HighTechEE Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said: March 2008 was such a great, long-duration event. However, it's not exactly been 13 years for all of Central Ohio. February 5-6, 2010 saw 12"-15" for some areas along and north of I-70, and February 15-16, 2010 hit a foot in a few spots. Double-digit snowfalls are exceedingly rare in Central Ohio, though. If we go by single-day totals, there have only been 3 since 1884. 2-day events, you only have 10. So this event could be historic from that perspective. Last double digit snow IMBY was Jan 13 2019 when we got 10" in the south Dayton area in one of those elongated events just like the Monday/Tues one this past week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, HighTechEE said: Last double digit snow IMBY was Jan 13 2019 when we got 10" in the south Dayton area in one of those elongated events just like the Monday/Tues one this past week. Jan 2019 for Dayton? Hah. Your climo is better than downtown Chicago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Can someone explain the 21z RAP and why it's so far northwest?? Is it a joke model that never verifies, I assume, based on the sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 hours ago, Frog Town said: Basically the Euro vs. the GFS more the mid forum folk......Normally I'd be be giddy for what the Euro is showing, but things have been strange lately. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Can someone explain the 21z RAP and why it's so far northwest?? Is it a joke model that never verifies, I assume, based on the sarcasm. always amped at longer ranges 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 TY What's more interesting is it's axis of heavy snow. Any validity to that, or is it also a complete outlier. by amped, you were probably also refereeing to it's position as well. got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, Frog Town said: TY What's more interesting is it's axis of heavy snow. Any validity to that, or is it also a complete outlier. by amped, you were probably also refereeing to it's position as well. got it And that 21z rap is from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 It’s been 10 years since we have seen a double digit snowfall. It will likely be another 10 before we see another one. I hope this happens as modeled. I am just happy the last part of winter this season has been this good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: nam probably gonna bury me at 12z just to go andit'sgone.gif by 0z Bingo. The nest even dangles a carrot for NW LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 would still take the gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: would still take the gfs yeah, city along and southeast of I-55 looking good today. Hoping to sneak out a couple inches in that cold air regime even here. BTW....who starts the next thread?.....to late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 So what's the consensus here?? Are most abandoning the Euro and going with the GFS? Can someone post an ensemble blend of the two for comparison? That would be much appreciated and might help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS has been better for us with last few storms. Euro has been folding to GFS in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 The GFS Para has a totally different look. Which one has been better lately?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, fyrfyter said: It’s been 10 years since we have seen a double digit snowfall. It will likely be another 10 before we see another one. I hope this happens as modeled. I am just happy the last part of winter this season has been this good. Cincinnati came really close to double-digits just last week. I think some of the metro hit that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, jbcmh81 said: Cincinnati came really close to double-digits just last week. I think some of the metro hit that. NKY at the airport got to 9.something due to mesoscale banding. I got 5 at my house, in NW Hamilton County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Frog Town said: The GFS Para has a totally different look. Which one has been better lately?? The GFS v16 has been much better. looking foward to it taking over as the operational GFS next month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, fyrfyter said: NKY at the airport got to 9.something due to mesoscale banding. I got 5 at my house, in NW Hamilton County. 9.8", which is as close to double digits as you can get. Most of the heaviest stuff fell just south of the river. But overall, Cincy has had a good winter. It's already above average for the entire season I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 So why is everyone's forecast hedging towards the GFS operational in their AFD's?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 I think its close to that. The first 2/3rds of our winter was awful. Glad we are gaining some back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fyrfyter Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, Frog Town said: So why is everyone's forecast hedging towards the GFS operational in their AFD's?? Because it has performed better recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, Frog Town said: So why is everyone's forecast hedging towards the GFS operational in their AFD's?? At a minimum I doubt they can use an experimental/non-operational model in an operational forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Thanks for the insight. It just really makes you wander which way this is gonna go. I've fought the NW trend all my life, now i'm fighting the SE trend. Maybe it's time to move, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greenwald Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS v16 kuchera has us in 11 inches, my local news says 1-2 inches. NWS says 2-3 inches. Lol.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, Greenwald said: GFS v16 kuchera has us in 11 inches, my local news says 1-2 inches. NWS says 2-3 inches. Lol.. I think gfs parallel has had over 70 inches in my backyard in the last month and we've probably got maybe 10 so I wouldn't trust it. Looks like another Detroit duster incoming. Its wild how every decent event has eluded the indy/toledo/dtw corridor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 GFS v16 kuchera has us in 11 inches, my local news says 1-2 inches. NWS says 2-3 inches. Lol..LMK had southern indiana at 2 to 5. Local stations wont make a call before 12 to 18 out, change it 5 times and then declare victory.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G935A using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 Still liking the possibility of double digits near the lake in the LOT cwa. RegionRat may be in a favored spot but really anybody from around downtown Chicago over to Porter county is in the game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: The GFS Para has a totally different look. Which one has been better lately?? That’s like comparing if the blind guy or the armless guy is better at darts. They have both been abysmal in their own way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Wow!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 19 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Still liking the possibility of double digits near the lake in the LOT cwa. RegionRat may be in a favored spot but really anybody from around downtown Chicago over to Porter county is in the game. Don't know if this will actually happen but if it were me, I'd go winter storm watch for Lake/Porter with the afternoon package... would be mainly for the northern parts of the counties. There's more time to decide about what to do with Cook county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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