Hoosier Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 NAM looks pretty good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: NAM looks pretty good. Both storms combined. Farther up by us, storm #2 is still going obviously...but there's a 32" spot down in NE AR. That's got to be 5-6 winters of snowfall for them in 5 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Look at these ensembles and remember these are in 10:1 ratios! This has potential to be recorded breaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Look at these ensembles and remember these are in 10:1 ratios! This has potential to be recorded breaking That's both storms together. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 20 minutes ago, Stebo said: That's both storms together. Right. I'm just talking snow depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Will be interesting to see if this ends up similar to current storm like nam suggests or a more sheared out way suppressed like gem and euro are suggesting. Gfs still pretty wrapped up. At about the same location as this current storm was at that time frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Indy has never had more than a 20 inch snow depth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Indy has never had more than a 20 inch snow depth Could get into rarefied air depending on how this plays out. The only time Indianapolis had a snow depth of 17"+ was in the last week of January 1978, when it peaked right at 20" on Jan 27-28, 1978. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The 6z GFS for the Thursday storm is insane lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: Could get into rarefied air depending on how this plays out. The only time Indianapolis had a snow depth of 17"+ was in the last week of January 1978, when it peaked right at 20" on Jan 27-28, 1978. @StormfanaticInd and @Hoosier Would never have guessed that, in fact-- struggling to process the fact that it's only been ""once:". Honestly, I think I would like to see where the official measurement location is....has to be limited by wind. Then again -- the back to back in a four day period is exceptionally rare.... This past week it has been interesting how much accumulation can sublimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Anyone think we will see this trend nw like current storm did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 NAM is going ctrl-c/ctrl-v from the current storm. Potentially going to be a historically large area with significant snow depths 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6-8 on NAM with Lake enhancement for NE IL (more typical not like today) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 ride the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 9 hours ago, Hoosier said: Could get into rarefied air depending on how this plays out. The only time Indianapolis had a snow depth of 17"+ was in the last week of January 1978, when it peaked right at 20" on Jan 27-28, 1978. And I was living in Indpls at that time attending seminary. Apartment where I lived lost power for two days. I feel fortunate enough to have experienced that storm and Chicago's Jan. 26-27 1967 historic snowstorm as well while living in Hobart Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Globals still wanting to keep this east. Gfs way east and gem more east than it was before. Will nam sniff out another nw trend or will this one be truly east this time? That's the million dollar question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Globals still wanting to keep this east. Gfs way east and gem more east than it was before. Will nam sniff out another nw trend or will this one be truly east this time? That's the million dollar question. Euro also continues to be east. Ukie maybe less so than it has been? Hard not to assume, at this point, the NAM is wrong, but I'll going to try and keep hope alive at least until this storm gets out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, McHenrySnow said: Euro also continues to be east. Ukie maybe less so than it has been? Hard not to assume, at this point, the NAM is wrong, but I'll going to try and keep hope alive at least until this storm gets out of the way. I mean NAM nailed this storm being much more west so it's possible. But would like to see more support from other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Don't know if this current one being so big is going to suppress the next though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18z NAM is east. Let's see if it's the beginning of a cave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
500 mbvort Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: 18z NAM is east. Let's see if it's the beginning of a cave. To me it looks the same as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 NAM is maybe a hair southeast, mainly a bit weaker, which resulted in less QPF and snow. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, 500 mbvort said: To me it looks the same as 12z. To be fair, I'm only going by QPF which is much lighter across Iowa and W Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, RCNYILWX said: NAM is maybe a hair southeast, mainly a bit weaker, which resulted in less QPF and snow. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk And the weaker it ends up, the further east it will be as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Remember where this current storm was at this point before it for Thursday's storm. Wagons will be moving left soon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
500 mbvort Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, Stebo said: Remember where this current storm was at this point before it for Thursday's storm. Wagons will be moving left soon. Classic windshield wiper effect on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 NAM continues SE shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Looks like nam caved finally. Showing pretty much a non event here. Hoping it can trend back but starting to think it may not. At least I got this current storm. Kinda funny this storm trended better and better and this one is the opposite. Ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Wow! This died quick. I've heard from some pretty reputable METS mention this will likely correct back west. Of course probably a lot frustrated posters with how this last one turned out for some. Maybe Eastern Ohio can finally get it's storm. Irony would have it turn left at the last minute and flip flop the emotions of the eastern seaboard and Eastern Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Air Traffic Control Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I don't have access to any of the fancy models, so I can't see 'where the east shift is.' That being said, they are still forecasting 1"-2" near STL so I am still hyped for more! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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