BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Is the ICON stalled as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Is the ICON stalled as well? Icon is def late. Normally 945ish is initiation. RGEM out to 24hrs. That’s gonna be a big indicator for me what we have going on or at least to an extent because both it and CMC were further south and east at 12/18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Icon is def late. Normally 945ish is initiation. RGEM out to 24hrs. That’s gonna be a big indicator for me what we have going on or at least to an extent because both it and CMC were further south and east at 12/18z RGEM coming in further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, WXNewton said: RGEM coming in further south and east. It's still north compared to earlier runs. Good run for mountains and foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, WXNewton said: RGEM coming in further south and east. Going to be a better run for the upstate, GA, and WNC (foothills and NW Piedmont) . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, WXNewton said: RGEM coming in further south and east. 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It's still north compared to earlier runs. Good run for mountains and foothills I’m still at hr24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, WXNewton said: RGEM coming in further south and east. Is it as warm as the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Going to be a better run for the upstate, GA, and WNC (foothills and NW Piedmont) . Temps are a little colder as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: I'll take that run. Trended much better for east of the mtns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: Ok now I see. It’s a much lighter event and doesn’t have the fireworks like nam and gfs. Battle of the models continue. I fully expect gfs to have some crazy juiced run. Just that gut feel here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Ok now I see. It’s a much lighter event and doesn’t have the fireworks like nam and gfs. Battle of the models continue. I fully expect gfs to have some crazy juiced run. Just that gut feel here. Yeah crazy the difference between Nam and RGEM. Mountains and Virginia go from big storm to basically nothing... Model mayhem, that's why it's so hard to write anything in stone more than a day or two out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 How is the RGEM with P-types? Doesn't appear to be much mixing like on NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: How is the RGEM with P-types? Doesn't appear to be much mixing like on NAM. I believe the RGEM is better when we get to under 48 Hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, WXNewton said: Yeah crazy the difference between Nam and RGEM. Mountains and Virginia go from big storm to basically nothing... Model mayhem, that's why it's so hard to write anything in stone more than a day or two out. Not live or die but to some extent the RGEM is somewhat of a red flag for me because it’s a pretty good indicator what we’re gonna see out of the cmc. I will say tho as of late Nam has been running dry so for it to be amped and wet leads me to believe gfs will follow suit. Beyond that would be really nice for the para to wake up from its all day nap lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 We’re gonna have to make up a name like we do for the Nam with icon. Can’t say nam’ing incoming but the icon once again looks juicy at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I believe the RGEM is better when we get to under 48 Hrs... Yeah and seems like it runs the coldest of all the models. During the last potential ice storm it had major accumulations for me and as it got close to go time it lost the freezing rain theory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, WXNewton said: Yeah and seems like it runs the coldest of all the models. During the last potential ice storm it had major accumulations for me and as it got close to go time it lost the freezing rain theory. Oh there’s no doubt it runs way too cold. I think it was up to 8 degrees too cold last storm up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 ICON is a crush job for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, HKY1894 said: ICON is a crush job for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0Z ICON whallops NW NC/S VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: ICON is a crush job for western areas 5h and SLP would indicate to me as well the surface would look even better. Just a beat down for 6-12hrs. Complete Elmer’s glue paste job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Anyone have the weather bell snow map for the 0z ICON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Anyone have the weather bell snow map for the 0z ICON? I can see icon gets you for .75” qpf total for your area so if you take 10:1 your looking at 6-8” on that specific model as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Anyone have the weather bell snow map for the 0z ICON? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS giving the northern upstate some love! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Is it only me or do the sleet/frz rain issues seem a little odd in this setup? I’ve lived in WNC my whole life and I can’t think of too many times a low in that position had a ton of sleet or frz rain mixing in. Usually just rain or snow and no in between with sharp gradients. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Solid run by 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Can someone hit the restart button on the Para? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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