JoshM Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Well, the High Res NAM is getting close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Silly NAM continues to creep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, buckeyefan1 said: Silly NAM continues to creep Hell it’s almost like we’ve lived through some of these 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 RIP tree canopy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said: Silly NAM continues to creep Still gonna need some more cold, with these marginal temps, it'd be very self limiting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: I remember a devastating ice storm up in Wytheville back in the mid 90's or so. Every yard I drove past had some sort of tree damage. Probably at least an inch of ice or so. TW You probably remember 12/02. Most of the accrual in that event happened with heavy rain(thunderstorms actually at one point) at 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Was that on FB live? During his 5 o'clock news and yes he had a couple videos on FB too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Hell it’s almost like we’ve lived through some of these Imagine that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 RGEM looks Uber cold as well for a good portion of the triangle between 60-66. Nicely well defined wedge. At 72 the icing output is much lighter up this way but more serious down toward Greensboro and areas directly surrounding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: RGEM looks Uber cold as well for a good portion of the triangle between 60-66. Nicely well defined wedge. At 72 the icing output is much lighter up this way but more serious down toward Greensboro and areas directly surrounding. RGEM looked more like your typical wedge with colder temps back in the NW Piedmont compared to the NAM that was more east based wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 35 minutes ago, Ghicks said: Hoping the ice stays to my north Which mo 34 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: NAM Total ICE thru Saturday.... geez.... Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Which model is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 RGEM does the same thing as the NAM and builds the wedge back in later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, WXNewton said: RGEM does the same thing as the NAM and builds the wedge back in later in the day. Meso hp maybe? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, tarheelwx said: Meso hp maybe? TW TW this is what I was kind of alluding to the late last night early this morning in one of my posts wrt the overall setup. The winter storm watch that was issued for up here I feel like since we’re starting warm it’s going to be very hard to be able to accrue anything ice wise. Once the wedge actually does establish itself tho I view that as a very concerning piece come Saturday as it will be very hard to dislodge it, more so with it backing and building south/southwest into the day. This could get very real for northern NC/southern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 45 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I’ve lived in ROA since 2011. Is there anything that you can recall or think of that even came close to something like this throughout the decades or years? This is about 60 hours away give or take. We’re not talking 5-6 days out. Pretty crazy to think at an average of 1.30” half would still be .65”. If this verified , it's been probably 20+ years since an ICE storm like this came through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 You would think in this setup with the wedge building in as the precip moves in from the south that most places would stay all freezing rain once they get locked in. I am not sure I buy any warming up besides the latent heat released. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 So this is suboptimal as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 The ice maps for the NAM are assuming everything freezes on contact. That’s simply not going to happen with temps 30-32. Freezing rain as we all know is self limiting anyway. I’m not an ice fan at all, but if for some reason you like no power for two weeks, you would want the surface temps to be on the order of 26-27. In Dec 2002 I measured 0.75 on the tree branches in MBY. We managed to stay 26-28 degrees the entire event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: So this is suboptimal as well Man that's ICE Storm Warning material right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, jjwxman said: The ice maps for the NAM are assuming everything freezes on contact. That’s simply not going to happen with temps 30-32. Freezing rain as we all know is self limiting anyway. I’m not an ice fan at all, but if for some reason you like no power for two weeks, you would want the surface temps to be on the order of 26-27. In Dec 2002 I measured 0.75 on the tree branches in MBY. We managed to stay 26-28 degrees the entire event. I was at 30-31 for most of freezing rain part of that event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 WPC update (part 1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: I was at 30-31 for most of freezing rain part of that event How much ice did you have? That’s definitely the benchmark ice storm for the Triad area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 WPC update (part 2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: So this is suboptimal as well Yes because it’s creeping into mby If you’re at 31 degrees or lower when it starts raining, watch out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, jjwxman said: How much ice did you have? That’s definitely the benchmark ice storm for the Triad area. Right at an inch. It is probably the worst natural disaster in the Charlotte Metro in my forty years here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: WPC update (part 2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: WPC update (part 1) Danville special @BornAgain13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I'm 55yrs old and I grew up in Brown Summit, NC which is just northeast of Greensboro. When I was in the 7th grade at NE Guilford Jr High we had three ice storms over a 5 or 6 week period. Two of the storms were devastating. No power for a week, twice. Sleeping by and cooking using the fireplace. I had a 10 gallon fish tank and most of them did not survive. It was crazy! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: Danville special @BornAgain13 More like , not special lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
landof2rivers Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Yep, pass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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