PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 27 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Ground truth shows the NAM is initializing too warm That’s what I was seeing too, but what are we not seeing that NWS/Pros are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3km nam has douglasville, Georgia at 42/37 with rain at 4pm. At 4pm, Douglas cold is 37.2/34.0 with .03 inches in the bucket. Interesting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 36.5 with .04 in the bucket now for them. Nam under modeled the dry air it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: 3km nam has douglasville, Georgia at 42/37 with rain at 4pm. At 4pm, Douglas cold is 37.2/34.0 with .03 inches in the bucket. Interesting.... Would love for this to completely bust in a good way for metro Atlanta and everywhere else EDIT: As I post this, sleet has started in Jackson County 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: 3km nam has douglasville, Georgia at 42/37 with rain at 4pm. At 4pm, Douglas cold is 37.2/34.0 with .03 inches in the bucket. Interesting.... Evidently it's snowing in Douglasville per this video: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’ve got a good feeling about this for the upstate. With -4c 850 temps if we start out as snow at 35/36 with 3/4 inches of liquided headed our way... game on! and if Douglasville Georgia is starting out as snow, I like our chances to start out as snow when rates pick up too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 The Black mountain range is shrouded in white and gray, snow is on the way 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, burrel2 said: I’ve got a good feeling about this for the upstate. With -4c 850 temps if we start out as snow at 35/36 with 3/4 inches of liquided headed our way... game on! Do you think that the NC Piedmont would follow suit? Temp here in North Mecklenburg down to 49. Forecast lows are around that 35/36 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 hours ago, gritsnc said: Keep any eye on this next few hours. Critical thickness. It will be interesting to see if the 1000-700 dips some- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, LakeNormanStormin said: Do you think that the NC Piedmont would follow suit? Temp here in North Mecklenburg down to 49. Forecast lows are around that 35/36 range. Depends on how north. I think exit 30 is in better shape vs Exit 23. Exit 42 is where I’d feel much better though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Holy mackerel! I’m starting to believe! Is this real life??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 That, my friends, is a bonafide death band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Holy mackerel! I’m starting to believe! Is this real life??? Or is it fantasy? (Queen) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: That, my friends, is a bonafide death band. Game of chicken.... Who's going to blink first? HRRR standing its' ground. Wow. that can't really happen... can it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waitingfor88 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Wintry mix as far south as just west of Athens in Walton County, according to a friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Depends on how north. I think exit 30 is in better shape vs Exit 23. Exit 42 is where I’d feel much better though. Right on, I'm Exit 28. So hoping we see a few flakes fly later on this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment @BornAgain13 how do you guys feel about the trajectory of the precip shield on national radar? Does it fill in more as the storm gets going somewhat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 More of the same here in Triad. White rain couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
honeygrl Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Waitingfor88 said: Wintry mix as far south as just west of Athens in Walton County, according to a friend. Not sure which Athens you mean. I'm in Athens, Ga (but that's Clarke County) and we had brief sleet earlier but it's been dry for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: @Blue_Ridge_Escarpment @BornAgain13 how do you guys feel about the trajectory of the precip shield on national radar? Does it fill in more as the storm gets going somewhat? Yeah once the low gets going it will fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The radar looks absolutely incredible for the upstate... firehose pointed right at us all the way to the gulf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waitingfor88 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, honeygrl said: Not sure which Athens you mean. I'm in Athens, Ga (but that's Clarke County) and we had brief sleet earlier but it's been dry for a bit. She’s in Good Hope, close to Monroe. Didn’t think many would know Good Hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, LakeNormanStormin said: Right on, I'm Exit 28. So hoping we see a few flakes fly later on this evening. I once saw a storm go from snow in Mount Mourne to sleet in Davidson to rain at the Publix in Cornelius. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, burrel2 said: The radar looks absolutely incredible for the upstate... firehose pointed right at us all the way to the gulf. It sure does..im cautiously optimistic. Been hanging at 47 or 48 for a while since we had that little bit of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, burrel2 said: The radar looks absolutely incredible for the upstate... firehose pointed right at us all the way to the gulf. Boy it sure is nice to have you back around. I feel like sometimes a lot of us northwestern forum guys can’t relate to anyone. It’s like you’re in the central Bahamas and I’m in upstate NY lolllll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Guess I'm going to have to start liking the HRRR if this is correct. This is for 6pm to 3am 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, griteater said: Guess I'm going to have to start liking the HRRR if this is correct. This is for 6pm to 3am Wow. Almost all snow. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: I once saw a storm go from snow in Mount Mourne to sleet in Davidson to rain at the Publix in Cornelius. Been there done that too many times since I moved here in 2015. Pouring snow at Exit 28 only to meet pouring rain 2 miles south down Catabwa Avenue. It's both fascinating and frustrating in these parts lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Temp down to 40. Its been dropping like a rock since I first reported I had sleet. Down from 49 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Light snow being reported in Cumming, GA(40 miles north of Atlanta). Bolds well for you guys in NE GA/Upstate SC/Piedmont NC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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