TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The GEFS are even more NW than the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Looks good. Let's hope the Canadians are right on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Oh, ok. It's gonna snow 20 inches tomorrow and Tuesday. Yaaaaaaaay!!!! There. That better? Dude this place just puts up with your incessant whining over every single model run. There’s a reason people put white dots over your house when making snow maps - because you never, ever stop whining about what YOU’RE going to get. There’s not a lot of posters here so it makes it even more obvious. Would love to post more and be a part of this group and community but it seems to be kind of “locked in” with long timers and particular senses of humor and inside jokes where others get a laugh when they point it out - others not so much. I can watch from the sidelines or just take it elsewhere. Plenty of other places to post and drink the “Kool Aid.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Dude this place just puts up with your incessant whining over every single model run. There’s a reason people put white dots over your house when making snow maps - because you never, ever stop whining about what YOUR’RE going to get. There’s not a lot of posters here so it makes it even more obvious. Would love to post more and be a part of this group and community but it seems to be kind of “locked in” with long timers and particular senses of humor and inside jokes where others get a laugh when they point it out - others not so much. I can watch from the sidelines or just take it elsewhere. Plenty of other places to post and drink the “Kool Aid.” The dots are because there is a running joke that I don't do well snow-wise wherever I am. That is THE inside joke that I thought everybody was aware of. Much of the time is people TEASING me and giving me a hard time about being in the screw zone. Yes, I tend to be negative...and when people on here remind me of it, I try to dial it back. I don't just point out negatives about model runs. In fact, I have been discussing how it looks like there is a good possibility of a WNW flow this week. Does this get many responses? Perhaps part of it is people like to feed off the negative and drama as well? There are times when I try to have normal weather discussion as well. Sorry that the negativity clouds out the times when I am just chatting about the weather and funny things that pop up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Remain calm people. All is well. Someone queue up the Kevin Bacon screenshot! Stat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Remain calm people. All is well. Someone queue up the Kevin Bacon screenshot! Stat. No prob. I enjoy your sarcastic bantering back and forth. Hopefully this one works out for all of us! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukie Jesus. These things are all over the place. I guess shoot for the average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 First and only forecast on snow amounts in case I end up falling asleep again like last night. Congrats to the BUF-ROC crew on being the forum jackpot for this one! Still like the chances for those of you on the BUF cwa border (Matt, Syrmax etc) to get a low end warning snowfall of around 8". For the rest of us off to the S and E, we will have to accept our slopfest and enjoy the storm vicariously through our our more fortunate posters while hoping the Thursday-Friday storm yields a better result. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: First and only forecast on snow amounts in case I end up falling asleep again like last night. Congrats to the BUF-ROC crew on being the forum jackpot for this one! Still like the chances for those of you on the BUF cwa border (Matt, Syrmax etc) to get a low end warning snowfall of around 8". For the rest of us off to the S and E, we will have to accept our slopfest and enjoy the storm vicariously through our our more fortunate posters while hoping the Thursday-Friday storm yields a better result. Got hi rez Canadian snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 48 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks good. Let's hope the Canadians are right on this one. Best banding is roc area on hi rez 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: First and only forecast on snow amounts in case I end up falling asleep again like last night. Congrats to the BUF-ROC crew on being the forum jackpot for this one! Still like the chances for those of you on the BUF cwa border (Matt, Syrmax etc) to get a low end warning snowfall of around 8". For the rest of us off to the S and E, we will have to accept our slopfest and enjoy the storm vicariously through our our more fortunate posters while hoping the Thursday-Friday storm yields a better result. Nice map. Bummed for you and our Eastern NY friends who are going to miss out on much of the snowfall. Wish we could all cash in nicely on one. 8 inches is a good call for here...especially with probably lower ratios than originally thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Best banding is roc area on hi rez You guys are looking golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: Got hi rez Canadian snow map? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 My call from a couple days ago looks damn good right now, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: My call from a couple days ago looks damn good right now, lol! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Sure does! I was thinking about that when looking at our friend Bgm's map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I got and even better idea, stop posting that horrific model cause it's all over the effin place. Is it the only model right now showing such a NW solution cause I haven't seen any others with such a NW solution?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 0z Euro identical in track to 18z thru hour 25... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Track and 850 temps near identical to 18z run so far, precip more developed on nw side... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 BUF-ROC steamrolled. Little bit less precip in CNY compared to 18z... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 It's inevitable that most of CNY mix's to an extent but I still think places North and West of the Cuse stay mostly frozen throughout this event. We better thank our lucky stars that this SLP is booking through the Northeast cause if it was to slow down just a bit, we'd all be screwed, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ya see, that friggen model is straight garbage plain and simple!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Low reorganizes in NJ, dry slot coming thru CNY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Overall track and evolution pretty identical to 18z run, but less precip in CNY from dry slotting... 0z precip 18z precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Accumulation maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro shifted its heaviest axis NW by about 80 miles in 12 hours. At least most of us stay on the colder side. Obviously, sleet will be the issue. And dryslot (good call BufWX). Looks like BUF-Roc is the sweet spot. Any further movement NW and it’s out of the good stuff for Rochacha. Hard to see BUF or IAG getting tainted at this point. I gotta sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Late week storm looks generally the same as 12z for track and evolution but a bit more precip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Thur-Fri storm precip... 0z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Thur-Fri snowfall maps... 10:1 Pre-storm Kuchera Post-storm Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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