WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: The Thursday night batch catches us up. Run truncates...based on 12z, we may add another 1-2" on top of this That would certainly appear to be a major move south. Euro has been too far south a bunch of times this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: The Thursday night batch catches us up. Run truncates...based on 12z, we may add another 1-2" on top of this Based on historical trends it’s hard not to like that map. Your basic north trend with a little more juice and we take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Ok there’s a major disconnect between the maps being posted here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok there’s a major disconnect between the maps being posted here. There's not...the first map I posted was through Thursday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok there’s a major disconnect between the maps being posted here. Kuchera vs. 10:1 ratio, perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Ok there’s a major disconnect between the maps being posted here. Well the kuchera maps have 15-20 SLR so there is that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: SV maps suck. They're ugly compared to WB, but they're super hi res like WB...just 10:1. And the run comes out quicker. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That would certainly appear to be a major move south. Euro has been too far south a bunch of times this winter. It’s almost identical to the 12z run, just slightly less precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: That would certainly appear to be a major move south. Euro has been too far south a bunch of times this winter. It does seem way south but correct me if I’m wrong, it would seem our area is good for a few inches at least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, jewell2188 said: It does seem way south but correct me if I’m wrong, it would seem our area is good for a few inches at least? You get a foot on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: There's not...the first map I posted was through Thursday afternoon. Look near the Va border on your map and then on the WB map. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Look near the Va border on your map and then on the WB map. It's probably the Kuchera algorithm. I haven't paid attention to thermals in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Look near the Va border on your map and then on the WB map. I think you're referring to the 2nd map @Deck Pic posted which I assume covers the entire event (the 1st one he posted only covered into late Thursday)...and comparing that to the total event Kuchera WB map that a couple of others put up here? I'm guessing it's a difference in methodology, 10:1 vs. Kuchera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 18z vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The "bite mark" shape on the euro qpf panel across NMD is a pretty typical signature of confluence/dry air winning the battle on the periphery. Haven't looked close but I've seen that before. Psu doesnt like those. Doubt it will be a problem anywhere in our sub though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: 18z vs 12z Now that looks more reasonable. Not amounts but position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Euro took 2 inches of digital snow away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I know the euro doesn’t go far enough out but what would extrapolate for Friday based upon its look at 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO Do you have surface temps? I imagine they’re pretty cold given the orientation of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Is there significant ice on the 18z euro in the Richmond Metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 It did move the one inch contour 20 or 30 miles south. But still a great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I know the euro doesn’t go far enough out but what would extrapolate for Friday based upon its look at 90? Maybe an inch more?, particularly as you move further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I know the euro doesn’t go far enough out but what would extrapolate for Friday based upon its look at 90? This is what it looked like at the end. Maybe another inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, jaydreb said: 18z vs 12z Leesburg lost about 2-3" but Sykesville stayed about the same maybe a tad more. I'm good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Do you have surface temps? I imagine they’re pretty cold given the orientation of precip. Upper 20s during the heavies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Do you have surface temps? I imagine they’re pretty cold given the orientation of precip. For the follow up wave, starts in the upper 20s and is in the mid 20s at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: This is what it looked like at the end. Maybe another inch or two. 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Maybe an inch more?, particularly as you move further east So just sliding out and no north movement. When I looked at the gfs and ICON I thought I detected a little north movement to the system on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 18z continued the trend of a weaker wave 1 for a more consolidated wave 2. Not able to post pics right this instant but (speaking for DC), wave 1 dropped .2” less, but the costal dropped .1-.2” more through hr 90. Seems like the storm is beginning to appear more consolidated on the models. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I know the euro doesn’t go far enough out but what would extrapolate for Friday based upon its look at 90? It’s over at 90. If you look at the 1 hour precip it’s moving off the coast by then. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 EPS follows the op. Weaker wave 1 and further north wave two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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