Radtechwxman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Definitely an interesting system. Really won't know till we get closer esp if something like Euro pans out with the upper low driving snow up here and a very far south sfc system almost like a secondary system spreading a lot of precip albeit a warmer scenario for the Ohio Valley. 18z gfs breaking my heart with a near miss. Come on team euro. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Probably nobody remembers this but "potential system" is the same wording I used initially in the thread title for the end of January system, before editing it as the storm closed in. Sometimes you gotta go with superstition. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Next week *could* make up big time for this winter in central Indiana! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 54 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said: Next week *could* make up big time for this winter in central Indiana! Is there an echo in here?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 The ICON is NW Don't ask what the hell is going on with the state-sized hole in the cold sector 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: The ICON is NW Don't ask what the hell is going on with the state-sized hole in the cold sector Why'd you pick that frame to post lol? Later on looks more normal. Pretty good to be snowing in Saginaw while the surface low is on the Gulf coast. Doesn't pay to get into those kind of details but hopefully this can be a spread the wealth system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Hoosier said: Why'd you pick that frame to post lol? Later on looks more normal. Pretty good to be snowing in Saginaw while the surface low is on the Gulf coast. Doesn't pay to get into those kind of details but hopefully this can be a spread the wealth system. I was too gung-ho, I've been sitting here drawing and chose the first frame of real interest; then I was too lazy to switch after I realized my mistake. It is kind of interesting though how certain models seem to favor a spread-the-wealth deal while others show a fat slug of heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 It is in the single digits in MI and northern IN while this is occurring. Could be a really cold system on the nw flank even though it is coming out of the Gulf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 It is 10 degrees with sleet in central Arkansas at 108 hrs on the GFS. Low level cold means business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 GFS is also weaker and gets squashed by the TPV. Fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Boo. Going east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 ^You two probably want it where it is right now. Bigger risk of you ultimately sweating precip type than a whiff south, imo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Hoosier said: ^You two probably want it where it is right now. Bigger risk of you ultimately sweating precip type than a whiff south, imo. I sure hope so lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 CMC is way different too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Could be a nice lake enhanced setup for the western shores of Lake Michigan as well, assuming system snow makes it in. 850s should be quite cold at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: CMC is way different too. It's already out that far? What website? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: It's already out that far? What website? Well on TT it's at hour 126, it's a NW sheered out POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 This going to be another promising long range storm that becomes a polished turd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, StormChaser4Life said: This going to be another promising long range storm that becomes a polished turd? With our luck it will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Hey hey hey guys, at least we have the next storm queuing up already! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 HAHA. Now a better looking storm behind this. I feel like our big storm forever keeps getting pushed out. It's the Neverending Story of meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Canadian has a lot more confluence hanging back. Possible, but seems like a bit of an outlier solution at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Punt at your own risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I refuse to punt this storm. Even in a GEM type of solution, you get lucky and end up with a long duration snowfall somehow or something- idk, but I'm not punting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Canadian has a lot more confluence hanging back. Possible, but seems like a bit of an outlier solution at this point. It has been shit from the get go so it is consistent there, but I don't trust it with southern stream pieces. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 The 00z UK is a carbon copy of the 12z Euro.... gets the PV lobe out of the way, cuts the sw upper energy nw into Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I feel a real "polished turd" storm at best. These threats just don't stand the test of time anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 It's kind of an L that both the v16 and GEFS are screwed again. I think part of my perfect storm would be all of the model data actually being relayed on time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 fwiw, WPC this afternoon said hell yeah! to a spread the wealth event. Tbh, can't remember seeing one of these with this much +SN at once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Wow this got shredded huh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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