yoda Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, EHoffman said: LWX issuing the watch at the same time every model goes super dry. Absolute poetry Huh? NAMs were wetter than 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, EHoffman said: LWX issuing the watch at the same time every model goes super dry. Absolute poetry Just follow the NAM. It has the hot hand right now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, yoda said: Huh? NAMs were wetter than 12z The NAM is always wet, Euro and GFS super dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, EHoffman said: LWX issuing the watch at the same time every model goes super dry. Absolute poetry Yeah but sometimes lighter precip is actually more problematic in these temps. It’s only forecast to be in the upper 20s to low 30s for Saturday/Sunday. If you wanna see some pretty trees and deck railings then showers and drizzle will do the trick. Now, on Tuesday, if it’s really 20 degrees then yeah heavier rain will accrete and if you’re rooting for a high impact event then yeah root for heavies. Just my $0.02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, EHoffman said: The NAM is always wet, Euro and GFS super dry Super dry? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Just follow the NAM. It has the hot hand right now. Gambler's fallacy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Gambler's fallacy! This whole hobby is gambling without the money loss. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Stormfly said: Last time we had a verified ice storm warning was Feb 04, 2014. Accretion on various objects can be beautiful for sure. Ugh that storm was bad up my way, over a quarter inch, lost power for a day, tons of tree damage. You guys can have it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Glad I went to Costco and stocked up on beer. Zach Daniel is saying the last time we had an ice storm this bad was 20 years ago... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, dailylurker said: Free firewood or bust I actually prefer the bust. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 38 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Yeah but sometimes lighter precip is actually more problematic in these temps. It’s only forecast to be in the upper 20s to low 30s for Saturday/Sunday. If you wanna see some pretty trees and deck railings then showers and drizzle will do the trick. Now, on Tuesday, if it’s really 20 degrees then yeah heavier rain will accrete and if you’re rooting for a high impact event then yeah root for heavies. Just my $0.02. The thing I thought that was odd about the LWX Watch was where it said "Travel could become nearly impossible." -- -- That is pretty harsh wording, usually only reserved for the biggest and most troublesome events. And modern ice storms around here rarely seem to cause too much havoc on major interstates, especially when forecast ahead of time considering the amount of pre treating and salting that occurs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treyfish Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1360005708947877888/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 25 minutes ago, mappy said: Ugh that storm was bad up my way, over a quarter inch, lost power for a day, tons of tree damage. You guys can have it, lol Here too, we STILL have leftovers from that one. Some trees just couldn't be saved. Hate when that happens. Unless it's oak that can be milled of course. Perhaps everyone should root for ICE, then we'll get snow. Couldn't hurt, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 53 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I actually prefer the bust. you don't want free hardwood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: This whole hobby is gambling without the money loss. And that’s a gambler’s fallacy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, mdhokie said: you don't want free hardwood? I have plenty of that. I need more bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 This is one where I don't mind not being in the bullseye. Ice storms=power outages. Not fun when it's 27 deg out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Seeing all the people rooting against ice is the clearest signal ice in on the way 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Seeing all the people rooting against ice is the clearest signal ice in on the way This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 NAM goes back to dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0Z nam just lost our ice that it showed at 18z but didn’t show at 12z. I love consistency. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: NAM goes back to dry it like it just evaporated right before it got into our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 where did it go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Something is and has been coming over last 10 days and for next 4. Models have not known what nor where and will not so neither do or will we. Looks like significant arctic plunge was a bust also even if two days for upper 20’s high upcoming A new method is desperately needed and I have the answer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: it like it just evaporated right before it got into our area We know how this goes. No reason to think it’s coming back. And next week? Forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 HRRRRRR, doesn't look dry at all for 7pm. I'll roll with that even this far out. Hugs foHrrrrr all Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: where did it go? normally i'd think that's a glitch but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ji said: where did it go? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Something is and has been coming over last 10 days and for next 4. Models have not known what nor where and will not so neither do or will we. Looks like significant arctic plunge was a bust also even if two days for upper 20’s high upcoming A new method is desperately needed and I have the answer. Care to share with the rest of the class?Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 59 minutes ago, mdhokie said: you don't want free hardwood? Not when it's presented in my dining room, no. Rooting hard against any ice, especially given condition of a few bent pines around my house. I'm on a four bust streak here, happy for a fifth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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