BombsAway1288 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 23 minutes ago, Hoth said: A little ice is no biggie, but I want no part of .5"+ accretion. A little ice is ok as long as treated with caution. Yes .5" of accretion will bring down limbs and powerlines but even .10" of ice can cause big issues if it's not taken seriously like what happened in Fort Worth today. Think they had very little ice there this morning but because it was on an overpass, it caused big problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 37 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z GFS is 3" here Monday. Now it’s Monday? This pattern seems hard to forecast. It could snow anytime, or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 42 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, have no use for it then. My fav period is mid dec to mid-mar, then I want it over. LOL wanting it over in the interior of Maine on 3/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL wanting it over in the interior of Maine on 3/15. Yeah, Not how it works, I'll take March snow, Just will head NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 47 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, have no use for it then. My fav period is mid dec to mid-mar, then I want it over. Why no use for it? Snowpack usually at its deepest, long daylight hours to enjoy it (snowmobiling off into the sunset) and it’s usually not 10 below zero either. Thats the best time to enjoy winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Now it’s Monday? This pattern seems hard to forecast. It could snow anytime, or not Models are all over the place handling the 14th system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Why no use for it? Snowpack usually at its deepest, long daylight hours to enjoy it (snowmobiling off into the sunset) and it’s usually not 10 below zero either. Thats the best time to enjoy winter. Lava's shook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Lava's shook. I mean mid-March in NNE can be one of my favorite times for enjoying snow. It’s light out past 4pm and it’s often still cold enough but not overly cold...and if it’s mild, it’s often a low wet-bulb dry 50F on top of deepest snow depths. I’d think the snowmobiling is about as good as it gets at times, just like skiing. You guys can probably pack on some big mileage days with that daylight too, and don’t have to dress like an eskimo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, have no use for it then. My fav period is mid dec to mid-mar, then I want it over. Yep. I’d we could switch instantly to golf weather, it would be perfect. Unfortunately, there is always mud season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I mean mid-March in NNE can be one of my favorite times for enjoying snow. It’s light out past 4pm and it’s often still cold enough but not overly cold...and if it’s mild, it’s often a low wet-bulb dry 50F on top of deepest snow depths. I’d think the snowmobiling is about as good as it gets at times, just like skiing. You guys can probably pack on some big mileage days with that daylight too, and don’t have to dress like an eskimo. Yeah, Some of the issues that happen here is that a lot of clubs by that time stop grooming, High ground also takes a beating with the higher sun angle and the snow on road crossings are starting to recede, But you can wear a lot less layers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Final snowfall totals from todays event. This was a pretty easy/straight forward forecast with a general C-1 for 85% of the state. Very high ratios helped get some areas above an inch and above two inches a couple instances. Positives 85% of the state verified in the C-1 range Highest amounts as noted in the fx verified exactly in SW CT Noted 1"+ in the fx with several amounts 1 and some change in SW CT Negatives 2 reports >2" at the immediate SW shore, could have went with a 1-3 range in SW CT Grade: A- 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Yeah, Some of the issues that happen here is that a lot of clubs by that time stop grooming, High ground also takes a beating with the higher sun angle and the snow on road crossings are starting to recede, But you can wear a lot less layers. Yeah, there can be great riding then, no doubt. But I want snow everyday until March 15th and then it can melt. Our clubs groom until they don’t have snow so that’s not a big issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, Some of the issues that happen here is that a lot of clubs by that time stop grooming, High ground also takes a beating with the higher sun angle and the snow on road crossings are starting to recede, But you can wear a lot less layers. Ahh interesting. That makes sense. The variability between super deep pack in woods and sun spots burning out probably is a bit more problematic for snowmachines than skiers. Probably takes a beating on warm days from the weight of the sleds... ruts and soft spots. I guess take it back a couple weeks... probably like March 1 is prime time then for mix of snowpack depth, length of daylight and still being winter for snowmobilers? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Why no use for it? Snowpack usually at its deepest, long daylight hours to enjoy it (snowmobiling off into the sunset) and it’s usually not 10 below zero either. Thats the best time to enjoy winter.I'm a cyclist and start thinking about hitting the roads. Last year was able to start riding in late March. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ahh interesting. That makes sense. The variability between super deep pack in woods and sun spots burning out probably is a bit more problematic for snowmachines than skiers. Probably takes a beating on warm days from the weight of the sleds... ruts and soft spots. I guess take it back a couple weeks... probably like March 1 is prime time then for mix of snowpack depth, length of daylight and still being winter for snowmobilers? You end up with a lot of snirt on the high ground and rocks become exposed, A lot of younger guys ride off trail so its all good in the deep woods in March where there is still a mega pack but that shipped sailed for this old man 30 years ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 21 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I'm a cyclist and start thinking about hitting the roads. Last year was able to start riding in late March. That makes sense, I'm just busting your balls. I know when the sun angle goes up we start thinking of other things. It is wishful thinking though at any point of March in NNE. Even April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 18z Euro is weak sauce for Sunday. Basically sliced QPF in half. Maybe an inch or two in the max zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro is weak sauce for Sunday. Basically sliced QPF in half. Maybe an inch or two in the max zone. Any hints for Tueday (I know it is out of range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Any hints for Tueday (I know it is out of range) Slightly slower down south which tells me likely a little more amped than 12z if we extrapolated. But hard to say for sure. The Sunday system is still bothering me on guidance a little bit. Analog setups have decent QPF (like around a half inch for much of SNE)...so I’m wondering if that ramps back up a little inside 48h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro is weak sauce for Sunday. Basically sliced QPF in half. Maybe an inch or two in the max zone. These off hour runs have been doing that all winter. Then increases on the good hours . They def have changed something in the model physics / configurations in the off hour runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Slightly slower down south which tells me likely a little more amped than 12z if we extrapolated. But hard to say for sure. The Sunday system is still bothering me on guidance a little bit. Analog setups have decent QPF (like around a half inch for much of SNE)...so I’m wondering if that ramps back up a little inside 48h. Windshield wiper effect for now... probably will end up somewhere in the middle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 24 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Any hints for Tueday (I know it is out of range) Dave, Here is the 18Z Euro at hour 90 compared to the 12Z run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Sunday looks like 2-3" then will see Tuesday.. is this the thread for both systems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: Sunday looks like 2-3" then will see Tuesday.. is this the thread for both systems? Tuesday will need a thread. Start it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Tuesday will need a thread. Start it up! maybe Tip and Ray should hold hands and start one together lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Nothing burger Sun on 0Z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Nada, Zippo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Clear trend to dampen this out in favor of tues/we’d. There may be some light precip ahead of main system with cold Arctic dome overhead. Wont take much to wring out some snow with proper lift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 GGEM was juicy but other stuff not so much . Looking more like 1-2” then light Zr . The Monday WAA snow idea has gained some steam with weak forcing . Enough to generate steady light snow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GGEM was juicy but other stuff not so much . Looking more like 1-2” then light Zr . The Monday WAA snow idea has gained some steam with weak forcing . Enough to generate steady light snow . Days and days? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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