Times have changed. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Well, in general,, this is a 1 foot storm for all...give or take a few inches, except south of Ontario a half foot more..(Dave will eat an extra edible or two!), and I'm on a razor's edge to a sleet fest in Caz. Hoping for a tick back SE for 00z guidance. But mark my words, the Lake effect behind the 2nd system could be epic for few of our members. Me too. But that has been extremely rare this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 27 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Check out this difference between the Rap 6 hours ago and a more recent run. Continuing to trend stronger and northward. You’re cherry picking models to reverse psych your deep seeded Weenie fears. And it’s the goddamn RAP Matt!!! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18z Euro slp track looks a little NW vs. 12z and possibly wetter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, 96blizz said: You’re cherry picking models to reverse psych your deep seeded Weenie fears. And it’s the goddamn RAP Matt!!! I thought it was just Matt being Matt too but then I zoomed in and now I understand why he’s panicking 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I had a neighbor stop me during one of my Jebwalks around midnight about a month ago. Told me their "doorbell cameras" picked up on somebody "walking the neighborhood." I assured him I was just going for a walk and that I had no malicious intent. Now I am nervous about enjoying my peaceful nighttime Jebwalks because some paranoid neighbor takes me out or the cops are called on me. Times have changed. If that got the neighbors in a bunch, I'd be in jail. I go out with my camera at all hours of the night filming everything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 18z Euro slp track looks a little NW vs. 12z and possibly wetter... Is it me or are the 06z and 18z usually wetter than the 00z and 12z Euro. Could just be in my head but seems every time you post them they follow this trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, 96blizz said: You’re cherry picking models to reverse psych your deep seeded Weenie fears. And it’s the goddamn RAP Matt!!! Yeah RAP is fake news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: If that got the neighbors in a bunch, I'd be in jail. I go out with my camera at all hours of the night filming everything. Lol. Same dude. The death band skaneateles got in the last storm I was lapping the neighborhood with a beer for like 3 hours - reloading in the garage!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 This is the map I'm going with. Pretty consensus 1-1.2" of QPF for first event, any lake enhancement is butter on top. ROC- 18" BUF- 16" SYR- 13" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Some 18z Euro frames. In addition to a little NW and wetter, also a little warmer I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Lol. Same dude. The death band skaneateles got in the last storm I was lapping the neighborhood with a beer for like 3 hours - reloading in the garage!!! I have like 100 videos on my youtube channel of chasing snow bands. I can't wait to look back when I get older and look back at all my chases! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I’m sorry for the eastern folks who will be dealing with sleet but I’m loving Rochester riding the taint hard. Right where we need to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro precip 12z vs 18z... 18z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: I’m sorry for the eastern folks who will be dealing with sleet but I’m loving Rochester riding the taint hard. Right where we need to be. “Riding the taint hard.” only acceptable without question or repercussions on a weather forum. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18z accumulation maps... 10:1 Kuchera Sleet Freezing Rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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