clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 DC Jack through 78 on the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Here’s LWX’s current thoughts through 7p Thursday. Asking because I don't recall---do they have an ice product? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 CMC is onboard with the euro progression of the second wave. Really good run for a lot of the forum. Two waves are closer together and the second is much stronger. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Cmc is light with wave 2 qpf even though it's actually the "stronger" of the 2 waves. I liked the run as much as any of the good ones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Asking because I don't recall---do they have an ice product? They do but its basically 0.0” for everyone but their forecast runs through 2/11 at 7p. See https://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter under Ice Accumulation Forecasts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Cmc is light with wave 2 qpf even though it's actually the "stronger" of the 2 waves. I liked the run as much as any of the good ones. This is starting to smell like a 6-10 event region wide 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Cmc is light with wave 2 qpf even though it's actually the "stronger" of the 2 waves. I liked the run as much as any of the good ones. This is starting to smell like a 6-10 event region wide Agree. If everything lines up for a good hit with the 12z runs tomorrow I'd say it's a lock. Uncomplicated right? I want to maximize the first slug. I have some vague memories of a modeled 1-2 shot and the first one fizzled and the second didnt work as well as thought. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 UKMET coming in now. We're 3 for 3 so far tonight on globals with the GFS, CMC and ICON all putting down half an inch QPF for most of the subforum with enough cold for good ratios of snow. Can we go 4 for 4, and even 5 for 5 with the Euro tonight? Perhaps of more interest at this stage, how do the mesos look tomorrow? Either way hard not to feel good where we are right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 What is start time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 UKMET pretty similar to 12z honestly, 4-6 around the cities (higher end of that by DC), 6-8 in the mountains NW of DC, 2-4 outside of those areas. Seems like a pretty reasonable, less weenie version of what the other models showed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Agreed. UK is pretty similar to the gfs on the areas it hits. Just less qpf overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GEFS is a nice improvement for most 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: GEFS is a nice improvement for most QPF really gets shorn by the mountains. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 EURO looks essentially the same when it comes to positioning (maybe slightly more south) as 18z but wetter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: EURO looks essentially the same when it comes to positioning (maybe slightly more south) as 18z but wetter. Seems wetter DC south, bit dryer to the north. Overall pretty similar but the gradient between south/north seems a bit stronger in the former's favor. Still no big north adjustments as we close in from the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 One thing I love about this next system is that for a lot of places, there's still snowpack (well, in my case, it's now basically hardened ice-pack lol) from the last marathon storm. I might go 2+ weeks with snow on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Seems wetter DC south, bit dryer to the north. Overall pretty similar but the gradient between south/north seems a bit stronger in the former's favor. Still no big north adjustments as we close in from the euro.Yeah, this ended up being a banner run for DC-south. Very much ended up as psu being fringed. Kuchera clown maps have CHO at 16”, DC at 14”, Balt at 8”, and PSU-Ville at 5. My bias is kicking in, but I darn sure hope that’s the outcome. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 If we get that last second tick north that we've seen every storm now, DC and Baltimore will be in the best stuff. Hopefully we can get it one more time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Got any panels for us plebs? 0z vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 18 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said: 12z vs 0z Gorgeous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 00z EURO Control out through 96... smokes CHO to EZF corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Very noice 00z EPS mean 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Very noice 00z EPS mean Sounds like we are gonna get smoked. Temps look ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 What is start time?5 6 pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 We’re less than 48 hours out. NAM time incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Through 144... 42/50 EPS members have DCA at 6"+... 19 or 20 have DCA at 10"+ 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Through 144... 42/50 EPS members have DCA at 6"+... 19 or 20 have DCA at 10"+ That’s through more than the upcoming event correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RLX just went WSWatch for most of their counties in WV... Watch goes from Wed morning to Fri morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: That’s through more than the upcoming event correct? Yes until 00z MON (7pm Sunday night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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