Rjay Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Have at it folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 12z Euro fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Thankyou. Much easier to follow the upcoming events with these new topic headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Upton calling for more freezing rain and sleet than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 35 minutes ago, justinj said: Upton calling for more freezing rain and sleet than anything That’s what the soundings are currently showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 "How much for Philly" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 CMC is way more amped than GFS with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 NO one inch snow probs for our subforum from WPC this morning but it's possible there is a bit of snow accumulation along the I84 corridor spotty 1-2?. Whatever it is, is light and I think only advisory where the eventual ice encroachment. Graphics added from 09z/12 for probs of 0.01 freezing rain. Remarkable I think to see a freezing rain bullseye for LI on Valentines Day. Treated roads would probably be just wet, but untreated surfaces, bridges and overpasses... caution. Probably not enough glaze for power outages unless someone slides into a pole. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 GFS has little to nothing for Sat night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Euro has a few inches of snow for northern parts of the city on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Winter Weather Advisory issued here from 1 pm tomorrow until 1 pm Sunday for less then 1" of snow and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Will begin the OBS-NOWcast for the 13th-14th advisory event (already a portion of NJ) at about 5A Saturday, gaining a little more confidence on timing the showery mixed precipitation heading our way. Maybe it will be more stratiform? Think it will begin as a bit of snow or sleet at the start NYC midday-afternoon with maybe a few tenths before any change to freezing rain at night, ending sometime Sunday. nw of I95 there's a small chance of an inch or so of snow-sleet, before any ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, wdrag said: Will begin the OBS-NOWcast for the 13th-14th advisory event (already a portion of NJ) at about 5A Saturday, gaining a little more confidence on timing the showery mixed precipitation heading our way. Maybe it will be more stratiform? Think it will begin as a bit of snow or sleet at the start NYC midday-afternoon with maybe a few tenths before any change to freezing rain at night, ending sometime Sunday. nw of I95 there's a small chance of an inch or so of snow-sleet, before any ice. Walt, Are North and NW of I84 in the loop? Thank you ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 28 minutes ago, sferic said: Walt, Are North and NW of I84 in the loop? Thank you ! yes... I 84 itself looks rather light, the EC seemingly a little better than. Yes, they're in the OBS thread once we get it going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 11 minutes ago, wdrag said: yes... I 84 itself looks rather light, the EC seemingly a little better than. Yes, they're in the OBS thread once we get it going. Thank you ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Sneaky little event tonight into early Sunday. Any ticks north which hasn't been that uncommon this winter and it could be a surprise 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Sneaky little event tonight into early Sunday. Any ticks north which hasn't been that uncommon this winter and it could be a surprise 1-3 inches. I think it would be more likely we might see 0.1-0.3" of QPF as sleet/freezing rain for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 All of the precip in the map below is falling on surfaces that are below 32F and is shown as ZR on the Euro. This would be 0.2-0.4" of ZR for most along and SE of 95, which would be a pretty big deal. Temps except right at the immediate coast never get above 30F. The Euro is showing more QPF than most other models, but if it's right, this is a fairly nasty ZR event, especially with much of the precip falling at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 So a foot of sleet in the next week, on top of half an inch of ice, on top of 30" half melted, brown snow. Fun times! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Will get obs thread going by 6A... set for starting time around 15z extreme s part of forum and spreads north to 180 in earnest by 21z. It's a mess and will leave types wide open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmendevils8204 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Is tonight looking like less of a threat? Not seeing much buzz on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 12z HREF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 25 minutes ago, gmendevils8204 said: Is tonight looking like less of a threat? Not seeing much buzz on here. It looks like the system is going off to our south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, Dark Star said: It looks like the system is going off to our south? I sure hope so. Who needs ice? It would really be a relief... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 May have been posted earlier, but presume you noticed the 375,000 customers (a little less than a miliion people) without power just n of RDU through southern VA! This was the SPC HREF FRAM ice forecast for the 00z/13 cycle for Saturday. Not too bad. It tend to be a little heavy sometimes, and maybe a bit too cold on the south side. If you look at power outage.us and click the states... pretty impressive. That's what I'll be looking for up here in NJ/PA/NYS/CT Mon-Tue, THU-FRI. So while we had some problem glaze in our sub forum... nothing like southern VA, far north-central NC. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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