dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: Or both are ruined. LOL That wouldn't shock me either this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Or both are ruined. LOL Better high placement Thursday with cold still pressing not retreating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: That wouldn't shock me either this season. A flush hit sure seems hard to come by. These storms are all flawed and taking stupid tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Better high placement Thursday with cold still pressing not retreating. Hopefully it all lines up for @dryslot. I am really pulling for him to get some snow. @Lava Rock too. Dude has been mega-shafted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: A flush hit sure seems hard to come by. These storms are all flawed and taking stupid tracks. Went from suppression to inland runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At this point I almost want it to be more like 37-39F rain to try and melt off some of this ice damming on my roof. A few hours of ZR and then 34F rain will be mostly useless. The pack here is already decent water content, it’s going to be able to withstand a grenade launcher after this debacle. Better be worth it for Thursday...lol. Almost seems like this Is you subtly preparing yourself for liquid precip in Holliston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Lol I'll be sniffing glue before 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The 2 or so weeks of winter that we had down here in the south was nice...plus the bonus week in mid-December, and the extra credit Halloween storm in October. Experiencing the feel of winter's of yore was nice...winter activities and all. Now we can get back to our regularly scheduled, Spring prep. Thanks to all who madd it possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3k NAM tries to cold tuck SE NH before the actual cold front comes in from the west. That would probably create a nasty black ice situation on untreated surfaces Tue night. May have to watch that into NE MA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Lol I'll be sniffing glue before 32 Every model has decent icing in the RT 2 corridor. Franklin and N ORH Co's will have outages me thinks. Guess I'll test the generator in the morning and get more petrol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Every model has decent icing in the RT 2 corridor. Franklin and N ORH Co's will have outages me thinks. Guess I'll test the generator in the morning and get more petrol. Don't be a clown, turn that axe head frown upside down, I'll be as happy as a clown if that icy nicey happens! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 31 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Almost seems like this Is you subtly preparing yourself for liquid precip in Holliston Absolutely. Not subtle...I’m already expecting a good chunk of liquid given these trends. But I’d rather get a few hours of raining at 37-39F in there to clear the ice dams at this point than have it be mostly 33F rain which is going to be largely useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The NWS is saying I could get 3” of Snow before the Icing? That seems VERY Aggressive. That would GREATLY help the rain damage to the pack to come. *As this is the One scenario where I pray for rain. Nothing worse in the world than Ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Absolutely. Not subtle...I’m already expecting a good chunk of liquid given these trends. But I’d rather get a few hours of raining at 37-39F in there to clear the ice dams at this point than have it be mostly 33F rain which is going to be largely useless. Even you know Holliston ain't the best for CAD... but if you're 37 then me and hubby and hippy are rain as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, TheSnowman said: The NWS is saying I could get 3” of Snow before the Icing? That seems VERY Aggressive. That would GREATLY help the rain damage to the pack to come. *As this is the One scenario where I pray for rain. Nothing worse in the world than Ice. I’d be surprised if we got any measurable snow at all before the ice (and then rain)...maybe a brief period of light snow tomorrow but even tomorrow looks more sleety if anything happens later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: The NWS is saying I could get 3” of Snow before the Icing? That seems VERY Aggressive. That would GREATLY help the rain damage to the pack to come. *As this is the One scenario where I pray for rain. Nothing worse in the world than Ice. The watch also includes every single county in their CWA and you're on the SE fringe of the watches so take that into account. Doubt youll see little if any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Whineminster said: Even you know Holliston ain't the best for CAD... but if you're 37 then me and hubby and hippy are rain as well. It’s possible you go to rain for sure. But it would likely not happen until a lot of ZR first. Still a little skeptical of plain rain where you are though unless we’re talking some 33F drizzle in the dryslot. We’ll see if any trends stabilize or reverse by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 RGEM is mostly pingers even up to Phin. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 HREF cut back quite a bit on freezing rain in CT, however it's still .25-.50" with FRAM algorithm with some .5" + pockets.. here is 00z out to 36 compared to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: RGEM is mostly pingers even up to Phin. Heavy sleet with temps in the low to mid 20s. Eh, whatever. The pack will just absorb that garbage. If this storm is going to crap now, I hope it fizzles out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Like I said....it was a nice 10 day season.....the whole D and D and D and D thing didn’t work out so this season totally caved....great storm in December leading up to Xmas then the grinch said fuk off and cancelled that shit right out....January was A-MAZ-ING.....with zilch nada bunk.....February tried and couldn’t quite do it....don’t come at me with whole but but but what about those two storms that dropped 8+? Who fukin cares if nothing else comes later and all you’re doing is losing pack late in the season....piss off 20-21.....you sucked 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 When it’s 2F in Houston Tues Am and 34 and Rain In ASH it’s kinda funny . what a arctic push to Western G of Mexico Tuesday A.M. unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: The difference is that arctic airmass advects in. If you remember, that same airmass was supposed to advect in ahead of this storm back when it was an SNE snowstorm. Here’s Euro H5 from a few days ago....check out that northern stream way ahead of the southern shortwave Now that airmass advects in behind Tuesday’s storm. We’re not getting the brunt of it, but it should produce an antecedent airmass colder than the one for this storm. Would happily trade Tuesday for a solid snow thump Friday, and end the week 1 for 3. 0z Mon Euro depicts a better antecedent airmass Friday for NNE, but SNE still looking borderline. Plenty of time to improve if a more amped Tuesday system advects more cold behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Still no chance this moves SE? Judging by the lack of post apparently not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Pretty pathetic to see it rn in Feb. That used to be the 'safe' month.Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Still looks like prolonged icing inland, especially higher elevations like ORH on north. Should be good icing for Kev, but he may squeak above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still looks like prolonged icing inland, especially higher elevations like ORH on north. Should be good icing for Kev, but he may squeak above freezing. 6Z Euro is a blood bath even for Kev. I am rain start to finish with .8 precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still looks like prolonged icing inland, especially higher elevations like ORH on north. Should be good icing for Kev, but he may squeak above freezing. I made peace with 50 + and pack wiped out here this morning during the run. Cleared my head . This is Xmas all over again . Hope to replenish it on Thursday . Though I think ones also going to be lost 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 6Z Euro is a blood bath even for Kev. I am rain start to finish with .8 precip I saw. I felt wishy washy yesterday, but thought the 12z NAM was onto something. I still think people like Hubbdave will have some good icing. I never had any skin in the game here, but was hoping others might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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