dailylurker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 So when's the next fail? This weekend? Next week? When's the cold and epic 2 weeks start? Sunny and on the way to 40 degrees Model look like sh*i 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:12 PM, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? Expand My unqualified opinion: Central VA is toast for wave one. I think we've still got a shot at wave two, but we need to root for the typical north trend. I'd be pretty shocked to get totally blanked, but its in the cards. 1-3" from wave two seems like a decently safe bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 3:48 PM, Warm Nose said: Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ... Expand Verbatim? They might as well have been labeling the states wrong. This is a massive failure, and many consecutive days of failure at that. edit: username checks out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:12 PM, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? Expand Unfortunately you're in that "in between suck zone" where it might be too warm for wave 1 and wave 2 looks iffy. Honestly though I wouldn't give up on wave 2...you might score some snow down there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Everyone take a step away and take a deep breath. In and Out In and Out again, breathe. It will be okay. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:08 PM, clskinsfan said: I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore. Expand Only if the magical unicorn of a miller A ever happen And the magic track happens... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:09 PM, WxUSAF said: I mean, precip starts in the western area by afternoon. Ok, let’s wait for the euro to fold like a cheap suit. Expand I say you pull a Leroy Jenkins and start the Obs.. if the Euro tries to throw us something, we can share it there.. but the writing is clear! And we will be seeing echoes soon!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:12 PM, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? Expand If you read back through the thread - it has been covered, I think. Summed up, a few days ago your area looked great as the Euro and a few others were showing it south of DC. DT put out a map that had you at edge of 10" countour. Since then, it appears to have shifted north with wave 1 and your area hoping to catch some of wave 2 (Thursday night into Friday). I don't know latest on sensible expectations for your area for accumulations from the two systems, but probably not what DT was showing 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:08 PM, clskinsfan said: I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore. Expand I went sleigh riding down the steps of the Hilton on 32 street a few years ago! Maybe you will have better luck down there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:21 PM, North Balti Zen said: If you read back through the thread - it has been covered, I think. Summed up, a few days ago your area looked great as the Euro and a few others were showing it south of DC. DT put out a map that had you at edge of 10" countour. Since then, it appears to have shifted north with wave 1 and your area hoping to catch some of wave 2 (Thursday night into Friday). I don't know latest on sensible expectations for your area for accumulations from the two systems, but probably not what DT was showing 24 hours ago. Expand To be fair the reality is rarely if ever what DT was showing 24 hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:23 PM, Wetbulbs88 said: To be fair the reality is rarely if ever what DT was showing 24 hours ago. Expand He was going off the Euro, so just short-handed that. His map was re-referenced above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 CMC joins the NAM train. Lets see those of us in NOVA have the RAP, WRF and PARA on our side. #winning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:24 PM, clskinsfan said: CMC joins the NAM train. Lets see those of us in NOVA have the RAP, WRF and PARA on our side. #winning Expand i think using the globals now is useless including the PARA and the 12zeuro today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Loving the RGEM bullseye over my house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I wouldn't recommend hanging my hat on the GFS para snow maps. Maybe it's right that it will snow in DC (although there seems to be a consensus for sleet turning to rain), but it keeps the surface at 34/35. That's not going to get the job done for accumulations, even at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 More snow for PHL and NJ. Phew. Good thing cold air doesn’t travel East in Ninas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Let’s check in on the latest HRRR. Yeah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:32 PM, high risk said: I wouldn't recommend hanging my hat on the GFS para snow maps. Maybe it's right that it will snow in DC (although there seems to be a consensus for sleet turning to rain), but it keeps the surface at 34/35. That's not going to get the job done for accumulations, even at night. Expand The snow map is def wonky. I’m seeing temps on the para of about 32-33 in the northern half of the district at least. Hoping that that might be at least good for 1-2 inches of snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:33 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Expand zero wiggle room but Ill take until my obs say otherwise lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:35 PM, Wetbulbs88 said: For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. Expand I'm numb to it now. I never bought into this one knowing it would somehow fail. I'm convinced we finish a second straight winter without a WSW level snow. Trip to Dallas for their cold smoke snowstorm Monday with temps in the teen and 20s? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:37 PM, Baltimorewx said: zero wiggle room but Ill take until my obs say otherwise lol Expand Unfortunately we will probably also get screwed but it's nice to see until we get screwed and PSU and Mappy get 6" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:35 PM, Wetbulbs88 said: For the first time this year I’m actually pretty bummed. This was an epic rug pull. I mean just a few hours out...man this one hurts. Expand Storm hasn't even started yet.. let's just see where the chips fall. We should always have our expectations in check in our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:43 PM, DCTeacherman said: Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Expand Username checks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:42 PM, ravensrule said: Unfortunately we will probably also get screwed but it's nice to see until we get screwed and PSU and Mappy get 6" Expand My bar honestly is 2" and I THINK its pretty attainable...of course the pavement will likely struggle more in my area but thats per usual. If I can get 3-5" Ill be pumped...and not short pumped either 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:32 PM, ovechkin said: More snow for PHL and NJ. Phew. Good thing cold air doesn’t travel East in Ninas. Expand Arctic air. 20’s ain’t Arctic air. If you’re gonna be cute, get it right Ovi. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 On 2/10/2021 at 4:43 PM, DCTeacherman said: Beautiful day. 41/27. Out and about running errands in downtown silver spring under full sunshine. Expand Not down south .. 39 and mostly cloudy . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts