Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Solid run by 0z GFS I’m thinking at this point solid 3-6/4-8 would be best first guess for our areas. Looks like everything has trended just a tad southeast which obv helps you out in marginal temp situations. If that southern stream wave is a little stronger and the northern wave can race out in front somewhat this thing could def negatively tilt some and become more amped. As of right now tho 0z doesn’t seem to be going that way although timing could easily change on the 6z models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Solid run by 0z GFS Increased totals in the central part of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Is it only me or do the sleet/frz rain issues seem a little odd in this setup? I’ve lived in WNC my whole life and I can’t think of too many times a low in that position had a ton of sleet or frz rain mixing in. Usually just rain or snow and no in between with sharp gradients. Was thinking samething it’s usually rain or snow it seems but hey it’s 2021 anything is possible 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Solid run by 0z GFS Increased totals in the central part of NC. Good trends on 00z GFS, the snow seems to be covering a greater portion of the state and the general 1-3" is covering a greater area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0z CMC big improvements from 12z... decent snows in western NC, up into VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z CMC big improvements from 12z... decent snows in western NC, up into VA Idk if you consider it a good or bad thing but I don’t think this thing is done trending yet. I believe it ends up willing it’s way more north and west. I have a gut feeling the n/s interaction will cause the storm to be amped some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z CMC big improvements from 12z... decent snows in western NC, up into VA Yeah it's a middle solution between the GFS and the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 We’re gonna have to make up a name like we do for the Nam with icon. Can’t say nam’ing incoming but the icon once again looks juicy at 48. EYE Con'ed...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 UK is solid hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro looking nice, giving NE GA and upstate peeps some love 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro is a little south with heaviest precip this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 People in the upstate may have given up a little early on this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 BOOM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Boom? Double boom! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Thermals much better on euro! The QPF also increased markedly on NW side of storm. Couldn’t ask for a better euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 That was an absolute paste bomb...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Run-to-run change from 12z to 0z, 2m tempsSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: People in the upstate may have given up a little early on this Why did you drag me back in? I would be thrilled with 3.6 inches of snow. And for once it’s not 10 days out either. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Run-to-run change from 12z to 0z, 2m temps Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Most of this is due to evap cooling because of more expansive precipitation field but still great trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0z Euro MeanSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM delivers the early morning goods 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Not too shabbySent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS looking a lot better too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 My local forecast shows rain and 35 on Saturday night rising into the mid 50’s on Sunday. Do I believe the weather models or the National Weather Service? Should be a fun ride for Upstate SC late this weekend either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Dang guys, things really escalated overnight, huh? Woke up to every model dumping 6 inches of paste here with 850s in the -3 to -5 range. What a time to be alive! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Dang guys, things really escalated overnight, huh? Woke up to every model dumping 6 inches of paste here with 850s in the -3 to -5 range. What a time to be alive! I was wondering when you would show up. Better wake up Oconee too. Seems like our snow systems always come out of nowhere like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Dang guys, things really escalated overnight, huh? Woke up to every model dumping 6 inches of paste here with 850s in the -3 to -5 range. What a time to be alive!No doubt! The progression over night was. Plus for many. Great disco also! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Man the Euro/NAM bring 6"+ up this way... let's keep the trends going for more snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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