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Feb 9th Snow Obs/Nowcast


The 4 Seasons
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Huge plume of moisture to the southwest of the Islands.  This area of moisture is being spearheaded by an intense area of surface to 925mb frontogenesis on the northeast periphery of a surface low that is developing south of Long Island.  It appears the best guidance in terms of development and track of surface low are the EURO/UKMET/GFS and RGEM models.  2-4" isolated 5-6" amounts in best banding.  I originally thought yesterday it would track close enough to the Islands where the area would turn to rain, however, models have moved southward with the track and therefore the best banding is in two regions, one over central CT and MA and northern RI while the better moisture plume is over and southwest of the Islands of the South Coast. of MA, RI and CT.  

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully Scoots or Will can offer an idea on if it fills in / regenerates or is the region F’d?

You might be screwed....it'll be close. There will be redevelopment, but it might be almost top of you or it mainly is N.

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The big snowy week fell apart...this flopped and Friday gone too.  Amazing how fast and in close things can change for the better or worse.  Pattern looking good going forward too, so we regroup.
 

44.5” on the season so far...no complaints at this stage. 3.5” to go to get to a normal snow season here, and only the 9th of February.  We in good shape. 

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

The big snowy week fell apart...this flopped and Friday gone too.  Amazing how fast and in close things can change for the better or worse.  Pattern looking good going forward too, so we regroup.
 

44.5” on the season so far...no complaints at this stage. 3.5” to go to get to a normal snow season here, and only the 9th of February.  We in good shape. 

Agree, some never learn by looking at model forecasts 5-7 days out from a possible event and thinking it is a certainty that the model forecasts will verify.

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