EHoffman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: Euro striping the northern tier with best qpf/column. I mean this kind of stuff is really hard to predict.... a year or 2 in advance I mean my call for every storm the next 5 years is M-D line having the best qpf/column. Come at me Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: Yeah same. Definitely pleased with what I see so far though. It's going to be a matter of whether 850s blast up from the south... Moderate snow, vacillating between 33-34. The trajectory of the radar looks questionable for DC, we’ll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NovaWahoo Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 32.4/32. Light snow w/ a little sleet/grauple mixed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodwidp Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 First flakes starting to fall in N. central Balt. county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO sorta brought back wave two for Central VA. It’s still Wednesday, just need a few 30 mile north shifts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO sorta brought back wave two for Central VA. Given what we've seen, I'm not counting us out in DC yet. The models have been completely awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 IMO, it's all about elevation plus distance from the Potomac. I'm about 100 feet up from DCA. Pixee may be as much as 300 feet up, maybe a bit further away from the Potomac, and Fort Reno is up around 400 feet. So I wouldn't be surprised to see DCA get maybe an inch if generously measured, me an inch or so, and Pixee and Fort Reno get the 3 promised NWS inches. That's ASS-U-MEing equal QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILIKERAKE Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just started seeing flurries in Sparrows Point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, colonelaureliano1 said: Im assuming you want to be above the purple line on this kind of map? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: The trajectory of the radar looks questionable for DC, we’ll see though. Looks great to me. Straight into the heart of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 34 with some flakes starting to fly here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Heaviest snow I've seen all year in Chevy Chase. Overperforming so far. About a half inch or inch on the grass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 18z Euro is pretty wet....10:1....I think DC thermals are borderline for part of the storm, so maybe some sleet I think north of a line from Winchester to Columbia could do really well tonight. South of that is more dicey...a couple/few inches not out of the question, but could be sleety at times and probably a little less wet I'd be more than happy with this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 HRDPS looks very similar to the euro with qpf distribution. Like really close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Actually snowing pretty decently now, ie I can see flakes without looking at a streetlight. Not sticking or anything but better than rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, lpaschall said: Light snow in Westminster 34 Got a couple of flakes starting in New Windsor. Not sure if there is a pocket of dry air or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Waiting for someone to post the correlation coefficient radar to sufficiently depress (some of) us. F that person. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just looked at latest HRRR soundings. DCA actually stays snow/mostly snow until 2-3 am when the warm nose at 825-850 arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 snow flurries in Towson 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Snow in silver spring, grass and cars coated. Pavement wet. Overperformer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 DCA reports M0.6" snow. Source: https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#LWX/202102110000/202102110000/0100 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: DCA reports M0.6" snow. Damn ok go off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18z EURO sorta brought back wave two for Central VA. LOL. DT must be ripping his hair out like a mad scientist right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: DCA reports M0.6" snow. LOL no way... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, EHoffman said: LOL no way... 2 minutes ago, T. August said: Damn ok go off https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#LWX/202102110000/202102110000/0100 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbook Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 0.3" in Oakton, VA> 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Waiting for someone to post the correlation coefficient radar to sufficiently depress (some of) us. F that person. Here is the current DC sounding. It's going to snow...this is not a rain event for you.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Some yellows and oranges popping up on radar near Charleston wv niceeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 IAD reports M0.4" snow: Source: https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#LWX/202102110000/202102110000/0100 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: DCA reports M0.6" snow. Source: https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#LWX/202102110000/202102110000/0100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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