clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ... The models did fine. They had the overall pattern locked in a week ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: GFS is definitely WSW criteria for areas north of 70 Verbatim yes, but at this point I wouldn't be surprised if everything is warmer even further north. GFS has temps up on the northern tier of Maryland around 29-32 at 18z today and I'm already seeing mid 30s on the some of the stations around Westminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillbilly Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I find it interesting that the general tone of the comments is that this storm has already happened, and this or that model performed well and this or that model blew it. Sheesh, let it play out. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Gfs looks good for the Richmond to Charlottesville 10” jackpot Yeah. I cant wait to see his second call map. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDRandy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 39/24; already surpassed our forecast high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, ForestHillbilly said: I find it interesting that the general tone of the comments is that this storm has already happened, and this or that model performed well and this or that model blew it. Sheesh, let it play out. The storm starts in 8 hours here. IT IS OVER. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Yeah. I cant wait to see his second call map. It will be the second guess map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: The storm starts in 8 hours here. IT IS OVER. Not if you believe the para 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Not if you believe the para Didnt even see it. But I will hug it until it ultimately caves as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, MDRandy said: 39/24; already surpassed our forecast high Im not really that worried about the high...highs often over perform a little if its sunny. I just want the temps to respond as steady precip comes in tonight and the mid levels and warm noses to hold off. This is probably a 32 degree snow for Baltimore but that can still generally work especially at night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ... This is your second comment (unless I missed another one) about how people on this subforum are too negative. Kinda funny coming from a person with a user name of Warm Nose, but okay, you do you. Looks like wave 1 is primarily a whiff for Augusta County and central Virginia folks, but wave 2 is a nice little event for down here Thursday evening. The globals and the NAMs and RGEM all show .6" to 1" qpf for the total of both waves for mby. Should have some p-type issues at some points, but I will take my chances at my elevation and let chips fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Obs thread now or after euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Gfs looks good for the Richmond to Charlottesville 10” jackpot 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hey guys, just woke up from a deep slumber. This is still the best forecast right? Central Virginia for life!! 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I believe (in the para) 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Wait, so it's not going to snow now? I moved from VA Beach to here for more snow because that's what you all told me to do. I need to move north again??? #WeSuck 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Hey guys, just woke up from a deep slumber. This is still the best forecast right? Central Virginia for life!! Was that when Short Pump was getting 9.8"? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Obs thread now or after euro? i vote to lock this one and burn it with fire. But might as well wait for the "king" to have its say and see if it follows what looks to be general model consensus now. Warmer, norther, less snower 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Wait, so it's not going to snow now? I moved from VA Beach to here for more snow because that's what you all told me to do. I need to move north again??? #WeSuck I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, H2O said: i vote to lock this one and burn it with fire. But might as well wait for the "king" to have its say and see if it follows what looks to be general model consensus now. Warmer, norther, less snower I mean, precip starts in the western area by afternoon. Ok, let’s wait for the euro to fold like a cheap suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Y'all are welcome to join us in the Richmond/Hampton Roads thread. At least our tea is sweetened down here. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, WxUSAF said: I mean, precip starts in the western area by afternoon. Ok, let’s wait for the euro to fold like a cheap suit. It did. 3 days ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King George Dee Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Canadian is solid north of DC in MD...5" for most of us. Maybe 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 So when's the next fail? This weekend? Next week? When's the cold and epic 2 weeks start? Sunny and on the way to 40 degrees Model look like sh*i 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? My unqualified opinion: Central VA is toast for wave one. I think we've still got a shot at wave two, but we need to root for the typical north trend. I'd be pretty shocked to get totally blanked, but its in the cards. 1-3" from wave two seems like a decently safe bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 29 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ... Verbatim? They might as well have been labeling the states wrong. This is a massive failure, and many consecutive days of failure at that. edit: username checks out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowCane Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, King George Dee said: Hey remember we are not all as far north as you...What's happening in Fredericksburg, VA area? Unfortunately you're in that "in between suck zone" where it might be too warm for wave 1 and wave 2 looks iffy. Honestly though I wouldn't give up on wave 2...you might score some snow down there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Everyone take a step away and take a deep breath. In and Out In and Out again, breathe. It will be okay. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore. Only if the magical unicorn of a miller A ever happen And the magic track happens... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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