mattie g Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I'll take the questionable 9" of snow that the CMC is selling for MBY. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GGEM and RGEM both are pretty uniform forum-wide winners. A Canada/Euro combo would be great for pretty much all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 CMC only has about a 4 hour lull out here. Pretty much snows from hour 36 to 74. And I get a whopping .8 total qpf out of that. One thing that seems to be coming into agreement from the models is less than an inch of total qpf from this through Friday. Pretty paltry for a 2 and a half day storm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 This look is basically identical from 00z. Good to see some sort of consistency. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GEFS inline with the op .6-.8 qpf for the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: CMC only has about a 4 hour lull out here. Pretty much snows from hour 36 to 74. And I get a whopping .8 total qpf out of that. One thing that seems to be coming into agreement from the models is less than an inch of total qpf from this through Friday. Pretty paltry for a 2 and a half day storm. That sounds great to me honestly. I'll gladly take another long duration 6-10 event with plenty of more opportunities behind it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Seems like this is trending towards event 1 being the main show...need to see Euro tho. Also would like to see the NAM juice up soon so we dont fail with low QPF, but gotta generally like the GFS and CMC for a moderate event for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Any gefs precip maps? Thru Friday morning? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Any gefs precip maps? Thru Friday morning? Thanks This should cover both waves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: This should cover both waves. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 UKIE is a forum wide pleaser. Basically 6-10 from Richmond to the mason Dixon line. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 UKMET is a winner for everyone. Would put a lot of us at climo at least. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: UKIE is a forum wide pleaser. Basically 6-10 from Richmond to the mason Dixon line. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: what did 0z look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 37 minutes ago, ovechkin said: 3.8 at DCA, spread over 5 or 6 days total. LOL. Other urban hear islands in the northeast have done more than cash in. Just give me decent temps at all levels and I’ll take my chances with QPF. Systems this season have not been moisture starved. Not going to fret about a 0.1 change from run to run. I will fret if we are at 32-33 but have that extra 0.1. Good thing that's not true. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: what did 0z look like? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: The Ukie and the Euro have been pretty consistent with this setup. If you blend the guidance and remove some of the high end Euro Kuchera totals, it seems 6-12 inches is a good forecast. Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, LP08 said: UKIE is a forum wide pleaser. Basically 6-10 from Richmond to the mason Dixon line. that is not 6 up this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 29 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: CMC only has about a 4 hour lull out here. Pretty much snows from hour 36 to 74. And I get a whopping .8 total qpf out of that. One thing that seems to be coming into agreement from the models is less than an inch of total qpf from this through Friday. Pretty paltry for a 2 and a half day storm. This isn't a clipper/pure NS shortwave. Even with QPF spread out, I'd be willing to bet in real time that it's pulses of moderate snow and not a pixiefest. Moisture source is the Pac down by Baja and the gulf. May not be great ratios depending on a lot of things but I really doubt it's a drawn out flurry event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: UKMET is a winner for everyone. Would put a lot of us at climo at least. My victory bar for this up here is 4". Just freshen up the snowpack ahead of all the ice coming over the weekend. Fail is less then 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: that is not 6 up this way. But that’s a 10-1 map. I think you would be getting some high ratio powder up your way verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 UK says not so fast on keeping total QPF under 1 inch. Sweet run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: My victory bar for this up here is 4". Just freshen up the snowpack ahead of all the ice coming over the weekend. Fail is less then 2". I'm trying to keep my glacier fetish at bay but it's not working... I stinking love complete coverage with a 1" lid of ice/crust on top. Takes forever to melt out and keeps grass covered till the bitter end. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: But that’s a 10-1 map. I think you would be getting some high ratio powder up your way verbatim. i dont care. people need to read maps better. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Good thing that's not true. I have never used the ignore feature but I am getting close 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Good thing that's not true. 1/25- 0.3 1/31- 2.3 2/1-0.2 2/2-0.7 2/6-0.3 Sure, 3.2 was from one storm, I will grant you that, but it was over 2 full days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, mappy said: i dont care. people need to read maps better. Isn't it like 5-5.5" up there on the UKMET? A pretty forgivable "mistake" to round that up to 6-10" considering that is the result in 90% of the region. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Isn't it like 5-5.5" up there on the UKMET? A pretty forgivable "mistake" to round that up to 6-10" considering that is the result in 90% of the region. sorry... you are right and I am being nitpicky. But i literally make maps for a living so needing to read them correctly is a pet peeve. but sorry all the same. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: i dont care. people need to read maps better. Kinda splitting hairs here. I think you'd do 6 with over .5 precip. I didn't use the snow map but I will work on my map reading in the future. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, mappy said: i dont care. people need to read maps better. It's about 5.5 qpf for our area....that is very likely about 6 if not 7" of snow with the ratios we will get up here. I do think the characterization of a general 6-10 storm for the PA line south on the UK was accurate, bad map reading aside. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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