PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Hey , if NC State can be up on anyone 42-15 in first half anything can happen! (I’m An Nc State Fan) lets reel it in For the underdogs up and down I-85 @burrel2 48/16 here under cloudy skies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: I would say between now and 12 hours before precip start is when HRRR becomes more accurate if it ever does at any point and I think you know this but would begin to get more believable just being in range. I'm just looking for trends, and the trends today have been for heavier precip here with the initial surge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 42.5/16 dew point still crashing all day since 9:30. A few flurries/graupel reaching the ground occasionally now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Ouch. It keeps trending north and now pretty much takes me out of any snow. Oh well. Not surprising to say the least. Yeah the north trends are about to take us out of it. Majorly sharp cut off with this. I was at work this morning and very surprised to see my temp all the way up to 49 with mostly cloudy skies. Would have been nice to stay in the 30s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 54 minutes ago, gritsnc said: Brad P just said basically rain for everyone outside of the higher elevation mountains. On to the next one, if there is a next one. Is it just me, or is the old boy developing a bit of an attitude? Seems like he took some sh*t over a winter forecast a while back, and ever since... 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: Hey , if NC State can be up on anyone 42-15 in first half anything can happen! (I’m An Nc State Fan) @burrel2 Basketball is pretty boring when the other team doesn’t show up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 57 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I really think the southern escarpment from Cashiers to Brevard up to Lake Lure and Old Fort may cash out. They will have the best rates and higher elevation. Could definitely see 4 to 6 there. I can see here in Saluda NC being in that mix. Currently 47.5/14.5... I think it's workable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, mercurydime said: Is it just me, or is the old boy developing a bit of an attitude? Seems like he took some sh*t over a winter forecast a while back, and ever since... He definitely has. He comes off as pompous and rude lately. Jason Boyer does a better job on social media in my opinion. He may not be as good a forecaster but he seems like a nice dude 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 46/17.1 here at 12:54p in Pleasant Gardens (on the cusp of Greenlee ). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, jburns said: Basketball is pretty boring when the other team doesn’t show up. Yea But the way we play down to Competition I would’ve been less surprised to beat Cuse/Duke back to back then win today lol sorry to keep wX related I’d be less surprised to get a foot than win today” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro is solid up this way 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 He definitely has. He comes off as pompous and rude lately. Jason Boyer does a better job on social media in my opinion. He may not be as good a forecaster but he seems like a nice dude Boyer is a really nice down to earth guy. Brad P. has always seemed really arrogant to me. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 It's a beautiful, sunny 52° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro QPF almost doubled from 6z run wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro is beautiful up here if right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Someone correct me if I’m wrong.... but the last event when it shot up to 50-55 weren’t DP’s in upper 20s-Mid 30s? Also ik it’s Virga but comparing Current HRR with radar it’s under doing precip on NE side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 HRRR has a Finger of Precipitation down in Bama/MS (Current) but not reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 HRRR is still looking nice here. Pretty much all guidance has increased qpf here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 54 degrees and 14 dew point in Gibsonville. This is gonna need to be one mother of a wet bulb . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR is still looking nice here. Pretty much all guidance has increased qpf here. I saw it also had Areas West of 77 at 31-33 as heaviest Precip moves in at 3-6z also seems to be spot on with Current temps 48-51 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, btownheel said: 54 degrees and 14 dew point in Gibsonville. This is gonna need to be one mother of a wet bulb . Speaking of wet-bulb temps...... This is probably why BradP is so negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Speaking of wet-bulb temps...... This is probably why BradP is so negative.That skeptical wind right in the middle of NC accurately reflects my thoughts. . 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 12 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Speaking of wet-bulb temps...... This is probably why BradP is so negative. That doesn’t add up I’m 50/18 that’s 33/34 definitely not 36-39 as that map says .... if I’m doing it wrong someone tell me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: That doesn’t add up I’m 50/18 that’s 33/34 definitely not 36-39 as that map says .... if I’m doing it wrong someone tell me Did you?: Temperature-Dewpoint Divide results by 3. Subtract from air temp = wet bulb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 My Wb is 36.7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, mercurydime said: Did you?: Temperature-Dewpoint Divide results by 3. Subtract from air temp = wet bulb Yea I did it wrong sadly mine is 37.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 HRRR having a nice run for Greenville-Spartanburg up through Cleveland County up to Lincolnton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'm assuming current wet bulb temps are actually better than expected based on this from the latest discussion from GSP: Dewpoints remain low w.r.t. the forecast, with even the new values entered last hour now proving too high, reflecting the dry high pressure that will eventually support in-situ CAD, developing after warm frontal precip spreads in from the south later this aftn. Will have to take another look at p-type this afternoon and evening as a result, but even with good wet-bulbing temps are warm enough that precip probably will start as rain everywhere except the higher mountains. This definitely adds up cause my forecast dew point was 23 at 2pm while in reality it was 14.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The HRRR is a good run up this way taken verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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