96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Hour 42... track near identical to 6z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Solid hit for all. WSW for 8-14" coming this afternoon update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Hour 47 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:02 PM, 96blizz said: Expand Talk about being confused on ptype huh... of course the confusion is IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z track is a little east of 6z but nothing huge. Does bring some heavy precip back into CNY... Some zoomed in frames... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6z vs 12z precip for Mon-Tues.. 12z 6z 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 They always tick back SE. It’s the rule. I would put big $ on the NAM with a big correction at 18 and 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:12 PM, 96blizz said: They always tick back SE. It’s the rule. I would put big $ on the NAM with a big correction at 18 and 0z. Expand The storms have been going further NW all season long last minute. This year has not been further SE, maybe most seasons but not this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I’ll trade a few 1/100’s of QPF to be further entrenched in the ‘safety zone’. I don’t want to smell the taint. Wait....that sounds weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z snowmaps for mon-tues.. 10:1 Kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 This first storm really looks pretty solid. Seems like very little chance for it to bust. Only thing I would change would be the forward speed, but all in all a sight for sore eyes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Euro cut back on QPF a tad .1-.2" less. Either way 10-15" for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:13 PM, BuffaloWeather said: The storms have been going further NW all season long last minute. This year has not been further SE, maybe most seasons but not this year. Expand I feel like they go NW between hours t-60 thru t-24 and then correct back a bit. But yeah. Some kept going this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:15 PM, rochesterdave said: I feel like they go NW between hours t-60 thru t-24 and then correct back a bit. But yeah. Some kept going this year. Expand I just remember the storm that went literally 150 miles further NW then modeled in nowcasting time. ROC was supposed to get like 10-12' and got 3-4". I think it was in December. That was insane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Like my 15 inch call for roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 As most have mentioned, (but I wanted to just see the GIF myself) the GFS has been making sold and consistent moves in the right direction for 6 runs in a row. I would do anything to avoid that cutter... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:16 PM, DeltaT13 said: As most have mentioned, (but I wanted to just see the GIF myself) the GFS has been making sold and consistent moves in the right direction for 6 runs in a row. I would do anything to avoid that cutter... Expand I think Euro is going further SE this run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 6:16 PM, DeltaT13 said: As most have mentioned, (but I wanted to just see the GIF myself) the GFS has been making sold and consistent moves in the right direction for 6 runs in a row. I would do anything to avoid that cutter... Expand Cutter like it was showing doesnt make sence in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 My calls, will do a final one tonight after the 00z suite. BUF - 13.3” ROC- 17.1” SYR - 14.4” (except 1.2” at Matt’s house) ALB - 5.3” (mix issues) BGM 6.8” (mix issues) 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Storm 2 certainly isn’t cutting on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Euro going way SE, another big storm for most I think. 2nd storm might have some dry slot issues as secondary forms off the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/14/2021 at 5:44 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Live stream from Reed Timmer chasing. That guy has my dream life. https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/videos/938682490209316/?notif_id=1613275732467286¬if_t=live_video&ref=notif Expand Yay! We can watching southerners struggle with how to drive in the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Looking decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 What a time to be alive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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