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2/6/-2/7 Snow Threat


wncsnow
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Not good boys...Even the NAM is underestimating the strength of the warm nose apparently.

special 18z sounding from KFFC shows a
stronger warm nose than what any of the models depict, but the NAM
is closest. How far this warm nose works north and west, into the
area where temps are closest to or below freezing, will determine
the extent of the wintry precip.

They dropped my totals for the 3rd time today and only give me a single hour of all snow and transition to all rain by 11....:unsure:

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1 minute ago, SnowDawg said:

Not good boys...Even the NAM is underestimating the strength of the warm nose apparently.


special 18z sounding from KFFC shows a
stronger warm nose than what any of the models depict, but the NAM
is closest. How far this warm nose works north and west, into the
area where temps are closest to or below freezing, will determine
the extent of the wintry precip.

They dropped my totals for the 3rd time today and only give me a single hour of all snow and transition to all rain by 11....:unsure:

I'll never doubt the NAM again. HRRR is fool's gold, hope I'm wrong. Hard to doubt what it is seeing in regards to thermals. 

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39 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Even the warmest models like the 3km have 3 inches here when they had an inch or less yesterday 

snku_acc.us_ma (2) (18).png

That's what I been hoping for with this storm in Valdese just 3 inches. I only have about 2 and half weeks before I move to Buffalo want to see something here lived here for the last 27 years.

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