StormfanaticInd Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 The beginning of the end. Been like this all winter for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 ^ I'll set the floor at 4" IYBY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 This is kinda sad lol. Maybe it'll rebound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Baum said: ^ I'll set the floor at 4" IYBY i'm just mourning the turbo big dog, sounds like a fine number 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 WPC Day 5 snow probs and their model choice via extended forecast discussion The WPC medium-range forecast package was derived from a composite blend of the 12Z ECMWF/EC ensemble mean, the 18Z GFS/GEFS, together with a smaller contribution from the 12Z CMC/CMC mean and the 01Z NBM. Mostly ensemble means were used on Days 6 and 7 given the increasing model uncertainties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 35 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: The beginning of the end. Been like this all winter for my area I'll give it another day or so. If it doesn't trend back nw I'll give up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, zinski1990 said: I'll give it another day or so. If it doesn't trend back nw I'll give up. Many of yesterday's 12z EPS members brought mix/ZR/rain up into central IN. The 0z and 6z EPS looks like a better track - very few mixing issues here, albeit drier. The GEFS is a similar situation. I like where we're at ATM, though do need to monitor any weaker/more sheared/drier trends today and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 these things just get no room to breathe 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 16 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: these things just get no room to breathe Exactly.. models are having a hard time figuring out each storm 72 hours out as its predisesor is being ironed out. problem is it's a parade of storms each within 72 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, blue60007 said: Many of yesterday's 12z EPS members brought mix/ZR/rain up into central IN. The 0z and 6z EPS looks like a better track - very few mixing issues here, albeit drier. The GEFS is a similar situation. I like where we're at ATM, though do need to monitor any weaker/more sheared/drier trends today and tomorrow. The Euro looks good. Were lucky that were in a neg pna. Southeast ridge is saving it from being another southern slider 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 21 minutes ago, zinski1990 said: The Euro looks good. Were lucky that were in a neg pna. Southeast ridge is saving it from being another southern slider 00Z Euro area average sounding for Chicago below. The DGZ is ~14,000' deep with steep lapse rates above that and unidirectional flow off the lake. Would probably be double digit totals w/ the QPF it has forecast. Obviously still a lot can go wrong w/ the TPV not moving out in time. There has been a trend for a deeper upper low moving across the SW and TX - if that can cut off a bit more and slow down it would likely result in a farther N/W storm track at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 gfs stopped the bleeding at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 14 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: gfs stopped the bleeding at leasr Getting more blue in the PacNW (PNA) and red E/NE of the Great Lakes (confluence) is what could bring this north. Baby steps. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 we hit on these next couple, even modestly, and we're pushing top tier depths for our climo 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 26 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: we hit on these next couple, even modestly, and we're pushing top tier depths for our climo Don't remember depths exceeding this in 07-08 or 13-14. GHD was temporary and not the steady increase this year has been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 ukmet should be good again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cutlew Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Don't remember depths exceeding this in 07-08 or 13-14. GHD was temporary and not the steady increase this year has been Skilling posted this last night, duration of this snow depth definitely getting impressive. Top 5 is in the bag, would be neat to have every day in February in double digits though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, cutlew said: Skilling posted this last night, duration of this snow depth definitely getting impressive. Top 5 is in the bag, would be neat to have every day in February in double digits though Its been remarkable. I haven't seen the ground since late December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: ukmet should be good again From what I can tell, 0.5"+ qpf for Chicago with a nice lake enhancement signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: From what I can tell, 0.5"+ qpf for Chicago with a nice lake enhancement signal. Yeah hot run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, A-L-E-K said: Yeah hot run Gonna have crazy snow depths around the area if this next week or so of systems pans out. 3", 6", 8" snow depth is kind of all the same to me, but if we're talking around 2 feet or more, yeah, bring it on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: we hit on these next couple, even modestly, and we're pushing top tier depths for our climo Out here in corn country, I judge snow cover by how much corn stubble is still visible. In 25 years, I can't recall it being this deep for this long, ever. There is barely a corn stalk visible in any field. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, DaveNay said: Out here in corn country, I judge snow cover by how much corn stubble is still visible. In 25 years, I can't recall it being this deep for this long, ever. There is barely a corn stalk visible in any field. my new favorite term 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I haven't been home since nov 1st, but via cam near my front door, I can confirm I see blades of grass peaking through the snow. The lack of big dog potential in my neck of the woods this winter is a bummer. Old crusty snowcover doesnt do anything for me but y'all enjoy your yellow/black dirty snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Old crusty snowcover doesnt do anything for me but y'all enjoy your yellow/black dirty snowcover. Blinding white out here, nothing yellow, black, nor dirty about it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Remember earlier in winter when systems had marginal cold air 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Late February 2014 looked like this here... even after some melting and compression. I was out west during peak depth though. The problem is this year hasn't had the lake effect with the cold. Lake enhancement has all been in Wisconsin and Illinois. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 There’s been atleast 4” of SD here in DKB since December 30th. Not sure what SD records look like but feel like by the end of the month we might be getting close. I can’t remember a year we didn’t nuke the snowpack at some point in Jan-Feb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cutlew Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 40 minutes ago, DaveNay said: Blinding white out here, nothing yellow, black, nor dirty about it. Based on last two weeks you could probably go from Kankakee to the Keewenaw without seeing anything but blinding white. Maybe Milwaukee but tonight will take care of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts