TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Knox Co going to like the 3k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 12k NAM is much better across the board for the valley except Chatty. Less downsloping this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3k 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Knox Co going to like the 3kFor whatever reason it has been nice to knox co the last several runs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: For whatever reason it has been nice to knox co the last several runs . Yeah it's pronounced across almost all the short range hi res models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 If looking for changes to the advisory, MRX lowered my snow totals in the ZFP from 2-4 to 1-3, so check yours vs earlier today to see if they've changed at all and it will probably give a clue to their updated thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 If looking for changes to the advisory, MRX lowered my snow totals in the ZFP from 2-4 to 1-3, so check yours vs earlier today to see if they've changed at all and it will probably give a clue to their updated thinking.I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m actually feeling OK about this one. It’s definitely going to be an all or nothing event here. But the high rez NAM is clearly showing snow, just spotty accumulation around the ridge tops. I suspect reality will result in some grassy accumulations even at the lower elevations due to the timing. West of I-75 in the UHI will probably blank. Biggest question mark is a potential 850 warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, 1234snow said: I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope. I hope so, I'm thinking 2-4 is probably more realistic due to ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 26 minutes ago, John1122 said: If looking for changes to the advisory, MRX lowered my snow totals in the ZFP from 2-4 to 1-3, so check yours vs earlier today to see if they've changed at all and it will probably give a clue to their updated thinking. Mine just changed..went from 1/2" to 1"..added sleet to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 MRX has their usual mantra of less than a half inch possible for my area in West Knox county I believe this is down from earlier today. They added sleet to mine as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The SPS has disappeared from the Knoxville to Chattanooga area. Will see soon what replaces it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 OHX expanded their advisory area one tier of counties to the west but stayed with 1-3 inch totals for their CWA advisory area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McMinnWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Went from not showing snow to showing less than an inch on my app. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 NWS taking their sweet time with Discussion lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The point forecast actually shows colder lows down 75 towards Athens than for Knox and Anderson Co. 32 vs 33. Point forecasts aren't usually all that accurate but interesting that it some how arrived at that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Now my zone updated to this. Tonight A chance of rain or snow likely in the evening, then snow or rain or light sleet after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation up to 4 inches. Lows around 30. Light winds. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, John1122 said: Now my zone updated to this. Tonight A chance of rain or snow likely in the evening, then snow or rain or light sleet after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation up to 4 inches. Lows around 30. Light winds. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Booooo, to the rain and sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 They just reissued the advisory for here though their zfp is winter storm warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Ugggggh, already starting to rain here. Didn’t need an early start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 AFD is out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Save the itchy algae! Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m a little disappointed with the afd wording. They just don’t seem too impressed z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Don't think I have ever seen them write a short term AFD in that style..they have a new person? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I wonder how often they break down the forecast zones that way, even if they don’t mention it in the disco every time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: I wonder how often they break down the forecast zones that way, even if they don’t mention it in the disco every time? Not sure, but that AFD was very lackluster..not as detailed as I have seen from them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Don't think I have ever seen them write a short term AFD in that style..they have a new person? Yep, they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Don't think I have ever seen them write a short term AFD in that style..they have a new person? My thoughts exactly, I’ve never seen one with that detailed breakdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 RGEM coming in a little wetter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 RGEM coming in a little wetter as well. Wet as in rain or high precipitation amounts?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Me after reading that lustrous forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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