nchighcountrywx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Avery-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, and Jonas Ridge 249 PM EST Thu Feb 11 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Avery, Caldwell Mountains and Burke Mountains Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon EST Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Both 12km and 3 km at 18z have warning criteria ice over the triad by 10am tomorrow. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I’m checking out WPC’s latest freezing rain forecast maps and my backyard has an 80% chance of 0.10”, a 70% chance of 0.25”, a 40% chance of 0.50”, and a 10% of 1.00”. So what does RAH know that WPC doesn’t? Or does WPC just churn out verbatim model data? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 RNK updated their ice map this afternoon. RAH hasn’t since 4:32 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m checking out WPC’s latest freezing rain forecast maps and my backyard has an 80% chance of 0.10”, a 70% chance of 0.25”, a 40% chance of 0.50”, and a 10% of 1.00”. So what does RAH know that WPC doesn’t? Or does WPC just churn out verbatim model data? I’d say Anywhere from Riedsville-Altavista VA better Charge there Phones tomm. 40% is actually relatively high imo for 1/2” ICE product Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: I’d say Anywhere from Riedsville-Altavista VA better Charge there Phones tomm. 40% is actually relatively high imo for 1/2” ICE product I’m right under the “H” in the word Haw above Greensboro. With the conflicting guidance, I don’t know what to expect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m right under the “H” in the word Haw above Greensboro. With the conflicting guidance, I don’t know what to expect. I’d prepare for 1/2”.... Expect 1/10-1/20th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 If this verifies then it is going to surprise the hell out of some people.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 39 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m checking out WPC’s latest freezing rain forecast maps and my backyard has an 80% chance of 0.10”, a 70% chance of 0.25”, a 40% chance of 0.50”, and a 10% of 1.00”. So what does RAH know that WPC doesn’t? Or does WPC just churn out verbatim model data? That’s definitely just raw model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Roxboro is four degrees colder than the NAM at 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Take your pick: the 18z GFS vs the para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 18z gfs is, uh, just a little south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 45 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: 18z gfs is, uh, just a little south “Juuuuust a little outside” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 HRRR doesn’t have as much freezing rain tonight because of...sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Already 37 here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Sleet much more pronounced here last 15 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, btownheel said: Already 37 here. Yep. 36.3 and rain here. And RAH insists... Little or no ice accumulation expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 "Pingers" in Lynchburg. Seems like a rain/sleet mix, mostly sleet now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonah Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: "Pingers" in Lynchburg. Seems like a rain/sleet mix, mostly sleet now. Where are you in Lynchburg? It's about a 50/50 mix of rain/sleet at my apartment. Closest station is reading 32.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 34.9 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Help a brotha out folks, I am seriously short on time to really figure this out. As you know I'm rolling back from Cincy tomorrow with your polar vortex in tow. Now I'm worried I'll be making my own ice storm down I77. Is this legit? Should I stay put until Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 34.9 here. 39 here 4.5 Miles N Of Davidson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Is the radar looking dull because of the blacksburg radar not working? I wonder what the radar really looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is the radar looking dull because of the blacksburg radar not working? I wonder what the radar really looks like It’s sparse when looking at KRLX, KJKL, KMRX, KGSP, and KRAX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 28 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Help a brotha out folks, I am seriously short on time to really figure this out. As you know I'm rolling back from Cincy tomorrow with your polar vortex in tow. Now I'm worried I'll be making my own ice storm down I77. Is this legit? Should I stay put until Saturday? The only part of that route that has a current winter storm warning is Beckley, WV. Here’s Beckley’s NWS forecast. I’ve seen worse conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Down to 32.0 here with heavy sleet and some flakes mixed in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 12k Nam already looking much more juicy at hr 33. Let’s see where this run goes. Coverage also looks like it was better portrayed on 12k vs 3k for the current event rolling through now, at least for my direct area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: 12k Nam already looking much more juicy at hr 33. Let’s see where this run goes. Coverage also looks like it was better portrayed on 12k vs 3k for the current event rolling through now, at least for my direct area. Nam has freezing rain now all the way into Catawba County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Good bit of sleet showing up on the 3k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Good bit of sleet showing up on the 3k NAM.Throw us some looks!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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