RobertSul Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 hours ago, Frog Town said: Thanks for the insight. It just really makes you wander which way this is gonna go. I've fought the NW trend all my life, now i'm fighting the SE trend. Maybe it's time to move, lol. Just live a nomadic lifestyle. Instead of following herds of buffalo you can chase snowstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, RobertSul said: Just live a nomadic lifestyle. Instead of following herds of buffalo you can chase snowstorms. If I was retired and had money I'd just spend the winter chasing snowstorms across the country. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, IWXwx said: I agree with you in going Watch for Cook and dropping to an Advisory later if necessary Yeah I think a watch could've been justified for Cook, and certainly for Lake/Porter given the earlier onset of the lake band there (really just about 30-36 hours away now), although it is starting to look more like a Cook/Lake IN favored setup and maybe a little less threatening for Porter, but who knows with this type of thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I think the wording in my office's AFD was enough to imply that a watch might be considered without directly saying it. 6"/12 hour criteria for a warning seems quite doable for the LES setup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 FWIW 18Z GFS ticked NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Yeah I think a watch could've been justified for Cook, and certainly for Lake/Porter given the earlier onset of the lake band there (really just about 30-36 hours away now), although it is starting to look more like a Cook/Lake IN favored setup and maybe a little less threatening for Porter, but who knows with this type of thing. Just posted below you, was gonna say since LES inherently is a bit more uncertain, if they're gonna do it, probably not a big deal to wait until tomorrow morning's issuance. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Can I lock in the 21z RAP, oh please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Just posted below you, was gonna say since LES inherently is a bit more uncertain, if they're gonna do it, probably not a big deal to wait until tomorrow morning's issuance. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I think I got spoiled by that early trigger on the late January system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Can I lock in the 21z RAP, oh please. repeat? -------- Heavy Lake Effect Snow Event of January 21-22, 2014 Fast Facts Total snowfalls were: 7.2" at Midway Airport 3 SW 5.9" at Chicago-O'Hare - this brought the seasonal total to 44.8", tied for 3rd most snow ever in Chicago by 1/21 with 1977-1978. 2.0" at the NWS Forecast Office in Romeoville. N GRIFFITH 24.0 E 230 PM 01/21 41.52N 87.42W https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014jan22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 19 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: repeat? -------- Heavy Lake Effect Snow Event of January 21-22, 2014 Fast Facts Total snowfalls were: 7.2" at Midway Airport 3 SW 5.9" at Chicago-O'Hare - this brought the seasonal total to 44.8", tied for 3rd most snow ever in Chicago by 1/21 with 1977-1978. 2.0" at the NWS Forecast Office in Romeoville. N GRIFFITH 24.0 E 230 PM 01/21 41.52N 87.42W https://www.weather.gov/lot/2014jan22 Right before I moved here. I took a quick look at that event the other day and Delta T's were similar. Not sure how the other parameters compare though. I know that 2014 event had 4-5" per hour rates around Griffith. Usually you're gonna need pretty good inversion heights to get rates like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Since we're piling on to CLE tonight, I have to laugh at how they use the wording "snow showers" rather than just "snow" in their zone forecast. Man that's one helluva snow shower. Ever see a snow shower that took in four or five entire states? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 43 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Can I lock in the 21z RAP, oh please. Let's go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Should have no problem making the fence completely disappear by Monday 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Should have no problem making the fence completely disappear by Monday 90 miles and a lake makes quite a bit of difference in the winter eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 For those of us on the northwest fringe for the synoptic, the 18z Euro bumped northwest a bit. LE looks decent too. If wanted I can post the WeenieBell Kuchera. Can we get a last minute shuffle like Jan 4-5 2014? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Made it to Sun Valley 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 That is eye candy for a large part of the sub due duration, at the very least. I know it's the RAP but watching it snow like that on a descent snow pack with temps in the teens is awesome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: For those of us on the northwest fringe for the synoptic, the 18z Euro bumped northwest a bit. LE looks decent too. If wanted I can post the WeenieBell Kuchera. Can we get a last minute shuffle like Jan 4-5 2014? Yes Please!! I remember that shift oh so well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: For those of us on the northwest fringe for the synoptic, the 18z Euro bumped northwest a bit. LE looks decent too. If wanted I can post the WeenieBell Kuchera. Can we get a last minute shuffle like Jan 4-5 2014? one weenie map pls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 This is starting to get real 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: This is starting to get real But KIND says only 3 or 4" ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Snownado said: But KIND says only 3 or 4" ? I think they are being conservative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 All of Texas and Oklahoma covered in winter watches and warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohiocat5908 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 What's the 10:1 map look like?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Temperatures for this event in Indy are going to be between 10 and 13 degrees! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, Snownado said: But KIND says only 3 or 4" ? Have a feeling this could end up being quite the snow maker for a good chunk of us. If the trend continues, I would guess a lot more watches to be issued in the morning package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 It's just mind boggling to look at the Euro, and to almost discount 75% of the wester edge. Some Mets are probably gonna lose some sleep over that. To be 10-15" on the Euro, and 2-5 on the GFS......Normally I'd be ecstatic 36 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Frog Town said: It's just mind boggling to look at the Euro, and to almost discount 75% of the wester edge. Some Mets are probably gonna lose some sleep over that. To be 10-15" on the Euro, and 2-5 on the GFS......Normally I'd be ecstatic 36 hours out. The big thing as noted earlier are the ratios... we’re talking 20 to in some cases nearly 30:1 with temps in the lower teens. I believe the EURO (kuchera) is onto this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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