Monday Feb 15 - midday Feb 16, 2021 Significant Winter Ice Event interior

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

59 minutes ago, EpicHECS said:

I replied to this in another thread: There was NO 2-4" freezing rain event in the the NY area back in January of '94. I have no idea what you're getting this confused with because there has never been an ice storm of that magnitude in these areas. I also don't live anywhere near Allentown. I'm quite far north of you. 

Very true, the Jan 94 ice storm was .5-.75” of ice. Impactful but not significant. If we were to ever have a 1”+ ice storm in the metro it would make any of our wind events looks like a walk in the park as far as power issues 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

1 minute ago, EpicHECS said:

That's what I was basically saying: He had two locations listed - one in Allentown and the other out on LI. Either location is far south of me. So, it's likely he had some kind of major icing event (as you detail) and it was nothing but snow where I was at the time. We're also going back to Jan of '94 here. Not exactly yesterday but that's beside the point. The point is what you finish with: One day, a 1"-2" icestorm IS going to effect a large area in and around NYc. And it's going to be devastating, especially in the suburbs which are riddled with trees and powerlines. That was my original point. I think it's a matter of when this event occurs - not if. 

Just look at what happened to Montreal In Jan 98. Just a massive system wide power failure taking multiple weeks to fix. That’s a multi billion dollar disaster I do not want to witness. I’m waiting for my cat 3 Long Island hurricane strike, which will have similar effects.

[TriPol]

How did the EURO do?

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, TriPol said:

How did the EURO do?

Trended colder but alot of ice for areas near the coast.

[MJO812]

Gfs colder 

[MJO812]

[MJO812]

Temps in the teens on the 6z gfs during the event on Tuesday

[allgame830]

What about for this weekend event?

[jr461]

6 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

What about for this weekend event?

I thought this was the memory lane thread   I guess that one can be closed since its purpose no longer exists.

Too many events in one thread - we're all over the place.

[MJO812]

Gefs further south for Tuesday 

[sussexcountyobs]

Starting to get confusing on these threads to follow what storm and date we are talking about?

[ForestHillWx]

23 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

Starting to get confusing on these threads to follow what storm and date we are talking about?

That can only be a good thing for a snow weenie, right?

[scoobydoo1]

9 hours ago, EpicHECS said:

I replied to this in another thread: There was NO 2-4" freezing rain event in the the NY area back in January of '94. I have no idea what you're getting this confused with because there has never been an ice storm of that magnitude in these areas. I also don't live anywhere near Allentown. I'm quite far north of you. 

I live in central jersey and it was either following the blizzard of 96 or in 94

We turned the soccer fields into ice hockey rinks.

All the towns street hockey "players" we had a few groups who'd play on different freshly paved streets all over the town.

 

All converged on the soccer fields, with ice skates.

 

Schools were shut down for the entire week.

We played ice hockey on socker fields monday thrhough friday.

The first day I was able to ice skate across town to the soccer field which was a mile skate.

 

Never experienced anything like it before or since.

Inches of ice.

[gmendevils8204]

9 hours ago, bklnwx1 said:

FEB 14, 2007 Coney Island--all day sleet

That was pure misery. Took at least an hour to get that crap off my car and the drive home was awful.

[lordsnot]

25 minutes ago, scoobydoo1 said:

I live in central jersey and it was either following the blizzard of 96 or in 94

We turned the soccer fields into ice hockey rinks.

All the towns street hockey "players" we had a few groups who'd play on different freshly paved streets all over the town.

 

All converged on the soccer fields, with ice skates.

 

Schools were shut down for the entire week.

We played ice hockey on socker fields monday thrhough friday.

The first day I was able to ice skate across town to the soccer field which was a mile skate.

 

Never experienced anything like it before or since.

Inches of ice.

Lived on Long Island in 94, we were encased in a thick layer of ice for weeks.  Went a long time without reaching 32.

[NEG NAO]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Temps in the teens on the 6z gfs during the event on Tuesday

Upton has temps in the mid 30's

[MJO812]

20 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Upton has temps in the mid 30's

Going with the Euro again.  Euro is too amped once again. Eps came alittle more south east at 6z.

[MJO812]

3 hours ago, allgame830 said:

What about for this weekend event?

Nothing 

[mikem81]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Going with the Euro again.  Euro is too amped once again. Eps came alittle more south east at 6z.

The EURO has been overamped at 120-144 hours all winter.  Its ben trending SE the last 3 runs

[MJO812]

23 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

The EURO has been overamped at 120-144 hours all winter.  Its ben trending SE the last 3 runs

Agree

[MJO812]

Icon 

[L.I.Pete]

1 hour ago, lordsnot said:

Lived on Long Island in 94, we were encased in a thick layer of ice for weeks.  Went a long time without reaching 32.

I remember flying into Islip from Florida right after that storm and the ice looked insane from the air. Like LI was one huge skating rink.

[BxEngine]

Obv things get lax when there isnt an event currently ongoing...but its gonna be a busy week or so, lets try to post in the appropriate threads for now.

[mikem81]

GFS slightly more amped which means little less snow and more sleet this run...

[HVSnowLover]

Since this thread is covering multiple storms

 

Sunday is looking more and more like a light to moderate ice event

Tuesday looks like a mostly snow (possibly significant event) 

Not going to bother with trying to analyze the late week storm yet

 

[SnoSki14]

12 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

GFS slightly more amped which means little less snow and more sleet this run...

I'd go with less like the Canadian shows.

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Since this thread is covering multiple storms

 

Sunday is looking more and more like a light to moderate ice event

Tuesday looks like a mostly snow (possibly significant event) 

Not going to bother with trying to analyze the late week storm yet

 

Canadian more impressive then GFS for Sunday

[MJO812]

19 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

GFS slightly more amped which means little less snow and more sleet this run...

Very cold temps on the gfs

Teens 

[NEG NAO]

Canadian colder for Tuesday storm then it was for Sundays BUT 540 still west of us

[SnoSki14]

The 14th still looks minor to me.

I feel the 16th will be snowier but it'll be close or like a snow to sleet situation. It's by far the biggest wintry threat in the short term.

The 18/19 still looks like sleet/ice to rain but strong low level cold could turn it into a more SWFE.