WSNC Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Only thing that worries me is the low track, its in a pretty decent spot for the mtns and foothills now but if it keeps trending north it wont be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Great year in mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, WSNC said: Thanks for posting that. 1.5 of sleet on top of a couple inches of snow would be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: 850 and 925 are below freezing. Not sure if I buy that. 850's are well below freezing in the southern mtns and even nGA mtns. A warm nose would poke it's head at that level in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Thanks for posting that. 1.5 of sleet on top of a couple inches of snow would be fun How accurate relative to snow are models at predicting sleet accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This is trending into legit storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Somebody needs to put the brakes on this low pressure, I mean NW trend but dang couple hundred miles if that keeps up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 HI Res NAM in agreement. Definitely needs to stop the NW trend for foothills and I 40 areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 all rain (or token mix at beginning) for Wake. Moving on to the next chance. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: How accurate relative to snow are models at predicting sleet accumulation? Not sure, but looks like NAM is using just over 2 to 1 ratio, which seems low if anything. I would imagine 3 to 1 is closer for sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Let's see if the RDPS can jump on board the snow train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 NAM gives mby an inch of snow and a half inch of sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Yeah the NAM needs to stop the trend now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 In past ive liked NAM Thermals the best but don’t put attention to much else on it. It seems to handle CAD pretty well or atleast it has in past imo. I’d overlook the high amped Track for now. Use NAM thermals And Blend the Canadian/GFS/EURO to an AVG and I’d say we’re at a reasonable outcome for the time moment Jmo. I’m normally pretty conservative though and still just a hobbyist 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Incoming on the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Yea it looks better but surface temps arent that cold, warmer than the NAM. 850s look colder though. RDPS usually has a cold bias too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 RDPS snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Not sure, but looks like NAM is using just over 2 to 1 ratio, which seems low if anything. I would imagine 3 to 1 is closer for sleet. 3:1 is the ratio on Weatherbell, that is the metric I would useSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 18z ICONSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: 18z ICON Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Look at that Wicked Cutoff over here in Iredell ... Statesville/Love Valley 4-6” Meanwhile down here in LKN/Mooresville D-1” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Assuming all the players are on the field now or at least within RAOB to where it’s being sampled correctly? Thus the shift that we’ve seen this afternoon going into happy hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 18z GFS still with decent snows into VA ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: GFS That’s a solid improvement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Wake is right on the screw line on the 18z GFS as always lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 A couple hundred more miles NW and I'll end up getting your storm in Cincinnati next week, which is where I'll be! LOL. Watching the board go from no storm, to a track shift, to starting a thread, to a mini-boom, to cold rain for most outside of elevation has been enjoyable today. If I were to change my career to mental therapy and advertise solely to this forum I'd be rich! I promise when I come back next Friday I'll have that 5 degree air in Cincy hitched right to my F250 and I'll drag it right on through the mountains just for you guys. Be patient!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 And... the Para has stalled again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: And... the Para has stalled again lol It seems to happen often. Darn gubmint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Saw on the mid Atlantic forum that the 18z Euro is more suppressed for this weekend... anyone care to elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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