96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Just my opinion but your #s are low. This is a minimum 15-1 ratio. Is this reverse psychology or are you seeing something we all aren’t? Well, for one, the most recent NAM is even further NW and warmer with major dry slot issues... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 My Call KBGM 6" KSYR 8" KBUF 10" KROC 12" KALB 4" lots of IP/fzrn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 It;s all going to hell in a hand basket, lol and quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Well, for one, the most recent NAM is even further NW and warmer with major dry slot issues... Yeah the new 3k NAM gets the mix up to BUF and ROC even briefly. I would temper expectations a tad with ratios. I still think 6-12” from BUF to SYR cooridor with less SE of there towards BGM and ALB. Think somewhere from IAG to ROC jackpots around 15” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z nam precipitation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Lol... everyone jumped all over me yesterday for warning about the continuous North and West movement...and the trend for this season.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Lol... everyone jumped all over me yesterday for warning about the continuous North and West movement...and the trend for this season.... Congrats! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The guidebook says these always tick back SE late after the NW ticks... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 It'll go back the other way, I'm certain of it, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Tug, we might get some surprise LE sometime today as the winds are backing towards the WNW-NW so cross ur fingers, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Basically a couple hours of heavy snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 It’s tha NAM. But it’s tight. Can’t take too much more. Lol. Warmest frame. Sleet probably makes it to the thruway on this. I’m thinking it’s way too far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Basically a couple hours of heavy snow lol This would also match the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I’m waiting on the rest of guidance before I look for the highest bridge. Haha. So typical this year. Will Detroit be the ultimate winner? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 What about Thursday storm, how much do you think we will be getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Average them for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, brentrich said: What about Thursday storm, how much do you think we will be getting? I’m not even considering it until we get through this one. I thought winter was over? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 We dry-slot on the NAM after a quick 3-6" then we await LE to top off our IP/SN mix that occurs right before it shuts off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 As we get closer, things become even more unclear...haha Still running but south camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 hours ago, LakeEffectKing said: The LES potential for Tues. evening for areas near SYR, looks pretty good, for a 6-12hr. period. And after Thursday/Thursday night's storm even better, for 24 or so hrs! Tues eve.: Fri. Morn.: The potential is there to erase our seasonal snowfall deficit in/around SYR. in a week. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Toss the NAM terrible model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: The potential is there to erase our seasonal snowfall deficit in/around SYR. in a week. LOL. Is that some WSW laKe effect off Erie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Is that some WSW laKe effect off Erie. No its not, not with those isobars, lol, but I do like the kink in and around the SE corner of the Lake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Cutting it close for sure lol Its brief but there .If we have to worry about the mix line then you can't expect higher ratios.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Cutting it close for sure lol Its brief but there .If we have to worry about the mix line then you can't expect higher ratios.. Its just unreal that we can't get through one effin event without some sort of garbage being thrown in there, WTF Syracuse?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 RGEM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 RGEM back off the ledge... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 The RGEM looks beautiful, a stronger storm for 1st event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Its just unreal that we can't get through one effin event without some sort of garbage being thrown in there, WTF Syracuse?? ...and with a low waaaay down in the Southern DelMarVa. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Warmest frames on the rgem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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