midatlanticweather Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I mean, precip starts in the western area by afternoon. Ok, let’s wait for the euro to fold like a cheap suit. I say you pull a Leroy Jenkins and start the Obs.. if the Euro tries to throw us something, we can share it there.. but the writing is clear! And we will be seeing echoes soon!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? If you read back through the thread - it has been covered, I think. Summed up, a few days ago your area looked great as the Euro and a few others were showing it south of DC. DT put out a map that had you at edge of 10" countour. Since then, it appears to have shifted north with wave 1 and your area hoping to catch some of wave 2 (Thursday night into Friday). I don't know latest on sensible expectations for your area for accumulations from the two systems, but probably not what DT was showing 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore. I went sleigh riding down the steps of the Hilton on 32 street a few years ago! Maybe you will have better luck down there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: If you read back through the thread - it has been covered, I think. Summed up, a few days ago your area looked great as the Euro and a few others were showing it south of DC. DT put out a map that had you at edge of 10" countour. Since then, it appears to have shifted north with wave 1 and your area hoping to catch some of wave 2 (Thursday night into Friday). I don't know latest on sensible expectations for your area for accumulations from the two systems, but probably not what DT was showing 24 hours ago. To be fair the reality is rarely if ever what DT was showing 24 hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: To be fair the reality is rarely if ever what DT was showing 24 hours ago. He was going off the Euro, so just short-handed that. His map was re-referenced above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 CMC joins the NAM train. Lets see those of us in NOVA have the RAP, WRF and PARA on our side. #winning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: CMC joins the NAM train. Lets see those of us in NOVA have the RAP, WRF and PARA on our side. #winning i think using the globals now is useless including the PARA and the 12zeuro today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Loving the RGEM bullseye over my house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I wouldn't recommend hanging my hat on the GFS para snow maps. Maybe it's right that it will snow in DC (although there seems to be a consensus for sleet turning to rain), but it keeps the surface at 34/35. That's not going to get the job done for accumulations, even at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 More snow for PHL and NJ. Phew. Good thing cold air doesn’t travel East in Ninas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Let’s check in on the latest HRRR. Yeah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, high risk said: I wouldn't recommend hanging my hat on the GFS para snow maps. Maybe it's right that it will snow in DC (although there seems to be a consensus for sleet turning to rain), but it keeps the surface at 34/35. That's not going to get the job done for accumulations, even at night. The snow map is def wonky. I’m seeing temps on the para of about 32-33 in the northern half of the district at least. Hoping that that might be at least good for 1-2 inches of snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: zero wiggle room but Ill take until my obs say otherwise lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. I'm numb to it now. I never bought into this one knowing it would somehow fail. I'm convinced we finish a second straight winter without a WSW level snow. Trip to Dallas for their cold smoke snowstorm Monday with temps in the teen and 20s? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: zero wiggle room but Ill take until my obs say otherwise lol Unfortunately we will probably also get screwed but it's nice to see until we get screwed and PSU and Mappy get 6" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. Storm hasn't even started yet.. let's just see where the chips fall. We should always have our expectations in check in our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 32, Partly cloudy. Not sure what to expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Username checks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Unfortunately we will probably also get screwed but it's nice to see until we get screwed and PSU and Mappy get 6" My bar honestly is 2" and I THINK its pretty attainable...of course the pavement will likely struggle more in my area but thats per usual. If I can get 3-5" Ill be pumped...and not short pumped either 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, ovechkin said: More snow for PHL and NJ. Phew. Good thing cold air doesn’t travel East in Ninas. Arctic air. 20’s ain’t Arctic air. If you’re gonna be cute, get it right Ovi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Not down south .. 39 and mostly cloudy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Let’s check in on the latest HRRR. Yeah. Guess I’m too far south lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Username checks out Hahah, I teach in DC still. Lived in DC 2009-2017 but moved to Takoma Park. Takoma Park may as well be DC in terms of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Warm Nose said: Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ... Trends always go the wrong way for the DC area, it's not really a question of verbatim or not. But I would agree that the models aren't the problem. In my personal opinion, the problem is the forecast office personnel who keep putting out unrealistic short-term forecasts. Busting low consistently for years means something isn't working right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 35.4/24.5 here in Glen Arm, MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Hahah, I teach in DC still. Lived in DC 2009-2017 but moved to Takoma Park. Takoma Park may as well be DC in terms of weather. What he means is...why are you out running errands during school hours? He hates teachers and public schools... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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