PantherJustin Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 wanting to try my hand at some map making for this, anyone know any cool websites make graphics? Or simply draw on a map? Sorry if this doesn’t fit here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 EPS Mean and Control follow the OP with a sudden drop in QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: EPS Mean and Control follow the OP with a sudden drop in QPF... Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Playing it close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 HRRR like a dead match with the Euro on the split precip field. Front end thump is okay but then it's a massive dry slot. January nightmare all over again... So weird with all other modeling trending NW and amped. Guess we'll see if other modeling takes steps this direction at 18z and 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: HRRR like a dead match with the Euro on the split precip field. Front end thump is okay but then it's a massive dry slot. January nightmare all over again... So weird with all other modeling trending NW and amped. Guess we'll see if other modeling takes steps this direction at 18z and 0z. That energy in TN seems to be ramping up more and more each run, I think that has cause it to slow down some and separate from the front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 HRRR snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR snow At least it improved from 12z lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Sheesh....NAM coming in slower meaning more sunlight in the morning and less evaporative cooling early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 It gets worse... Edit: And even worse for some areas. No way changes this big don't have an impact. Same story aloft much warmer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The 18z NAM hates us and doesn’t want us to prosper and be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Seems like the biggest trend is the low over TN wants to hang on longer which is wrecking the midlevels. Then the energy jumps to the east when the low takes over on the coast. Maybe I missing something but this can't be good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Went from 4-6 hours of snow before mixing to 2 if I'm lucky. This winter is absolutely terrible. One of the worst in decades for me at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Edit: And even worse for some areas. No way changes this big don't have an impact. Same story aloft much warmer. Wow! 14 degrees warmer in Hickory? Ese es mucho no bueno. This has been the coldest winter in a long time (it seems), and yet nothing much to show for it in the winter precipitation area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 That low in TN is killing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Geez , 18z not starting out good.... central VA even mixes on the 3k NAM , We just can't get a sustainable event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I hate to say this and I hope I'm wrong but this look is trending for a Northern VA special... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Northern stream killing us like usual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Geez , 18z not starting out good.... central VA even mixes on the 3k NAM , We just can't get a sustainable event Of courses it crushes Central NJ to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 The Hi Res NAM is dreadful lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Is there a way I can invest in a hedge fund for snowy model solutions? Seems like shorting snowfall outputs would be pretty lucrative. There's always next week... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: The Hi Res NAM is dreadful lol Awful man... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Lol. I’m done with this winter. Virtually impossible to get snow here anymore. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 The new upper air data sure told the story on this one. I doubt we get an inch at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nah that’s a bit too much of a sudden it jump it will come back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 hours ago, burrel2 said: I agree, all I worry about is Getting the heavy rates to overcome the boundary layer. If we get the rates we will get 3-6 inches. If it’s spotty and lighter than models show we will get no accumulation. The boundary layer was thicker last season and I managed 3 inches thanks to 3 hours of steady heavy rates. Well im almost ready to buy in! Def have been great for getting the higher rates and more precip than whats been modeled for the last couple of months here. I think that will benefit us in NW SC for once. Early onset with precip and a quick xhange over looks very likely to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, btownheel said: Lol. I’m done with this winter. Virtually impossible to get snow here anymore. Who wants to start the Winter 2021-2022 Outlook thread? 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Nah that’s a bit too much of a sudden it jump it will come back Yeah, seems very severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Well im almost ready to buy in! Def have been great for getting the higher rates and more precip than whats been modeled for the last couple of months here. I think that will benefit us in NW SC for once. Early onset with precip and a quick xhange over looks very likely to me. Well apparently the latest run did not look great, so hopefully a glitch lol. Winter storm watches expanded a bit into ne ga and the upstate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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