wdrag Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 A seemingly - relatively boring advisory light mixed wintry elements event seems to start as snow or sleet near I-195 in central NJ this morning and spreads north to the I78 corridor and LI by mid or late afternoon, eventually changing to a bit of freezing rain tonight. It ends sometime Sunday, probably midday ish. Have ended the topic time as Noon Sunday, since thereafter, temps probably close to or just above freezing with any remaining icing negligible for the remaining daylight hours. The region north of I80 in ne PA/nw NJ/extreme se NYS and s CT should see a period or two of light snow/sleet this evening into Sunday morning but the precip is so light that dry air may evaporate precip with nothing reaching the ground near I-84 in the northern part of our subforum. Uncertainty on precip types and even amounts, but thinking a few tenths of an inch of sleet here and there and certainly slippery at times all untreated surfaces this Saturday evening, Noting any spotty icing near dawn on the 15th as sporadically modeled near NYC is not covered in this thread. Advisories are posted for LI and much of NJ. Please follow NWS advisories and statements on this light prelim event for what appears to be daily bouts of wintry elements in portions of the forum the 15th, 16th, 18th and maybe early 19th. Leaving this last sentence as a place holder for updating the other the other threads by 930AM and deleting at that time once those are updated. Added WPC probabilistic ensemble graphics for today and tomorrow to assist with confidence but are necessarily imperfect due to the proximity of the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 13.5/0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 se NJ has seen some ice pellets recently per mPing- another handy APP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Cloudy. 20.8/2.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Current temp is 28/DP 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Min/max here since midnight is 25.5/27.8. Narrow range with obviously still some CAA at the surface. Currently at 26.2 so it's fallen off a bit from earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Cloudy. 20.5/4.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowzone Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 As of 2:28pm, Temp is 25 degrees, Dewpoint 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Light sleet right now in south Brooklyn Temperature 28 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Light sleet and a few flakes in Long Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Cloudy. 20.3/3.7 Looking at radar, it looks like nothing is going to happen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Busting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Doesn't seem like much, especially nw of NYC tonight in NW NJ, se NYS and northern Ct with anything there, possibly confined to the overnight or early morning hours Sunday. Seems like mostly I78 south across LI. Just have to be safe in this mixed light or very light event. Still almost a 20 degree spread in T/TD up here in Wantage, not boding well for qpf hitting the ground before 11PM up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 26/7/N1/OVC We have eggs, bread, milk and beer. We're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, gravitylover said: 26/7/N1/OVC We have eggs, bread, milk and beer. We're good. I usually skip the milk, and use the extra few bucks for more beer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 27/10 for Lindenhurst, don't believe there is any precip falling yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, sussexcountyobs said: I usually skip the milk, and use the extra few bucks for more beer. I do it for the cookies. @wdrag yup, 19 degree spread here right now also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, gravitylover said: I do it for the cookies. @wdrag yup, 19 degree spread here right now also. Cookies! Then it's ok. Lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 27° With sleet here in SW Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 21 minutes ago, wdrag said: Doesn't seem like much, especially nw of NYC tonight in NW NJ, se NYS and northern Ct with anything there, possibly confined to the overnight or early morning hours Sunday. Seems like mostly I78 south across LI. Just have to be safe in this mixed light or very light event. Still almost a 20 degree spread in T/TD up here in Wantage, not boding well for qpf hitting the ground before 11PM up here. bone dry here 29/9 new NAM has very little for anyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Going to be some surprises later tonight. Unbelievable how clueless the 18z 3k NAM is. Frontogenesis at the lower levels is developing over the I-95 corridor and I expect the radar to fill in after dark. You can see how the latest run of the HRRR shows about a 3-4 hour burst of precip beginning around 03z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Generally speaking this should continue to expand Northwestward and the heaviest axis of precip should be near the I-80 corridor, but should extend into the Hudson Valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Light sleet mixed with freezing drizzle here in SW Suffolk and 27°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 some very light sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Light freezing precip. starting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Cloudy and cold. Deep winter out this way. Looks like Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Not to much of a north push on the precipitation so its only getting so far north. Temp dropping here. Current temp 27/DP 14 w/occasional sleet falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Looking at radar there is basically zero going on in Pennsylvania. Looks like a bust in north Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 41 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: some very light sleet Thought I saw a single lone snowflake about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 20.1/5.7 Snoozefest incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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