Chicago Storm Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 divorce weekend wintry potential. . 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 We need the PV lobe to delay its southward plunge for a day so the pacific wave has an opening. Something like the 06z GFS would be ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 at least this should clean up that other thread GGEM should improve at 12z hoping all the 12z guidance backs off a lil on the eye of sauron looking block 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Kuchera looks ridiculous for this coming Valentine's Day afternoon, but 9 inches at 10:1 ain't bad either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownado Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Indystorm said: Kuchera looks ridiculous for this coming Valentine's Day afternoon, but 9 inches at 10:1 ain't bad either. Seems like every storm the totals diminish as the event gets closer. Don't see why this would be any different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Seems like every storm the totals diminish as the event gets closer. Don't see why this would be any different.Ban.Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 So posts about the block go in this thread? We've had so many threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 gfs punted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 gfs punted6-9” is the new punt...i’m in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The random bullish model runs have no follow-through. Usually, the very next run is a big jump back south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 GEM caved...Like the GFS, a 6-9” event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 For now, I see this as a good step. Plenty of time to trend either way in the short term, but at least a resemblance of consensus is being reached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitchener poster Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I’ll take what the Canadian and GFS are selling Saturday night into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 43 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 6-9” is the new punt...i’m in. . Seems like heavy reliance on Mr. Kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Cary67 said: Seems like heavy reliance on Mr. Kuchera. meh, i'm fine with it given how ratios are and will perform in this airmass, we've been doing better if anything ukmet coming in like the ggem, so nice sign there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: divorce weekend wintry potential. 2/14 will be the one year anniversary of my divorce... I had to laugh when the court assigned that date... A snowstorm would be a nice distraction... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: meh, i'm fine with it given how ratios are and will perform in this airmass, we've been doing better if anything ukmet coming in like the ggem, so nice sign there That is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I'd love a Friday night storm and would gladly take GFS/GEM/UKIE totals. Won 't buy any high ratios until the event is much closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, McHenrySnow said: I'd love a Friday night storm and would gladly take GFS/GEM/UKIE totals. Won 't buy any high ratios until the event is much closer. Kuchera ratios on the GEM are between 20-28:1 I think we will do ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 54 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 6-9” is the new punt...i’m in. . That's what one miss does to a guy..punts the rest of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looks decent at this point though I'll feel better in a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I think the potential for this to be a phased bomb are p much dead but on the plus side, the general 12z agreement on another high ratio advisory type event looks good, with some local upside depending on the level of lake involvement. And unrelated to this thread but hopefully the big dog is delayed but not denied before the pattern breaks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Chicago stealing all the lake enhancement this year. ZZZZZ.... IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The 12z Euro is ok, but there's just not much moisture because the surface front (with waves riding along it) is way down in the Gulf of Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 Euro also with a 6”+ event around here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said: The 12z Euro is ok, but there's just not much moisture because the surface front (with waves riding along it) is way down in the Gulf of Mexico. Narrow FGEN bands can sometimes squeeze out what limited deeper moisture there is, but it will be 50% shallow lake moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Yeah was about to say 12z euro is pretty disappointing compared to other models unless you live in the golden area of this winter I80 north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: I think the potential for this to be a phased bomb are p much dead but on the plus side, the general 12z agreement on another high ratio advisory type event looks good, with some local upside depending on the level of lake involvement. And unrelated to this thread but hopefully the big dog is delayed but not denied before the pattern breaks A+....and needed while riding the lock avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Euro also with a 6”+ event around here. . Pivotal Kuchera, Weatherbell Kuchera or both? Still, not as widespread of an event as other 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Pivotal Kuchera, Weatherbell Kuchera or both? Still, not as widespread of an event as other 12z runs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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