BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 57 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Anyone have sleet QPF maps? 18z NAM 3k 18z NAM 12k 18z RGEM 12z GFS 12z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: BOOOOOOO! Don’t look at the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I don't know, man. A low near Philly should not be having mixing issues all the way into the Finger Lakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: BOOOOOOO! The GFS rides the short bus at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, PerintonMan said: I don't know, man. A low near Philly should not be having mixing issues all the way into the Finger Lakes. Right?!?!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 30 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Who cares? It’s gonna snow. That’s all that matters. If we get 9”, 11”, or 15” I’ll be stoked any way you slice it. This pattern is awesome! Ummm anything less than 15” and I throw out Jobu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: BOOOOOOO! RGEM at the same timeframe. Low in the same spot but thermals obviously a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 30 minutes ago, 96blizz said: The Metric System makes so much goddamn sense. It's great for engineering equations but I'm more tuned in to a "sense" for English system parameters, as an ex nuke plant operator... And to be fair, metric sucks for temperature. I'm used to the higher granularity of English system vs metric. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: It's great for engineering equations but I'm more tuned in to a "sense" for English system parameters, as an ex nuke plant operator... And to be fair, metric sucks for temperature. I'm used to the higher granularity of English system vs metric. You’re the first ex nuke plant operator I’ve ever know. Fantastic cocktail hour fodder when they become a thing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Para is better for most than the regular. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, 96blizz said: You’re the first ex nuke plant operator I’ve ever know. Fantastic cocktail hour fodder when they become a thing again. Yes I rode subs also. In fact...my son is currently out on deployment stationed on the same submarine (SSN-719) that i was on back in the 1980s when it was brand new. I commissioned it and he will be on the decom crew. Some sort of cosmic kharma there... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 18z GFS v16 parallel for mon-tues... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 GFS still decent for a lot. Sorry King! Look at Detroit. Lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Some of these give me pause for sure lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Yes I rode subs also. In fact...my son is currently out on deployment stationed on the same submarine (SSN-719) that i was on back in the 1980s when it was brand new. I commissioned it and he will be on the decom crew. Some sort of cosmic kharma there... My brother was a missile tech on the SSBN 598 (George Washington) and the Ethan Allen back in the 60s. He got a chance to test launch a few Polaris missiles. He still reminisces a lot about those days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Guidance has been an absolute joke all winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Take day 3 progs and move everything at least 200mi north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Guidance has been an absolute joke all winter. Goes to show how complex weather is. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 27 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 18z GFS v16 parallel for mon-tues... Got hi rez Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: Got hi rez Canadian? Running now. A bit NW of 12z but a crush job for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, 96blizz said: Running now. A bit NW of 12z but a crush job for most. Look at the banding over WNY!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Hammer time!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I’m beginning to think the warning will be updated tomorrow am with higher totals. The meso models are picking up the banding on the maps and it appears honing in on the western part of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: I’m beginning to think the warning will be updated tomorrow am with higher totals. The meso models are picking up the banding on the maps and it appears honing in on the western part of the state. Agreed. They are definitely going conservative and will play the nowcast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, vortmax said: Agreed. They are definitely going conservative and will play the nowcast... Yes in fact if you look at the very first post on this thread by BW the map now shows a broad area of 12-18” over most of WNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I’m beginning to think the warning will be updated tomorrow am with higher totals. The meso models are picking up the banding on the maps and it appears honing in on the western part of the state. I dunno. I like the 6-12” or so across the board. It’s a fast moving system and not a ratio driven system. I could see some 15” maxima at high elevations or some good Meso banding but I like the 8-12” warning for my nape of the neck. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Pretty similar the last few updates.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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