KamuSnow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: Looks like a 3" storm with loli's of 4-5" just don't throw toasters at me It'll work... Snow on snow is enjoyable! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, RedSky said: Looks like a 3" storm with loli's of 4-5" just don't throw toasters at me F289F096-F6F4-4197-9A22-7F3AE944CFEF.webp 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Considering this event was DOA on Wed, any snow is bonus snow at this point. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: It'll work... Snow on snow is enjoyable! Yep, tomorrow should be a nice refresher to cover up those ugly brown spots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Pretty much 3-6 still on the ECM. That has been my call - 3 towards my area and 5-6 extreme SE PA and SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: Yep, tomorrow should be a nice refresher to cover up those ugly brown spots I was going to level off the top of the main snow pile this afternoon to make room for more, I'll probably still do it. Driveway stickage could be hard to come by but we shall see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisl Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Everything seems like its kinda SE/less qpf today on modeling. I guess not all bad considering I was worried everything would keep going NW and the rt.130 corridor in Burlington would be mostly rain. Feels like its narrowed in on 95/Jersey tpk being the bullseye 3-6 maybe some isolated spots more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Latest update from the NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Below is my 1st and Final Forecast for this event - Good luck to all!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Ch 10 and 6 @ 6pm maps. I'm going with 5.8983432" for my area..... 38F 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Media Delaware County Partly cloudy 37 Dewpoint 24 my expectation is 5.3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Ch6 seems a little high for my backyard, but I'll take it. My bar is set at 3". 34F/DP 25F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Ch6 seems a little high for my backyard, but I'll take it. My bar is set at 3". 34F/DP 25F I'll take over for $100.... 36F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 59 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Ch6 seems a little high for my backyard, but I'll take it. My bar is set at 3". 34F/DP 25F I think what happened is a lot of these maps came out yesterday when NAM was going nutty. It’s a weekend so they dont update them. Not like you can expect them to change every 6 hours. I’d be Absolutely stunned shocked if Philly got 8”, there’s just no way. This is a 3-5” event with Isolated 6-7” in NJ imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 26 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I think what happened is a lot of these maps came out yesterday when NAM was going nutty. It’s a weekend so they dont update them. Not like you can expect them to change every 6 hours. I’d be Absolutely stunned shocked if Philly got 8”, there’s just no way. This is a 3-5” event with Isolated 6-7” in NJ imo Yeah, they probably sent the weekend intern out on a Starbucks run instead of updating the wx graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 0z NAMs looking better, especially the 3k. Hopefully reversal of the last 24 hours trend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 Final call: 2-4" N and W of 95 with less the further out you go from 95. 4-8" Along 95 S and E about 25 miles 1-4" along the shore... Will be tricky here, can rates eventually overcome boundary layer? I think 8" will be the max in our area, don't think anyone will hit double digits but should be a fun little event. I expect it to come down at a heavy rate for a good 2-3 hours. Will be a nice nowcasting storm as well with the banding. Make sure you set your alarms for tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Final call: 2-4" N and W of 95 with less the further out you go from 95. 4-8" Along 95 S and E about 25 miles 1-4" along the shore... Will be tricky here, can rates eventually overcome boundary layer? I think 8" will be the max in our area, don't think anyone will hit double digits but should be a fun little event. I expect it to come down at a heavy rate for a good 2-3 hours. Will be a nice nowcasting storm as well with the banding. Make sure you set your alarms for tomorrow morning. Good call on the alarms, what time you think the heavier rates will be? After sunrise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisl Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Somehow the SREF has a better chance of 12+ across south Jersey than 8+. I mean I'll take it I guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, chrisl said: Somehow the SREF has a better chance of 12+ across south Jersey than 8+. I mean I'll take it I guess That seems to be almost a fallacy or bug.... wouldn't the probability of 8"+ be included in the mathematical intersection of 12"+ ....if it was the probability of 8-12" then it would make sense as the probability of 8-12" would be part of the complement of the probability of 12"+ Of course weenie rule #119 is never look modeled snow in the mouth! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 40 minutes ago, yankeex777 said: Good call on the alarms, what time you think the heavier rates will be? After sunrise? Looks like precip comes in at 12z/7 am. My best guess at the heavy stuff would be 9 - noon but I'm getting up at 5 just to watch it come in lol 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Looks like precip comes in at 12z/7 am. My best guess at the heavy stuff would be 9 - noon but I'm getting up at 5 just to watch it come in lol I could weenie tag your post just in good fun but didn’t. I am a late riser but if I get up, I will check things. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I just might sleep through this snow shower storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Ch10 says Feb sun angle will be an issue tomorrow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Ch10 says Feb sun angle will be an issue tomorrow Last minute cover in case snow rates are light and snow melts where it counts on paved surfaces 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: Last minute cover in case snow rates are light and snow melts where it counts on paved surfaces and here i'm calling Cecily the lawyer... unbelievable thats an amateur forecasting tactic if I ever heard one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 Good morning everyone! 29F and cloudy here in Hopewell, don't think we ll have any issues starting as rain here. Maybe towards 95 though as Levittown is 33f, NE Philly is 34f, and PHL is 36f. DC having a bit of issues with the bl to start but they're just getting into the heavier stuff so we ll see if they switch over soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32F here.....waiting for flakes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well didn't quite expect the temps to stay up this "high" overnight but it's currently 36 here and overcast. Precip seems to be closing in. Mt. Holly downgraded to 3" - 6" due to the track shift. Current snow map this morning - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 29F/DP21 overcast skies, not expecting much out this way maybe an inch or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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