stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I guess the 18z Euro could shed some light on this. Or make it more confusing. 18z Euro folks, you know what to do when the time comes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I guess the 18z Euro could shed some light on this. Or make it more confusing. 18z Euro folks, you know what to do when the time comes North trend for rd 2. Let's do This! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: North trend for rd 2. Let's do This! Not too far north. Let’s pick a central location like western PWC. Put that as ground zero and fan out from there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Not too far north. Let’s pick a central location like western PWC. Put that as ground zero and fan out from there. I like our spot for this one. I like 6-10 for PWC. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wow LWX is bullish. After how the NAM has performed the last couple storms, I'm actually keeping close watch on the NAM this storm. It's not great for my backyard, at least the 12km, very focused on Virginia... which makes me think it's probably going to verify, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I guess the 18z Euro could shed some light on this. Or make it more confusing. 18z Euro folks, you know what to do when the time comes Is this the time for me to say I’ll bet the euro sucks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Is this the time for me to say I’ll bet the euro sucks? Yes. And it probably will. 18z tends to go off the rails like the 6z NAM does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 30 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: I used to live up in Herndon and spent some time in Fairfax. The main thread was fun to follow then because everyone lived within a 30 mile radius of each other. Now that I’m down here, I giggle when we get more snow than them. I laugh maniacally when Leesburg gets shut out. From our southern friends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: I like our spot for this one. I like 6-10 for PWC. Temps my friend. We need temps below freezing. Ideally 28-30. It’s plagued us forever. Sunday was epic snow tv and was gone by 3pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: From our southern friends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Through hr35 the 18z EURO has taken the slightest jog northward. No major changes so far, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Temps my friend. We need temps below freezing. Ideally 28-30. It’s plagued us forever. Sunday was epic snow tv and was gone by 3pm. No doubt. 32-33 with the current sun angle and soil temps will be white rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'd call this the first wave. Pretty weak sauce. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'd call this the first wave. Pretty weak sauce. What was it at 12z? The most important part is wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: What was it at 12z? The most important part is wave 2 12z comparison -- I'd say similar but 18z pushed northward ~25 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 12z comparison -- I'd say similar but 18z pushed northward ~25 miles. Ok, status quo on Wave 1. Let's bring Wave 2 home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'd call this the first wave. Pretty weak sauce. How were temps? Seems like a hold for part 1 qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Ok, status quo on Wave 1. Let's bring Wave 2 home Got some bad news boss, looks like another jog south. I'll wait till the run is closer to done before making a firm assessment though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Depending on temps (I'm guessing marginal to decent?), conservative, 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 It's south/less amped/whatever. Not good. 18z 12z 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Got some bad news boss, looks like another jog south. I'll wait till the run is closer to done before making a firm assessment though. Yup. Stronger confluence in Maine (that's been the trend since 0z today), overall less energetic shortwave. Pretty sure the Euro is now the farthest south with wave 2. Bummer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looking at the snow maps, less amped might be the best way to put it. Not sure it really moved all that south... just not nearly as impressive. 18z 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Brutal. May not to adjust ourselves accordingly if the 0z runs don't improve. It ain't over yall. Wasn't over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Wellllll it’s starting to unravel like usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2-4 for a two day snowstorm. Oh joy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 hours ago, Bob Chill said: I don't expect anyone to listen but 50-75 mile shifts on globals run over run really doesn't mean much. The only "trend" I see has been detailed already with the "pac man" dry air bite out of the NE periphery of the shield. I (We) have seen that before. Feb 2014 & 15 had some similar "erosion" with a few events. Euro could be spot on but I'd wait another 24 hours before spiking sour lemons. If your yard is still under the "general idea" you should still be thrilled. Lasering into to fine details starts with 0z tonight imo but even then... We're talking 50-100 miles in total distance here. That can happen in real time. Bump, because panic from some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Brutal. May not to adjust ourselves accordingly if the 0z runs don't improve. It ain't over yall. Wasn't over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor. It was really though because President Dewey resigned over that fiasco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looking at significant weather parameter, there is minimal ice threat for Central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, jewell2188 said: Wellllll it’s starting to unravel like usual. It’s amazing how close we get to game time before things start to fall apart. It happens every freaking time. This time even closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts