aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Congrats @Ji east of the mountains! Lol. Sorta looks like that March 99 map Matt posted only a little north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: I don’t think this will resemble the final outcome. NAM at this range rarely does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, baltimoreguy said: So worried for you up until the moment of your inevitable jackpot I’m just analyzing the run. The second wave doesn’t gain any latitude. Not a forecast. Just a factual statement of this run. And Baltimore gets screwed by it so...think you would care about the observation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Can someone show ice accumulation for Central, Va from this 0z Nam run plz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Can someone show ice accumulation for Central, Va from this 0z Nam run plz? Here ya go 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM has been a little bouncey with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Such a narrow band of snow. Sheesh. And yet I am still barely out if it an at my elevation of 1550’ NW of Staunton. I will take my chances, given my local climo, and also give a bit more weight to the Euro than the NAM for the medium timeframe (until Friday). I think I see a decent amount of accumulating snow, and that makes this former Yankee very happy. Big picture is we are all tracking snow. Lucky us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: NAM improved with wave 1. Not sure it’s in useful range for wave 2 yet. Lol, we can be sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: NAM at this range rarely does. Yeah especially for the second wave at this pointYeah especially for the second wave at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Lol, we can be sure For both waves actually. Seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, snowfan said: Here ya go I thank you for posting it, but without the key or legend it is really difficult to see what it is depicting other than relative amounts. Which is probably all that is important in the end given that these model depictions will bust one way or another. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RGEM looks a bit south with the first wave compared to 18z, best precip at DC latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM has been a little bouncey with this oneEvery model is giving us 6-10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RGEM with the Winchester screwjob in the first wave as well. OKV is the new DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RGEM = .5 and . 3 for DC and Baltimore, respectively, for wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2nd wave on 00z RGEM stays south of DC through 78... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Icon further north with wave 1 And south with the second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Congrats S VA on 00z RGEM through 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 on RGEM stays mostly south, but still gets .2 up to DC. Only .1 for Baltimore. Regardless, it’s still a 3-6 event for many in this sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Are we so quick to dismiss the euro? Can’t agree more. Let’s look at the entire 0Z suite before deciding to head to the reaper guy over this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Icon looks euro like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I will be absolutely stunned if this works out for most of us. I feel like I've seen these wave scenarios before and they almost always fail here. Getting hit by both is almost impossible. The wave either ends up juiced up and goes north or you get it but precip if paltry. The Euro solution where we get close to a foot sounds amazing but so unrealistic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Let’s all try and look at the thread before posting the same snow map from four sources. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowCane said: It’s amazing how pessimistic people here get when one model shows a little less snow. Every model agrees that it’s going to snow this week, it’s just a matter of how much. Let’s enjoy that. It's beyond amazing. It's stunning, that's why I've stayed off and relaxed until now. They don't even wait to see if it's a trend. Remember the NAM at 6z? And then 12z was a cave to the Euro. It is what it is and complaining about it won't change they pathology of this forum. Anyway, weather related, if we smooth things out, we're all gonna see Warning criteria. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I will be absolutely stunned if this works out for most of us. I feel like I've seen these wave scenarios before and they almost always fail here. Getting hit by both is almost impossible. The wave either ends up juiced up and goes north or you get it but precip if paltry. The Euro solution where we get close to a foot sounds amazing but so unrealistic. I think anyone expecting the euro clown map numbers will likely be let down. These kinds of weak non amplifying overrunning waves historically put down 2-4 or 3-6”. The euro was getting those crazy totals by training the moisture feed over the same places for 48 hours and unrealistic ratios. Both are unlikely. But it could be a nice solid snowfall and sometimes you get lucky and these are more but banking on 8”+ from this kind of synoptic setup is setting yourself up to be disappointed again. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I don't hate the GFS so far. Looks a bit colder too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS looks like a more solid/heavier slug out over TN/KY/AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS definitely looks tasty so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Snowshoe and Canaan bout to be reck'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Thru 1p Thursday, GFS is .6 for Baltimore and .3 for dc w temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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