Scraff Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: King icon I don’t believe DC will dig that run (see what I did there). And what’s that saying again? Got to flirt with the danger line (er something) to get the sweet spot?@stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 is south now on the icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: King icon Could be right, doubt it tho...especially given other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I wouldn't believe those precip plots from TT. Surface temps are never above 32 going off the weatherbell maps. 925s are fine too but they don't have any other temps. Here is total precip, fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ICON is really weird. Way north on the first wave (mixes into Baltimore), way south on the second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, Scraff said: I don’t believe DC will dig that run (see what I did there). And what’s that saying again? Got to flirt with the danger line (er something) to get the sweet spot?@stormtracker It’s below freezing... think that would be sleet on the icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 already posted a few pages back @Eskimo Joe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 is THE real game wrt fun rates but that looks like a VA special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 40 minutes ago, mappy said: NEVER. We seriously letting warnings posts stand now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I like seeing people say that the NAM looked better for the second wave. I didn’t really look at the 6z run so I thought the 12z run looked awful for the second wave. Glad to know it came north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We seriously letting warnings posts stand now? I didn't. I hid the post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Wave 2 is THE real game wrt fun rates but that looks like a VA special. Which part of Va? Asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS healthier wave 1 for the whole state of Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS looks good with wave 1 for the northern tier. DC gets in too, but I think it's better up norther 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS looks good with wave 1 for the northern tier. DC gets in too, but I think it's better up norther I think this might end up a more widespread uniform light to moderate event if the two waves don’t overlap their Jack zones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Only time for a quick glance but the gfs looks good, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Only time for a quick glance but the gfs looks good, no? It's fine, but def a bit more souther than 6z and especially 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Winchester to Baltimore bullseye with GFS for part 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's fine, but def a bit more souther than 6z and especially 0z Lol, we’re going to be too south for Wave 1 and too north for Wave 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, jaydreb said: Lol, we’re going to be too south for Wave 1 and too north for Wave 2. Can you say "DC Split?" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Pretty decebones slug of moisture for Wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 wave 2 seems to have lost its luster...i Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Part 2 is kinda meh...most of all of us get precip but its just light..part 1 is heavier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS is a little more south on wave 2, but just generally weaker. So mixier for VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, VA Mad Man said: Can you say "DC Split?" No, because there isn't one. We get hit by both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: GFS is a little more south on wave 2, but just generally weaker. So mixier for VA. Yup, GFS is weaksauce with wave 2. So far seems to be the only one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: GFS is a little more south on wave 2, but just generally weaker. So mixier for VA. Huh. Seems like most other guidance has Wave 2 as the stronger one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Here's the 24 hour precip panel for wave 2. Less sluggy and much less dece than wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Paleocene said: Here's the 24 hour precip panel for wave 2. Less sluggy and much less dece than wave 1 not even close to what 00z showed for wave 2 per gfs. getting sick of stuff falling apart as it closes in on us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM soundings for wave 1 are kinda meh as Pete Mullinax posted on twitter and was quoted here. GFS, on the other hand, looks quite nice for early Thursday morning for most of MD. Good lift in the DGZ and fully saturated. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/sounding/?model=gfs&runtime=2021020912&fh=48&domain=-77.74,-75.53,38.96,39.57&stationID=&tc=&mode=regular 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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