Chicago Storm Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I guess based on recent trends, waiting until Monday might not be necessary. If we can do at least halfway okay with the 14-16 snowstorm then this will end up being one hell of a wintry stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 some all-star blizzards in the CIPS analogs, but are we just gonna keep chasing these into april? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Gotta love the GFS for next Friday Feb. 19 snow total for the Calumet region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, purduewx80 said: some all-star blizzards in the CIPS analogs, but are we just gonna keep chasing these into april? Nope. This is the last big one I hope before the cracks start showing, so let's make it an actual big one 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Speaking of foreign support, the GEM looks a lot better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Waiting for the Euro to stop being trash though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 some all-star blizzards in the CIPS analogs, but are we just gonna keep chasing these into april?. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I'm sure it'll happen soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I didn’t order thunderstorms for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I guess this will be the last hurrah of winter. On to spring next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Ukie is still garbo but that's okay it took a while to catch on with this last even too I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 23 minutes ago, CoachLB said: I didn’t order thunderstorms for February. I would love that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 41 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: some all-star blizzards in the CIPS analogs, but are we just gonna keep chasing these into april? It seems like every storm trips GHD 1 or GHD 2 at some point in the analogs nowadays. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 44 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Gotta love the GFS for next Friday Feb. 19 snow total for the Calumet region. Pushing 2 feet... should be no problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Really, GFS 12z blasts the low for Thursday 300 miles NW from the 12z yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Have spent like 2 minutes on this setup but one thing about it is that not having that PV lobe nearby to the north, it seems like more of a risk to end up north of the Feb 14-16 storm. Not that it would automatically result in that outcome, but it's a possibility. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 This thing could trend even more northwest with block gone by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: . 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, CheeselandSkies said: I would love that. How about we melt the snow with a nice dry sunny stretch first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 With these storms ejecting out pretty south how likely is it that this follows the southern fringe of the snow pack that will be left from storm #1? Gfs and gem definitely more on board for a more northerly ejection but euro and ukmet seem to support my idea of a much more suppressed storm albeit weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: With these storms ejecting out pretty south how likely is it that this follows the southern fringe of the snow pack that will be left from storm #1? Gfs and gem definitely more on board for a more northerly ejection but euro and ukmet seem to support my idea of a much more suppressed storm albeit weaker. Probably won't know until late Monday. Same old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: With these storms ejecting out pretty south how likely is it that this follows the southern fringe of the snow pack that will be left from storm #1? Gfs and gem definitely more on board for a more northerly ejection but euro and ukmet seem to support my idea of a much more suppressed storm albeit weaker. would not be surprising to see a deep hard cutter once the PV relaxes and help establish a new pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Euro and Ukie wash and repeat of 14th-16th system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, Cary67 said: Euro and Ukie wash and repeat of 14th-16th system that'd be okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Baum said: would not be surprising to see a deep hard cutter once the PV relaxes and help establish a new pattern. Depends as much on a favorable jet streak alignment as the wave emerges onto the southern plains. If it doesn't deepen fast enough it will miss south again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Really won't know till we see what this system does. And where the PV anomaly is by mid week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Certainly not scientific, but I think this is where you want the Euro and Ukie at this stage. In other words, for us in IL, a miss. Both track records of the Europeans in the mid range had been awful lately... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 WPC 3-7 day sfc maps definitely seem more in support of Euro and Ukie like solutions with a sfc low very south and east. Curious to see how this evolves. Not sure if it will stay really south following the snowpack from first storm or if it will come more nw with the block to the north backing off somewhat by mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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