Sweetpea Farms Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Dry in southern Lincoln County. We are pretty much gonna get passed by tonight unless there is more development that I just don't see. So far, it's what I thought. We'll see about tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sweetpea Farms Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 44 minutes ago, Utvols235 said: Has anyone kept up with how things currently look vs how the models had them at this point? . Looks to me like all but one of the models I watched and those I shared were spot-on so far. Actually less precipitation here than even the accurate models had forecast. NWS has had Lincoln County in minimal impact status for 2 days. So far, correct! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Was sprinkling here at the house at 33. Some stations at 32 here in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Sweetpea Farms said: Looks to me like all but one of the models I watched and those I shared were spot-on so far. Actually less precipitation here than even the accurate models had forecast. NWS has had Lincoln County in minimal impact status for 2 days. So far, correct! HRRR looks good to me,guy from NASHVILLE severe said it was to cold.Maybe he needs to do more experiments with his balloons before going public 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, PowellVolz said: FYI.... it’s around 33-34 In my area. Only made it to 36 and the high was supposed to be 42. Not worried as of now but I will say my DP has fallen off to around 29-30 degrees. It’s possible this might start as sleet or ZR in the northern valley. . On WxUnderground, I am seeing stations at or below freezing on the north and northwest sides of Knoxville. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamabonners Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, Sweetpea Farms said: Dry in southern Lincoln County. We are pretty much gonna get passed by tonight unless there is more development that I just don't see. So far, it's what I thought. We'll see about tomorrow. Sweetpea, I'm just southeast of huntsville in Owens Cross Roads. Looking like most of this is staying just west of us, which is fine with me. I don't mind snow, but I don't want anything to do with ice. Are you thinking the same? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnwxwatcher Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Currently setting at 33° here in Knoxville, near Pleasant Ridge road and Clinton Hwy. Temps have fallen steadily within the last 4 hours... was at 40 earlier this afternoon. Humidity currently setting at 91%, DP at 31° Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Shocker0 said: Similar to John here but no power issues luckily. Temperature down to 27 after only topping out of at 29. If the temperatures continue to stay well below advertised like the last few days, tomorrow will be a nightmare here with ice. The grass is even slippery now and we haven't had any real precip other than sprinkles I actually slipped in my yard just from the drizzle all day. A complete glaze of ice on everything. Taking dog out patio is very dangerous. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Morgan Co SD reporting roads are becoming iced over. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Maybe fixing to hit some decent IP shortly here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codgator Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 23 and sleet in Franklin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Yeah,IP here now,hopefully the fools on the road will be safe or t-dot might light up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, jaxjagman said: Yeah,IP here now,hopefully the fools on the road will be safe or t-dot might light up People are haulin ass on I-65 in that sleet. There have already been several multi-car crashes around Nashville and the show is just barely getting started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestTennWX Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 Radar starting to fill in. It will be interesting to see how some of the short term models handled this first wave 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BNAwx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 People have no common sense. When it’s below freezing and there’s stuff falling from the sky, you slow the ef down. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, WestTennWX said: Radar starting to fill in. It will be interesting to see how some of the short term models handle this first wave Yeah,HRR showed this going west of Nashville 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Friend in Paris says this is starting as sleet despite the p-type radar indicating snow. Edit: RadarScope shows pink, so it's picking up on the sleet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: Friend in Paris says this is starting as sleet despite the p-type radar indicating snow. Yeah,i seen some reports of sleet and snow but most are sleet,radar isnt doing very good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestTennWX Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: Friend in Paris says this is starting as sleet despite the p-type radar indicating snow. I was wondering how close some of the p-type algorithms are to actual conditions on the ground. The progression of this Arctic air has been a gem to watch unfold. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 T-DOT: Quote Extremely Hazardous Interstate 65 both directions in Williamson County - Between MILE MARKER 53 (Mile Marker: 53) and MILE MARKER 74 (Mile Marker: 74), extremely hazardous winter road conditions were reported at 2/14/2021 8:20:00 PM with motorists advised to use caution on this roadway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highway2Heel Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 23 and sleet in Columbia. Spent all day getting a very thin coat of ice from freezing mist so the sleet is very much welcome as opposed to the alternative. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 44 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: Friend in Paris says this is starting as sleet despite the p-type radar indicating snow. Edit: RadarScope shows pink, so it's picking up on the sleet. Still light sleet in bolivar as well, sitting at 18 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Tuesday morn the 18z Euro shows Memphis dipping below 0.with more snow probably and IP mixed in ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 18Z FEB14 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) SUN 18Z 14-FEB -8.4 -0.7 126 8605 01011 MON 00Z 15-FEB -6.5 -1.3 127 6829 01009 MON 06Z 15-FEB -8.0 0.1 127 6280 01009 0.10 MON 12Z 15-FEB -10.2 -2.0 126 6592 02011 0.08 MON 18Z 15-FEB -10.7 -4.3 125 0 35010 0.53 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -11.3 -8.6 124 0 33010 0.08 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -13.6 -10.8 123 0 32006 0.00 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -18.1 -13.3 123 0 31004 0.00 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -11.2 -10.6 124 0 32002 0.00 WED 00Z 17-FEB -13.7 -7.2 125 0 34006 0.00 WED 06Z 17-FEB -10.5 -1.3 127 0 07005 0.00 WED 12Z 17-FEB -9.3 -3.0 127 0 04003 0.00 WED 18Z 17-FEB -2.1 -1.4 129 0 03005 0.01 THU 00Z 18-FEB -1.7 -1.1 129 6092 02006 0.21 THU 06Z 18-FEB -2.1 1.2 130 7120 01008 0.12 THU 12Z 18-FEB -2.6 0.2 130 5130 36008 0.01 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Nashville is close to another big ice storm ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 18Z FEB14 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SUN 18Z 14-FEB -2.9 0.1 1025 69 48 563 544 MON 00Z 15-FEB -2.1 1.4 1024 71 94 563 544 MON 06Z 15-FEB -3.2 2.6 1023 95 97 0.10 562 544 MON 12Z 15-FEB -3.7 2.4 1021 94 96 0.10 561 544 MON 18Z 15-FEB -3.0 0.9 1016 91 100 0.31 559 546 TUE 00Z 16-FEB -4.6 -2.4 1012 89 95 0.45 552 542 TUE 06Z 16-FEB -7.4 -8.0 1015 85 31 0.06 545 534 TUE 12Z 16-FEB -9.4 -11.9 1020 80 66 0.01 541 526 TUE 18Z 16-FEB -5.7 -11.6 1023 60 36 0.00 547 529 WED 00Z 17-FEB -9.1 -10.2 1024 71 12 0.00 553 535 WED 06Z 17-FEB -9.8 -4.6 1025 79 38 0.00 557 538 WED 12Z 17-FEB -6.5 -2.7 1026 78 70 0.00 559 539 WED 18Z 17-FEB 1.2 -1.0 1025 50 97 0.00 561 542 THU 00Z 18-FEB 0.7 0.1 1020 66 97 0.00 562 546 THU 06Z 18-FEB 0.2 1.5 1019 96 98 0.56 564 548 THU 12Z 18-FEB 0.8 3.5 1016 94 71 0.28 562 550 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, Blue Moon said: Sleet is piling up fast here. Already more than 1/4" on flat surfaces. Drifts of it are forming quickly. Was that forecast for you guys or was it expected to be mostly snow at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ice http://traffic.brentwoodtn.gov/201113.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach B Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Shocker0 said: Was that forecast for you guys or was it expected to be mostly snow at this point? I was supposed to get mostly freezing rain with the first batch where I am south of Nashville, but I've got mostly sleet with lots of snow grains. I'm holding at 25 for now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Ice http://traffic.brentwoodtn.gov/201113.htmInterstates, especially 24 south of Nashville look lovely . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Coach B said: I was supposed to get mostly freezing rain with the first batch where I am south of Nashville, but I've got mostly sleet with lots of snow grains. I'm holding at 25 for now. I thoght it was snowing also when i just went outside not much sleet no more, more ZR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 A video clip I saw from Paris looked like snow was mixing in with the sleet there now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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