CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Heh. St. John's Newfoundland. Going alright. You? Were kinda on the wrong end of this one. Only going to get like 2" followed by freezing rain then rain. Alright, I guess as good as it could be, lol with the current state of affairs yeah, we've been hard pressed this yr to recieve any appreciable snows, as you probably already know, although that might change with the incoming system. If this wasn't going as s fast as it is, we'd all be crying, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The flakes that are falling right now resemble that of lake effect snow because they have an incredible fluff factor to them right now and I'm thinking easily 13 or 14 to 1 I may be wrong but that's what it looks like to me!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 EURO looks better than some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Snow has started here in Caledonia. Wiped the board clean but with the winds it will be a bit tough to get a proper measurement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Started in Caz..pretty steady considering the returns over me....1.5" during day today. Temp at 22 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: Wow, we posted that at the exact same time! Thats freaking weird. Great minds think alike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Excitement is setting in seeing that radar blowing up right now. The whole thing hits between 10 and 6am so that sure makes it a bastard to chase. I may take a Jeb drive around midnight. Should be cranking. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Hrrr continues to show the mix line missing me just to the east, let's keep it that way lol Although we shouldn't lose much to mixing anyway.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Excitement is setting in seeing that radar blowing up right now. The whole thing hits between 10 and 6am so that sure makes it a bastard to chase. I may take a Jeb drive around midnight. Should be cranking. What's the strategy for snowblowing? Wait for it all to fall? When was the last snowfall that you used it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Snowfall rates and flake size still unimpressive hopefully that changes soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: What's the strategy for snowblowing? Wait for it all to fall? When was the last snowfall that you had to use it? I find it more enjoyable to throw a lot of snow. The machine works better under a moderate load. I also just like to do the whole yard and driveway meticulously at the end of the storm one time. I’d only clear it earlier If the plow stuff at the end of the driveway is deep enough to prevent my wife’s car from getting in or out. Some people don’t like car tracks so they won’t drive over it without clearing it first. When I’m chasing these storms I’m in and out too much so I just live with some serious car tracks. You can still have a clean looking setup with car tracks if you keep your edges nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Radar looking better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I find it more enjoyable to throw a lot of snow. The machine works better under a moderate load. I also just like to do the whole yard and driveway meticulously at the end of the storm one time. I’d only clear it earlier If the plow stuff at the end of the driveway is deep enough to prevent my wife’s car from getting in or out. Some people don’t like car tracks so they won’t drive over it without clearing it first. When I’m chasing these storms I’m in and out too much so I just live with some serious car tracks. You can still have a clean looking setup with car tracks if you keep your edges nice. Yep wait till it’s done unless we’re getting so much you need to stay ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: I find it more enjoyable to throw a lot of snow. The machine works better under a moderate load. I also just like to do the whole yard and driveway meticulously at the end of the storm one time. I’d only clear it earlier If the plow stuff at the end of the driveway is deep enough to prevent my wife’s car from getting in or out. Some people don’t like car tracks so they won’t drive over it without clearing it first. When I’m chasing these storms I’m in and out too much so I just live with some serious car tracks. You can still have a clean looking setup with car tracks if you keep your edges nice. Ha... I am definitely one of those that has a clear pavement policy so I have to clear it before any cars come or go to keep my OCD in check. Definitely not looking forward to clearing the 2 inches of glacier crust that we are about to get here. Storms like these make me wish I had a plow blade instead of a snowblower attachment for my John Deere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, vortmax said: Radar looking better Very unimpressive here so far. As TS said flake size is super tiny and it’s really not coming down that hard at all. Staying patient as I know the good stuff isn’t supposed to move in till around 10 or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 DISCUSSION...A potent shortwave trough is currently moving northeastward out of eastern Kentucky and southern Ohio per water vapor imagery. As this feature continues into the Northeast this evening, a surface cyclone will deepen in Pennsylvania and New England. 850-700 hPa frontogenetical lift along the Canadian border aided by approaching mid-level ascent will promote 1+ inch per hour snowfall rates this evening. An area of heavier precipitation in northeastern Ohio will likely enter western New York by 9-10 PM EST. A stronger warm nose (nearly +4 C) observed on the 00Z PBZ sounding has kept precipitation more mixed to the south, but the observed 00Z BUF sounding shows a profile fully supportive of snow. Warm advection in the low to mid-levels should remain weak enough that precipitation remains as snow. Peak snowfall rates appear likely in the 11 PM to 3 AM EST period when mid-level ascent in the dendritic growth layer will be maximized. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: The time stamp on that radar is 6:45 or 23:45 so its 1.5 hrs old! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: The time stamp on that radar is 6:45 or 23:45 so its 1.5 hrs old! Weird. Not sure why it's not updating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Looks like the perfect thump to snizzle coming. 4-5 hours of insane snow coming for many of us! Enjoy!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Heavier snow is just reaching Elmira moving north northeast. Should reach Syracuse in about 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CNY_WX said: Heavier snow is just reaching Elmira moving north northeast. Should reach Syracuse in about 2 hours. Will see what happens here. Temp is 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, 96blizz said: Looks like the perfect thump to snizzle coming. 4-5 hours of insane snow coming for many of us! Enjoy!! Yeah, dry-slot is already starting to form in S.OH as well, but we got at least 5-8hrs of intense rates incoming and its gonna com e ion like a wall of snow too, cant wait! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Will see what happens here. Temp is 25. I'm afraid those yellow returns are indicative of IP already infiltrating the southern part of the CWA but I hope I'm wrong, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Yeah, dry-slot is already starting to form in S.OH as well, but we got at least 5-8hrs of intense rates incoming and its gonna com e ion like a wall of snow too, cant wait! So used to these storms from living in NJ and PHL. Comes in like a wall and then just light mixed. Always in faster and always done sooner than modeled. Get out in it y’all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Yeah, dry-slot is already starting to form in S.OH as well, but we got at least 5-8hrs of intense rates incoming and its gonna com e ion like a wall of snow too, cant wait! Hopefully we can top it off with a good lake effect band tomorrow night. BGM mentioned headlines might be needed for that. That's going to be a close one...I think either hugging the Onon./Oswego county line or sitting just north of it over you and CNY. Obviously I am hoping for the more southern option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Mixing line moving north quick, moderate snow here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: I'm afraid those yellow returns are indicative of IP already infiltrating the southern part of the CWA but I hope I'm wrong, lol! Thinking the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I'm afraid those yellow returns are indicative of IP already infiltrating the southern part of the CWA but I hope I'm wrong, lol! Yeah all the meso models show us flipping within first hour so I'll be pleasantly surprised if it stays all snow longer than that. We received just under an inch earlier today so only need another coating to reach the 1" mark and atleast verify my 1-4" range. But don't think we will reach my 3" spot forecast for BGM from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Going to see some really heavy rates pretty soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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