SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hour 51 ends up north of 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Second wave hair North at 10 pm compared to 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 It’s a slight bump but a bump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2nd wave didn't quite touch Baltimore with precip at 18z, doing so this run. But the bigger change by far this run was wave 1; wave 2 looks like it will be very similar, only a little bit north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 am Friday also tick north compared to 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That warm nose is becoming more pronounced with the NAM. We get a step forward with more QPF and then 2 steps back with a stubborn warm nose on this model. Gotta live on the razor's edge if we want the goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Almost surgical how the two phases barely overlap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 An inch of QPF DC south, I guess we have to consider that a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 One thing is for sure, the euro did not pick up an ally in the NAM. Also, on 3km, 2nd wave through 48 isn't as expansive with precip even if the low is a bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Definite expanse of the total precip on the northern edge. Hard to tell but maybe 0.3 from wave 2 up to dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 It’s an improvement. That’s all that matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, snowfan said: Man, the point on the map for D.C. definitely doesn't depict accurate accumulation for most of the District. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'd rather score with wave 1 instead of waiting for wave 2 to do something 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2nd wave OZ v 18Z. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 3k with maybe half of the precip of the 12k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Weather Will said: 2nd wave OZ v 18Z. 40 mile push North. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'd rather score with wave 1 instead of waiting for wave 2 to do somethingHow much mix did it show for jyo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, ravensrule said: 40 mile push North. 2 more of those and we are in business. Hell at this point I will take a 6 inch snow and be happy with it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I’m shocked at some of the pessimism right now. We should be doing cartwheels right now. This was pretty much the best adjustment we could’ve gotten save for the warm nose with the first wave. One more tick back north for wave II and it’s game on. Considering how bad the models have been this is nowhere near over. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'd rather score with wave 1 instead of waiting for wave 2 to do something How much mix did it show for jyo? I'll check in bit but it looked like JYO got some love from both waves which honestly is a significant shift if you ask me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: 2 more of those and we are in business. Hell at this point I will take a 6 inch snow and be happy with it. I would literally eat vegan for a whole day for a 6+ event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 3k with maybe half of the precip of the 12k That much!!!??? what else is new 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 9 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'd rather score with wave 1 instead of waiting for wave 2 to do something How much mix did it show for jyo? The 12K has a lot. The other two NAM's not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: I’m shocked at some of the pessimism right now. We should be doing cartwheels right now. This was pretty much the best adjustment we could’ve gotten save for the warm nose with the first wave. One more tick back north for wave II and it’s game on. Considering how bad the models have been this is nowhere near over. I’m trying to boost the morale. And we actually have reasons to optimistic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3k wasn’t exactly amazing, but a general 2-4” for dc and Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 NAM with a sleet bomb on Saturday as well. Are we going to start talking about that one in here or still use the other thread for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I’m trying to boost the morale. And we actually have reasons to optimistic. Man you were just playing the violin on the titanic 20 minutes ago 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I don’t know what to think anymore. Guidance is all over the place and we’re like 24 hours from onset. I think just stop looking at models and just let the chips fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: NAM with a sleet bomb on Saturday as well. Are we going to start talking about that one in here or still use the other thread for it. 12k NAM wants to keep scattered precip in the area from Friday until the Saturday system.. are we sure the Saturday storm isn't just wave 3??? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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