Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Instead of Damage in Tolland, it's swimming in Tolland on 18z EURO from coldest model to warmest in one run!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:01 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: 18z euro coming in pretty far NW Expand Oh well. Maybe we can get something wintry later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 You have to luv the off hr Euro, 06z and the 18z runs have some very noticeable differences from 0z and 12z runs and its something that happens a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:04 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Instead of Damage in Tolland, it's swimming in Tolland on 18z EURO from coldest model to warmest in one run!! Expand Short-lived watch for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:02 AM, dryslot said: That 18z Euro is a furnace aloft, Worse then 12z, What the hell happened to the SE tics like all season. Expand Murphy’s Law winter for us. Just a total disaster. What a week it could’ve been. Such a letdown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 50-60 degrees across most of the southern half of southern New England . Might have to replace the winter weather advisories with flash flood watches if the euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:07 AM, PWMan said: Just a total disaster. What a week it could’ve been. Such a letdown. Expand This whole winter has been really, Cant catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:07 AM, PWMan said: Just a total disaster. What a week it could’ve been. Such a letdown. Expand You to dryslot has been a nightmare. Can’t catch a break there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:06 AM, moneypitmike said: Short-lived watch for many. Expand 10 hours above 45 not too short lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:07 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: 50-60 degrees across most of the southern half of southern New England . Might have to replace the winter weather advisories with flash flood watches if the euro is right. Expand How funny would it be if Brownsville, TX gets more ice that the Tolland Massif? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Time to embrace the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:09 AM, CoastalWx said: Time to embrace the torch. Expand I'm ready, F this storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:10 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'm ready, F this storm. Expand Trend is not your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:10 AM, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'm ready, F this storm. Expand Are you getting rid of icestorm except for ALB NW? Should have known when Scoots called me in a great spot we’d lose it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:06 AM, dryslot said: You have to luv the off hr Euro, 06z and the 18z runs have some very noticeable differences from 0z and 12z runs and its something that happens a lot. Expand What’s 100 miles between friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Holly Euro. Look at the difference in temps at 21Z on Tuesday. For me in Central NH Plymouth is now 11F warmer than prior run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 That was even a tic or so, That was a sizeable shift NW on the 18z Euro, Of course it was 4mb stronger too which didn't help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:12 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: What’s 100 miles between friends? Expand When we have needed storms to shift NW this year never happened, Now we don't want one and it won't stop, Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I’ll freely admit that I haven’t followed every detail of this, but WTF happened?? I thought this was as synoptically locked in as you’ll ever see - big slug of moisture ramming into a strong cold high which was supposedly perfectly positioned. Now we’re just getting firehosed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:11 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Are you getting rid of icestorm except for ALB NW? Should have known when Scoots called me in a great spot we’d lose it Expand I said unless 00z runs get bullish like that. Go euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:11 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Are you getting rid of icestorm except for ALB NW? Should have known when Scoots called me in a great spot we’d lose it Expand We still get .15 to .30" ice accretion but really have to consider the possibility of a pack eating torch Tuesday AM if those NW tracks come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 40’s up into S/ C NH. Unreal . Ok I’ll wave the flag . Only in this winter could we lose an icestorm to a complete pack wipeout to NH border within 24 hours. All those cold calls .. gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said: 40’s up into S/ C NH. Unreal . Ok I’ll wave the flag . Only in this winter could we lose an icestorm to a complete pack wipeout to NH border within 24 hours. All those cold calls .. gone Expand While TX digs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:11 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Are you getting rid of icestorm except for ALB NW? Should have known when Scoots called me in a great spot we’d lose it Expand Take the watches/warnings down if the trend doesn’t stop at 00z. I’ve been pretty confident this would start going back SE at some point but that PV lobe is providing like zero resistance which is weird. You’d think at some point it would. I mean, as recently as 12z runs today, we saw a notable increase in the high presence up north...maybe something weird happened in the 18z runs that was kind of fake. If it’s real, we will see it again at 00z. Its also kind of amazing to remember that the GGEM utterly de-pantsed the GFS/Ukie/Euro all from about 4-4.5 days out. It was all alone for like 2 cycles on showing the partial phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:12 AM, wxeyeNH said: Holly Euro. Look at the difference in temps at 21Z on Tuesday. For me in Central NH Plymouth is now 11F warmer than prior run Expand Precip is outta here by then. Is that just mixing us out on the backside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said: 40’s up into S/ C NH. Unreal . Ok I’ll wave the flag . Only in this winter could we lose an icestorm to a complete pack wipeout to NH border within 24 hours. All those cold calls .. gone Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:15 AM, PWMan said: I’ll freely admit that I haven’t followed every detail of this, but WTF happened?? I thought this was as synoptically licked in as you’ll ever see - big slug of moisture ramming into a strong cold high which was supposedly perfectly positioned. Now we’re just getting firehosed. Expand Nothing is ever guaranteed in the weather as I said earlier, this was a delicate setup and not a classic SWFE at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 12:19 AM, dendrite said: Precip is outta here by then. Is that just mixing us out on the backside? Expand Yeah that’s what it looks like. Midlevels are so torched that FROPA spikes you to near 40F and you get 50s in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 FUGLY 12z 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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