LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ICON looking thumpier for wave 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 is slowly creeping north on the trend map but not there yet (RGEM) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: 0.6 QPF around DC, temps a touch cooler than the NAM too. Second slug better come on up to papa. I think we'll get in on that one and maybe even heavier? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Ravens94 said: Wave 2 is slowly creeping north on the trend map but not there yet (RGEM) ? Looks like it got this entire subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: ? Looks like it got this entire subforum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: ? Looks like it got this entire subforum? 3K was looking really good for wave 2 and the run stopped smh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: ? Looks like it got this entire subforum? 2nd wave is 0.1 from northern moco to .5 around fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tito Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 hours ago, CAPE said: It looks active going forward so there will be opportunities, and thats all you can ask for really. Your area has had more bad luck so far than places around you. 2 hours ago, frd said: Very difficult to get snow North of Dover this year . Two winter storm warnings and about 4 inches combined. Either WAA dies before it reaches us, or storm development is off to the North or we are not in an area for the best dynamics. Your area has done better. Really thought the baroclinic boundary would deliver. Will it ever, I am not sure. Even next week looks questionable. The 240 hour look does not favor the same areas that have been screwed over and over. Rooting for you both and of course all for that fact. Still there is the potential with this setup for our area rather then the usual 45 and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: ? Looks like it got this entire subforum? Rates are much worse north of DC, still favors the southern areas. But an improvement overall. edit: actually it’s a bit worse in my area and NE. There’s a NW-SE fringe. Went from 5 to more like 4 inches of snow per RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 You are going to get a more expansive precip shield with these jet dynamics. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 King icon 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: King icon I don’t believe DC will dig that run (see what I did there). And what’s that saying again? Got to flirt with the danger line (er something) to get the sweet spot?@stormtracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 is south now on the icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: King icon Could be right, doubt it tho...especially given other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I wouldn't believe those precip plots from TT. Surface temps are never above 32 going off the weatherbell maps. 925s are fine too but they don't have any other temps. Here is total precip, fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ICON is really weird. Way north on the first wave (mixes into Baltimore), way south on the second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, Scraff said: I don’t believe DC will dig that run (see what I did there). And what’s that saying again? Got to flirt with the danger line (er something) to get the sweet spot?@stormtracker It’s below freezing... think that would be sleet on the icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 already posted a few pages back @Eskimo Joe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 is THE real game wrt fun rates but that looks like a VA special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 40 minutes ago, mappy said: NEVER. We seriously letting warnings posts stand now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I like seeing people say that the NAM looked better for the second wave. I didn’t really look at the 6z run so I thought the 12z run looked awful for the second wave. Glad to know it came north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: We seriously letting warnings posts stand now? I didn't. I hid the post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Wave 2 is THE real game wrt fun rates but that looks like a VA special. Which part of Va? Asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS healthier wave 1 for the whole state of Maryland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS looks good with wave 1 for the northern tier. DC gets in too, but I think it's better up norther 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS looks good with wave 1 for the northern tier. DC gets in too, but I think it's better up norther I think this might end up a more widespread uniform light to moderate event if the two waves don’t overlap their Jack zones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Only time for a quick glance but the gfs looks good, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Only time for a quick glance but the gfs looks good, no? It's fine, but def a bit more souther than 6z and especially 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Winchester to Baltimore bullseye with GFS for part 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's fine, but def a bit more souther than 6z and especially 0z Lol, we’re going to be too south for Wave 1 and too north for Wave 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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