LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Icon further north with wave 1 And south with the second Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Congrats S VA on 00z RGEM through 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wave 2 on RGEM stays mostly south, but still gets .2 up to DC. Only .1 for Baltimore. Regardless, it’s still a 3-6 event for many in this sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Are we so quick to dismiss the euro? Can’t agree more. Let’s look at the entire 0Z suite before deciding to head to the reaper guy over this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Icon looks euro like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I will be absolutely stunned if this works out for most of us. I feel like I've seen these wave scenarios before and they almost always fail here. Getting hit by both is almost impossible. The wave either ends up juiced up and goes north or you get it but precip if paltry. The Euro solution where we get close to a foot sounds amazing but so unrealistic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Let’s all try and look at the thread before posting the same snow map from four sources. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowCane said: It’s amazing how pessimistic people here get when one model shows a little less snow. Every model agrees that it’s going to snow this week, it’s just a matter of how much. Let’s enjoy that. It's beyond amazing. It's stunning, that's why I've stayed off and relaxed until now. They don't even wait to see if it's a trend. Remember the NAM at 6z? And then 12z was a cave to the Euro. It is what it is and complaining about it won't change they pathology of this forum. Anyway, weather related, if we smooth things out, we're all gonna see Warning criteria. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I will be absolutely stunned if this works out for most of us. I feel like I've seen these wave scenarios before and they almost always fail here. Getting hit by both is almost impossible. The wave either ends up juiced up and goes north or you get it but precip if paltry. The Euro solution where we get close to a foot sounds amazing but so unrealistic. I think anyone expecting the euro clown map numbers will likely be let down. These kinds of weak non amplifying overrunning waves historically put down 2-4 or 3-6”. The euro was getting those crazy totals by training the moisture feed over the same places for 48 hours and unrealistic ratios. Both are unlikely. But it could be a nice solid snowfall and sometimes you get lucky and these are more but banking on 8”+ from this kind of synoptic setup is setting yourself up to be disappointed again. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I don't hate the GFS so far. Looks a bit colder too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS looks like a more solid/heavier slug out over TN/KY/AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS definitely looks tasty so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Thru 1p Thursday, GFS is .6 for Baltimore and .3 for dc w temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I don't hate the GFS so far. Looks a bit colder too Through 75 its beautiful. Looks a lot like the Euro for our area. 84 still snowing. Complete crush job!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Through 75 its beautiful. Looks a lot like the Euro. 78 is pretty, pretty good. If we can hang on to all snow beyond that.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I sure don't hate this run.... but people in southern MD most certainly will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Gfs looks like the euro, just displaced further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Welp, looking like I should order an ice scraper for my car. Lotta ice in Central VA on that run. Great fun for wintery precip as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Goes over to mix for us at 81, but I think the damage is already done by then for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Goes over to mix for us at 81, but I think the damage is already done by then for DC Low isn’t as fast to move away from the coast. Not sure that matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Wow at the GFS. Solid event for DC and Balt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Not gonna lie, wish we could shift that like 50 miles South, but whatever. GFS seems to be the most norther with the heaviest stuff, Euro bullseye and RGEM south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Wow at the GFS. Solid event for DC and Balt. If only I had any faith in the models at this point. I think I've had 2-3ft of modeled snow within 48h of onset this winter and have only 6" to show for it. Baltimore has been getting Lucy'd pretty hard this year 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looks like ice storm for Centtal Va on GFS. Any ice maps? Plz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, wasnow215 said: Looks like ice storm for Centtal Va on GFS. Any ice maps? Plz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Wow at the GFS. Solid event for DC and Balt. Ehh... For DC proper that gradient is brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Everything looks pretty good to me. How about those gfs surface temps? Warm model is cold. This is good 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, dukeblue219 said: Ehh... For DC proper that gradient is brutal. DC would double their seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Oof-that’s “generator ice”. TY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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