Chambana Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Hype. Let’s do this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I gotta ask the question again. If this keeps trending stronger/amped, could Blizzard conditions materialize somewhere. And if so, where's the most likely place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Frog Town said: I gotta ask the question again. If this keeps trending stronger/amped, could Blizzard conditions materialize somewhere. And if so, where's the most likely place. I've been reading that NWS is not expecting wind and duration to meet the criteria at present. Mainly heavy snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Hype. Let’s do this. Finally getting a good one here with favorable trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I think the nam was too amped. I could be wrong but most likely too amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, Courtney_snow said: Can we defund the NWS and models? Absolutely worthless. If models are only accurate a day out, we don’t need them. I can look outside and see what it’s doing. Models are not the be all and end all in forecasting even though we have fun with them here. They are a useful tool to be used with good old fashioned synoptic meteorology.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z RGEM jumped NW as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The 06z EPS as you'd expect also notably bumped NW vs 00z run, which itself was a noteworthy jump from the 18z run. Can a trend gif be created on WxBell? Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Courtney_snow said: Can we defund the NWS and models? Absolutely worthless. If models are only accurate a day out, we don’t need them. I can look outside and see what it’s doing. I’m all for this 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Can we defund the NWS and models? Absolutely worthless. If models are only accurate a day out, we don’t need them. I can look outside and see what it’s doing. lol.. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Air Traffic Control Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I heard the cry for lurkers to appear... Lurker from about an hour east of the St. Louis city, and seeing that bright pink bulls eye moving slowly to my location is... Well, as a person who grew up in an island with snow a foreign word [or the precursor to the apocalypse], the amount of hype I'm feeling is beyond ecstatic!! We still have graupel from last week hanging around - radiant heat has turned the top layer to ice, but it's still majestic to see. About 2" or so - the air not being above freezing since the 5th or so ofFeb helps. Was also a brutal -1°F, too, this morning. I've never been so cold before in my life... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I like 6-9" for the Toledo area. Do have a little worry with as cold and dry as it will be that this eats into the QPF a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Nothing more predictable than a mby meltdown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I really don't know what to think for us in the I-71 region. NWS has held steady for us despite glaring model changes. As it sits now the nam is the only one that actually screws me over, but there's no telling if the bleeding has stopped on the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Always fun to take the time to post on here along with [mention=1610]purduewx80[/mention] and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, RCNYILWX said: Always fun to take the time to post on here along with@purduewx80 and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Don't listen to the bs. We greatly appreciate everything you guys do. Not an easy business. Back to the task at hand, let it snow. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OhioWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I'm very used to the models teasing us around here, but it never fails to be disappointing. Still, fingers crossed we don't get robbed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Always fun to take the time to post on here along with [mention=1610]purduewx80[/mention] and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS. As someone who works in law enforcement... but enough politics, your input is valued and appreciated. Especially when I wake up to posts about solid NW trends. another tick or two and most of LOT needs a watch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, ILSNOW said: NAM 54 hrs Will buy in if globals continue NW trend in 12Z and beyond. Always chance for recorrection SE especially on the fringe here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Always fun to take the time to post on here along with@purduewx80 and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I don't work for NWS but I know how frustrating it can be to see it. You, and several other red taggers in this subforum, provide some great information. We are lucky to have you. To those that are so quick to toss the NWS and all their hard work, we see you. For one second, just put yourself in their shoes and then make your judgment. Anyways, off my soapbox and back to the good stuff... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Always fun to take the time to post on here along with@purduewx80 and any other NWS mets that post here and on other subs, and see others saying they'd have no problem defunding the NWS. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I do not support defunding the agency that has to try forecasting something as variable as the weather. Weather is fickle, weather is emotionless. Weather does whatever it wants to do, and that can change on a dime. As a general point: I couldn’t do the job that RC & Purdue do; and we should be even more thankful to have them around to give their expertise. It’s like if you were on the Reddit page for Game of Thrones/your favorite TV show & one of the actors was a regular contributor. Can’t take it for granted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Trend is our friend. WAGONS NORTH! Went from a DAB yesterday to being in a solid advisory event now. LES is going to be epic. We will be unmoderated for awhile while Hoosier blacks out in joy. Funny how relative everything is. Here I'm sitting thrilled at the potential for 2" after it looking DAB to DAB+ yesterday lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Snownado said: Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ? To be honest I think that would take the fun and artistry out of forecasting and tracking these systems. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Anyway..trend is undeniable here. Should be by far the biggest event of the season. Snow emergency is essentially guaranteed at this point so will be swamped at the city doing snow removal. Bring it on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Cary67 said: To be honest I think that would take the fun and artistry out of forecasting and tracking these systems. It might take the fun out, but it would also take the stress out ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Snownado said: Will there ever be a time when technology is so great that models can forecast the exact weather with 100% accuracy 7 days out ? IMO the biggest challenge is getting the initial conditions correct. A 100x more powerful supercomputer can't take detailed in-situ upper air measurements over the pacific. This is why using ensembles are so important when forecasting more than a couple days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, MIstorm97 said: Anyway..trend is undeniable here. Should be by far the biggest event of the season. Snow emergency is essentially guaranteed at this point so will be swamped at the city doing snow removal. Bring it on Whats your snow depth? Got the delta app fired up and really close to booking a flight home tonight and staying for the week in hopes of the late week storm producing too. Could be record snow depth. Hoosiers asleep at the ban switch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12z OP GFS bumped NW, but still we’ll SE of other guidance. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Stevo6899 said: Whats your snow depth? Got the delta app fired up and really close to booking a flight home tonight and staying for the week in hopes of the late week storm producing too. Could be record snow depth. About 6” or so. Felt like deep winter this morning shoveling yesterday’s fluff in the cold temps. Snow tomorrow should be pretty fluffy too, so shoveling won’t be super bad. Already at 8.8” for the month (8.3” at DTW), so if this week works out then we’re heading into a top 10 February probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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