Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Days and days? The Monday thing is interesting. Almost wonder if we get more snow from that weak forcing over the cold dome than we get Saturday night/ Sunday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The Monday thing is interesting. Almost wonder if we get more snow from that weak forcing over the cold dome than we get Saturday night/ Sunday . It's interesting. Going to have to keep an eye on saturation though. Could just be a bunch of snizzle or drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 6Z Euro through Sunday night. Snow first then total precip. Appears like ice sleet on the South coast is significant 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 More ZR than sleet on the 6z Euro (filling in Ginx's point) Hoping this verifies as sleet rather than ZR because the 0z run was a major ice storm for CT south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, WeatherX said: More ZR than sleet on the 6z Euro (filling in Ginx's point) Hoping this verifies as sleet rather than ZR because the 0z run was a major ice storm for CT south Ain’t nuttin wrong with a big icestorm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Ain’t nuttin wrong with a big icestorm I'll puff and pass on the icestorm thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ain’t nuttin wrong with a big icestorm Other than power out in sub zero wind chills 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Looks like we flurry or snizzle anytime Sunday through to the actually storm Tuesday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 12z NAM's are coming in with sleet now for Sunday versus ZR, so that is a welcome development if true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Has this turned into a dusting ending as freezing drizzle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Has this turned into a dusting ending as freezing drizzle? GFS was meh' with the precip. Seems to give you a better shot at fzra on Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Has this turned into a dusting ending as freezing drizzle? Scott called this thing failing a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Has this turned into a dusting ending as freezing drizzle? Yeah pretty much....this is weak. Still have to watch if guidance ramps up QPF in the final 24-36 hours since a lot of the analog setups are more robust....but it looks like this one is going to just be a C-1" deal for may....maybe a spot higher amount north of pike and then some FZDZ...maybe a pinger here or there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Euro coming in a bit stronger for Sunday. Light snow into the area by Sunday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Actually not a bad look for S of Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Has 1-3"/ 2-4" in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Has 1-3"/ 2-4" in SNE Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Euro gives more like 1-2" for a chunk of SNE on Saturday night/early Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Also, looking more closely, it gives another light around of about an inch or so on Monday afternoon/evening...transitioning to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 That Euro run was a much better outcome more snow sleet minimal ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Pumps and a bump up prior to big icestorm. We’ll take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Through Monday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Other than power out in sub zero wind chills And this.. https://www.dallasnews.com/news/weather/2021/02/11/winter-weather-causes-hazardous-conditions-on-north-texas-roads/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 And this.. https://www.dallasnews.com/news/weather/2021/02/11/winter-weather-causes-hazardous-conditions-on-north-texas-roads/Getting OT...but the videos as it happened are crazy... Skip to 35 seconds here for the FedEx truck hitting: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 18z NAM trying to get a couple inches in here tomorrow night now too....something I think we'll need to watch for the next cycle. I had mentioned the analogs were quite a bit more bullish on QPF than the model guidance. Doesn't mean we end up with as much as those analogs, but it sometimes helps point to which way the system is more likely to trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM trying to get a couple inches in here tomorrow night now too....something I think we'll need to watch for the next cycle. I had mentioned the analogs were quite a bit more bullish on QPF than the model guidance. Doesn't mean we end up with as much as those analogs, but it sometimes helps point to which way the system is more likely to trend. What’s your take on Monday? Does the frdz Sunday continue into Monday and transition into a mix then light snow WAA Monday afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s your take on Monday? Does the frdz Sunday continue into Monday and transition into a mix then light snow WAA Monday afternoon? Monday is weird...I don't have a good feel for it at all...some guidance tries to send another round of snow/sleet (or light freezing rain/drizzle) into SNE, but others have more of a pause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Everything went drier on round 1. May not be much snow anywhere tonight / tomorrow. Maybe things go back towards the analogs again as Will mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything went drier on round 1. May not be much snow anywhere tonight / tomorrow. Maybe things go back towards the analogs again as Will mentioned. This round always looked like dung. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything went drier on round 1. May not be much snow anywhere tonight / tomorrow. Maybe things go back towards the analogs again as Will mentioned. 1 to 3 here final answer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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