Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Huge zr signal that run and sleet up into SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow that is an epic pellet-fest south of the pike that run. so my 12 inch snow pack will have almost an inch of frozen material added to it....should be quite the glacier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Wow that is an epic pellet-fest south of the pike that run. It's even in the upper 20s for here, that's some beefy low level cold. Looks mostly sleet/fzra here even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wow that is an epic pellet-fest south of the pike that run. north of the pike, thinking freezing rain? or more snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Huge zr signal that run and sleet up into SNH The arctic cold in low levels is really impressive even at like 900-925mb....definitely more of a sleet sounding. You want torched 850s for ZR....these 850s are barely around 0C. You aren't getting ZR when you are barely above freezing in the warm layer and like -9C at 925mb, lol. That is a paint peeler if I ever saw one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: north of the pike, thinking freezing rain? or more snow? More snow north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Bostonseminole said: north of the pike, thinking freezing rain? or more snow? Looks Sleet to Snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 at 96 hours it is in the mid teens here and still dropping with heavy precip....yikes Then drops below zero afterwards to solidify everything, geeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: More snow north. Decent front end thump here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 v16 a bit cooler but similar idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: More snow north. I am pretty confident it will end up as mainly snow/sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Looks like we thump here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am pretty confident it will end up as mainly snow/sleet here. Yeah. Snow thump then an hour or two of lighter sleet and then the obligatory hour or two of freezing mist. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 yeah, these will be one of those crazy storms it seems with every type of precipitation, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Wilton is playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The arctic cold in low levels is really impressive even at like 900-925mb....definitely more of a sleet sounding. You want torched 850s for ZR....these 850s are barely around 0C. You aren't getting ZR when you are barely above freezing in the warm layer and like -9C at 925mb, lol. That is a paint peeler if I ever saw one. That's the type of sounding you may even get some flakes forming under the inversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: That's the type of sounding you may even get some flakes forming under the inversion Yep, the classic "pixie dust" sleet with frigid surface temps. You get these crappy flakes forming below the warm layer so the sleet is more like a 3 or 4 to 1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Locking that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Anyone notice the GFS rains on Monday prior to Tuesday storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Yeah, it's going to be at least an advisory level thump here then just enough sleet to make it impossible to clean up. Can't wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Don’t forget this will keep trending north with the warmth aloft. These always do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t forget this will keep trending north with the warning aloft. These always do Needs to be a lot warmer for ZR....not sure I see it, but I suppose its possible if we keep phasing the northern stream. RGEM was doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Anyone notice the GFS rains on Monday prior to Tuesday storm? yup, so does the Reggie, havent seen the CMC yet, but I would assume it follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Anyone notice the GFS rains on Monday prior to Tuesday storm? Yeah, Just looked, I did notice the snow up here on Monday, We'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Didn't we have a pan-regional event a couple season's ago... it was a sleet mess. My front yard had 2.5" of sleet that next morning when I keyed my car. I was amazed... I mean, 2.5" of sleet is a pretty hefty water stoked event, and to have all that be clear pellets was really something. I remember the run -up to the event thinking it could bust snowier ..roughly the N- half/arc of the spatial realization, because the logic at the time was a very cold antecedent air mass, might pile up deeper in the sounding east of the Berks'-Whites topography, ... etc..etc..and make the soundings rather steep/frontogenic loaded... That would tend to compress the latitude bands of ptype S ... you know - cold rain- ZR-IP-S ... But it was the same sort of thing from HFD to almost CON NH... IP everywhere.. big dose of it. I don't think this is that. I do think with the high pressure and general +PP arced W-N of the area, and the B-C zone slicing SW-NE well enough S of our latitude, this really should compress the ptype bands more so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 GGEM sort of follows Reggie....mostly ZR and rain....sleet way into NNE on that run. That's nearly a full phase with the northern stream which seems unlikely, but that is how the storm would look if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM sort of follows Reggie....mostly ZR and rain....sleet way into NNE on that run. That's nearly a full phase with the northern stream which seems unlikely, but that is how the storm would look if that happens. Yea, sell a full phase. How is it fully phased w a 1006mb low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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