oconeexman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Anywhere from nothing up to 4" here. Ill expect nothing and hope for 2. Overnight models had pretty good consensus of rain changing over around 9 or 10pm. Variations in duration and warm air takeover. Dropped down to 24 so far this morning.. Wouldnt mind some clouds rolling in about now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Wow! @BornAgain13 I am shocked you didn’t emphasize or speak on the 6z RGEM! Big bump nw with precip shield. That is a stone cold assassin right there for my area and yours. 700 frontogenesis is just straight dumb. I would not be shocked at all to hear someone reporting thunder snow later tonight. 3k and 12k both have it blasting our area and then moving north northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The hrrr keeps my snowball hopes alive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I don’t think I’ve ever seen models vary so much in my life between run to run, between each other, and with meteorologists’ forecasts. Model A says Whoville will be getting 6” of snow. Model B says Whoville might get 2”. Model A later says 3”. Model B goes to 5” then to 1” on the next run. Your local friendly met says Whoville will get a dusting at best. Model A swings back to 5”. Model B goes offline for a while, but comes back on and says you’ll get 4”. No wait. 0.5”. Whoville might get 0.5”. Whoville ends up getting an inch of sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: The hrrr keeps my snowball hopes alive It indeed does..if we could get 3k nam on board id feel much better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 23 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: The hrrr keeps my snowball hopes alive The 12z brought in a good thump. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, WXNewton said: The 12z brought in a good thump. Gotta love how the 7.1 inch jackpot is right over my house. Yeah...that will be the day. Still thinking of only a mix bag of rain and snow here with no accumulations. It’s gonna be too warm for all accumulating snow especially with it slated to get into the 50’s today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Gotta love how the 7.1 inch jackpot is right over my house. Yeah...that will be the day. Still thinking of only a mix bag of rain and snow here with no accumulations. It’s gonna be too warm for all accumulating snow especially with it slated to get into the 50’s today. I would not be one bit upset if that played out verbatim. However, I am sure a lot of folks would be caught off-guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Check please!!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Look nice but I am still very concerned about timing. Had good lows this morning, down to 25 at my house but too sunny this am. There are clouds to my south but they are not coming in very fast. There is nothing to keep temps from quickly rising into the 40s, at which point the clouds will not help. We may well see snow fall, but it won't accumulate in the 40s no matter the rates. This really needed to come through about 6 am this morning! This also may be one of those times that just south of I-85 will be a better location. Earlier cloud cover and better precip coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 26 minutes ago, burrel2 said: I got mostly cloudy skies here already and 31. We shall see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The nam is the only model that doesn’t develop banding over the upstate... gfs, icon, cmc, rap, hrrr, euro all have banding over us. You tell me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Reel it in for us Burrel!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, burrel2 said: The nam is the only model that doesn’t develop banding over the upstate... gfs, icon, cmc, rap, hrrr, euro all have banding over us. You tell me? Good luck to you guys down there! I hope you have a hell of a surprise in store. Been far too long for you all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 We are on the border of snow here, but we got down to 30, which was 3-4 degrees colder than expected. Hoping that helps our chances in N GA. . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Up to 37.6 after a low of 21.9. Nice and sunny . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waitingfor88 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Here in Simpsonville, it was bright with not a cloud in the sky less than an hour ago. Cloud cover has already rolled in, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Today's high temps are going to play a giant role in who gets snow and who doesn't. Also, watch those wet-bulb temps as we head into the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Gonna come down to nowcasting and Radar watching for the upstate. If we can get a heavy/consistent band to come through from 6-10pm we will get accumulations. If we don’t then it’ll just be white rain for us. Southern mountains look to get mauled either way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, burrel2 said: The nam is the only model that doesn’t develop banding over the upstate... gfs, icon, cmc, rap, hrrr, euro all have banding over us. You tell me? You tell em Burrel2. Show GSP and that Chris Justus guy who the real weather boss is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Today's high temps are going to play a giant role in who gets snow and who doesn't. Also, watch those wet-bulb temps as we head into the afternoon.39.4/ 59%WB of 33.19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 decent trends here overnight. Pretty much every model has 2 inches plus now. I will take it. Got down to 20 last night. 29 now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 13z hrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, WXNewton said: 13z hrr Ticking NW each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Ticking NW each run Here was 12z for comparison, did tick nw some but manly the band just produced heavier rates on this run and was more wide spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just once, can the hrrr be right with banding placement??? Please! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 34/27 in Pendleton, clouds have moved in. Hoping burrel reels us one in indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just once, can the hrrr be right with banding placement??? Please!That gets me under it up here! That would be crazy! . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Caution: Wild short term swings ahead. Don’t drink the HRRR cool aid. TW 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Are Atlanta mets thinking that the models are too cold? I keep seeing snow totals over metro atlanta from the models but they just have it as rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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